Darwin's Failed Prophecies



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Topic: Religions > Atheism
User: "Sound of Trumpet"
Date: 04 Sep 2007 08:16:40 PM
Object: Darwin's Failed Prophecies
http://www.thingsrevealed.net/darwin.htm
On
The Origin of Species
By Means of Natural Selection,
Or The
Preservation of Favored Races in the Struggle
For Life
Charles Darwin
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Darwinian Thesis
In 1859 Charles Darwin published his pivotal work On the Origin of the
Species. Humanism had finally found an axis for a world wide
revolution. The search for a naturalistic explanation for the
existence of the universe was one of the great quests of humanism in
the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries and the Age of Reason promised
that science would deliver such a new world view. Charles Darwin was
the supremely adapted instrument for such a task; exacting scientist,
theologically restrained, and personally reserved. The concepts he
articulated were likewise modest and when T.H. Huxley, Darwin's
bulldog, first read the Origin he is reported to have said, "How
extremely stupid not to have thought of that" (Origin, p. xv). The
simplest form of the central claims of Darwin's theory may be arranged
as a syllogistic argument which he himself provided. The argument was
as follows: (1) since there have been long ages, (2) since organic
beings vary, (3) since organic beings increase by geometrical powers,
then: " I think it would be a most extraordinary fact if no variation
ever had occurred useful to each being's own welfare, in the same way
as so many variations have occurred useful to man" (Origin, p. 126).
These premises and the conclusion have been summarized in the
naturalistic theory of origins called "descent with modification
through natural selection" (Origin, p. 343). We will now consider the
basic premises and the conclusion in order.
Uniformitarianism
One of the crucial foundations for the Darwinian revolution was the
principle of uniformitarianism. This principle was first advanced by
James Hutton who argued that the geological structures of the earth
could be explained by the work of long ages of time. Charles Lyell
later became the most effective advocate for abandonment of the
Biblical view of earth's origin, which he called the "Mosaic system"
of geology, in favor of the view that all the features of the Earth's
surface were produced by natural forces operating for long ages. His
arguments that the Earth's crust was the product of thousands of
millions of years of activity convinced many that there was no need
for explanations motivated by the Biblical record of the Genesis Flood
or subsequent natural catastrophes. His principle of uniformitarianism
can be stated as follows: The causes which shape the Earth's surface
in the present are the only ones that have operated in the past and
they have always acted at the same rate, or "the present is the key to
the past." Lyell's influence in geology later brought about a nearly
complete abandonment of what was then called "catastrophism" and also
laid the foundations for evolutionary biology.
Darwin assumed this view of earth history and considered it beyond
dispute. He spent very little time in the Origin on the defense of
uniformatariansim and assumed that all those who were geologically
literate had been "inculcated" in Lyell's views (Origin, p. 292). The
theory of descent with modification was dependant on the existence of
long ages of time in order for the minute variations he observed in
the present to be accumulated in innumerable generations in the past.
There was no room for catastrophes in earth history because, as both
Darwin and Lyell understood, this admission would allow for the
possibility that the Genesis Flood was an adequate explanation for the
appearance of the Earth's surface. It is important to note that Darwin
took Lyell's books Principles of Geology and Elements of Geology on
the Beagle where he was supposed to have formulated his theory.
Further, it was Lyell who encouraged his young friend Charles Darwin
to publish his theory before Alfred Russell Wallace published a
similar view.
Biological Variation
The backdrop for Darwin's principle of biological variation was the
common notion of the "immutability of the species." The crucial
philosophical components of this idea had originated with Plato and
Aristotle. According to Plato there were a "limited number of fixed,
unchangeable 'ideas' underlying the observed variability, with the
eidos (ideas) being the only thing that is fixed and real" (Origin, p.
xix). According to Aristotle all of nature could be arranged in a
"continuous series in which each link would be almost
indistinguishable ... from the lowest organisms to the
highest" (Durant, pp. 65-66). This scale of nature, or Scala Naturae,
was the precursor of what would later be know as the "Great Chain of
Being." This quasi-theological theory was based on Aristotle's Scala
Naturae with the addition of angels and God attached at the top, owing
to the influence of deism and Christianity in the west during this
period. This construct should be understood as a syncretic amalgam of
Greek philosophy and Christian doctrine possessing profound internal
inconsistencies, since the Biblical conception of God is one of
transcendence; and therefore, he is completely distinct from his
creation. One of the logical deductions of this view was the
"immutability of the species." We must, however, distinguish between
the Biblical idea of "created kinds," or categories in which each
original creation could reproduce "according to its kind" (Genesis
1:12), and the theory of immutable species.
The first evidence Darwin called upon for biological variation was
familiar to most people of that day, since variation due to artificial
selection, or domestication, had yeilded so many important results. It
was straight forward to make reference to such cases as the breeding
of horses, cattle, and pigeons. Many details are given for the
variation of pigeons, since Darwin was a member of the London Pigeon
Clubs and personally conducted experiments in artificial selection
(Origin, pp. 20-21). An important case was made for the power of this
kind of selection, even though intelligently made, since it showed
that variations within species were easily achieved. The key was man's
power of accumulative selection (Origin, p. 30), or as Darwin said, "I
am convinced that the accumulative action of Selection ... is the
predominant Power" (Origin, p. 43).
The next category of evidence of biological variation was taken from
the natural world without the influence of intelligent selection.
Darwin spent a great deal of time arguing that the differences between
what were known to be variations within species through breeding, and
those classified as distinct species in nature were comparatively
small. When considering what might constitute a definition of species
Darwin concluded that, "the opinion of naturalists having sound
judgment and wide experience seems the only guide to follow" (Origin,
p. 47). In nature, just as in domestication, what were selected as
"advantages" were inherited by their offspring, but now these would
allow them to become dominant over their compatriots. On this view
Darwin concluded that the distinction between species and variations
within species was arbitrary and; therefore, species were not
immutable.
Malthusian Population Dynamics
The next major concept described by Darwin was referred to as the
"struggle for existence." This idea was important since Darwin
believed that it allowed Nature to replace intelligence in the
selection process so that speciation would continue without guidance.
Herein, lies the central theme of Darwin's thesis:
All these results, ... follow inevitably from the struggle for life.
Owing to this struggle for life, any variation, however slight and
from whatever cause proceeding, if it be in any degree profitable to
an individual of any species, in its infinitely complex relations to
other organic beings and to external nature, will tend to the
preservation of that individual, and will generally be inherited by
its offspring. The offspring, also, will thus have a better chance of
surviving, for, of the many individuals of any species which are
periodically born, but a small number can survive. I have called this
principle, by which each slight variation, if useful, is preserved, by
the term of Natural Selection, in order to mark its relation to man's
power of selection. We have seen that man by selection can certainly
produce great results, and can adapt organic beings to his own uses,
through the accumulation of slight but useful variations, given to him
by the hand of Nature. But Natural Selection, as we shall hereafter
see, is a power incessantly ready for action, and is as immeasurably
superior to man's feeble efforts, as the works of Nature are to those
of Art. (Origin, p. 61)
Ultimately, Darwin argued that if the intelligent selection of man in
producing variations in species can be replaced by the a process of
natural selection, then why not replace the "apparent design" of life
itself with that same process in Nature. It is important to observe
how Darwin has metaphorically personified Nature as the predominant
"Power" and source of nature itself.
The principles of Thomas Malthus and the idea of a "struggle for
existence" were the seedbed for Darwin's proposal of Natural Selection
as the efficient power for the progress of evolution. The principle
that Malthus laid down was stated as follows: "Population when
unchecked, increases in a geometrical ratio. Subsistence increases
only in an arithmetic ratio" (Taylor, p. 61). With this principle and
a great deal of pessimism Malthus envisioned man as a brute-beast and;
therefore, argued that disease, famine, infanticide, and warfare were
legitimate checks on human population and should not be discouraged.
This idea was also popularly applied to nature as illustrated by the
famous quote from Alfred Tennyson, "Nature red in tooth and claw." For
many, the harsh realities of the rise of the Industrial Revolution
seemed to vindicate a Malthusian outlook of human affairs. Whatever
Darwin may have thought of the application of these ideas to human
populations he certainly felt obliged to credit Malthus for his own
use of this principle in natural selection (Origin, p. 63). In this
context he concluded that the struggle for existence was most severe
between species of the same genus (Origin, p. 76).
With this background the evidence for the power of natural selection
was seen as compelling. Everywhere one could expect to see natural
selection at work in "the preservation of favorable variations and the
rejection of injurious variations" (Origin, p. 81). Since in the long
run only the strong would survive, Darwin concluded that modifications
among the favored races, due to natural selection, "shall not be in
the least degree injurious" (Origin, p. 86). Darwin's illustrations of
the action of natural selection include several "imaginary cases" such
as: increased nectar excretion in flowers resulting in increased
distribution of pollen by bees, a more complete separation of sexes in
plants allowing increased efficiency by division of labor, and an
increased length proboscis in hive-bees permitting greater
productivity in the acquisition of nectar (Origin, pp. 93-95). A
crucial aspect of the action of natural selection was the domination
of favored raves in the competition for mastery of a common niche.
This was inferentially illustrated by observations Darwin actually
made for a turf of grass. In this case, a plot of natural grasses were
observed to contain twenty species, eighteen genera, and eight orders
(Origin, p. 114). From these observations Darwin concluded that only
those species which were sufficiently different from each other could
co-inhabit a certain environment, since they were not in direct
competition for the same niche. In the end, this view of competition
within natural selection requires that the "improved" species dominate
the environment to the extent of extermination of all local and
closely related rivals. Thus, Darwin described what has been popularly
referred to as as the principle of "survival of the fittest."
Summary Conclusion
With the assumption of an enormous lapse of time, the evidence for
limited biological variation, and the acceptance of the struggle for
existence, Darwin concluded that variation could continue on
indefinitely and ultimately account for the origin all life on earth--
including man.
Analysis
The common view of the history of Christian motivation of the sciences
is clearly checkered. Though no one should doubt the importance of the
motivating force of the Biblical idea of a Creator/Lawgiver God who
created man in his own image so that "man can think the thoughts of
God after him," it is also clear that the conflict between the church
and humanism has never ceased. The struggle between the Catholic
church and Galileo largely intensified the antagonism between
Christianity and naturalistic humanism. Then, with the triumph of the
Darwinian revolution in the sciences, humanism was seen as ultimately
vindicated. Since man was not qualitatively distinct from God on the
Great Chain of Being, God could be replaced by man on the pinnacle of
progress. Thus, did the Age of Reason bring in a new era.
But what about the scientific claims of evolution as an explanation
for the origin of life? Were they truly based on a solid empirical
foundation? In what follows I will attempt to show that humanistic
theories of origins are based upon the concept of naturalism and that
as Thomas Kuhn argued in The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, "a
decision of that kind can only be made on faith" (Kuhn, p. 158). The
first important principle that must be established is a definition of
what constitutes true science. Although Kuhn had no concern for
precise definitions (Kuhn, p. 160), there is reason for concern about
defining science merely by symptoms rather than by an objective
standard for demarcation. The method used by all successful scientists
throughout history is now called the "Baconian scientific method."
That method is given as follows:
The Baconian Scientific Method: (Applies to naturally recurring
processes in the present.)
1. Observation: Direct or indirect in the present.
2. Problem: Question posed about natural process that is relevant and
testable in the present.
3. Hypothesis: An educated proposal for an explanation of naturally
recurring processes in the present and for the future.
4. Experiment: Direct test of hypothesis in the present which is
possible to repeat in the future.
5. Theory: Scientific theories are hypotheses about the present and
future confirmed by experiments in the present. They will be judged by
their predictive value in the future.
The first thing to observe is that, while Darwin did use this method
"whenever possible" (Origin, p. x), by definition he could not observe
events or process in the past and therefore he chose to rely upon an
"alternative" inference by analogy in the present. In point of fact,
Darwin relied heavily on analogies between processes in the present
for extrapolation into the past. Darwin was aware that this was a
doubtful practice and admitted that "analogy may be a deceitful
guide", but pushing ahead he wrote, "Nevertheless, ... I should infer
from analogy that probably all the organic beings which have ever
lived on this earth have descended from some one primordial form, into
which life was first breathed" (Origin, p. 484). The important
distinction to be made between the Baconian scientific method of
inquiry and this "alternative" is that in confirmation we are able to
observe the actual processes themselves; however, when we take
observations in the present to infer that processes or events may have
occurred in the past we must recognize that this is mere speculation
and not logically guaranteed or necessarily reasonable.
No one can fault Darwin for his ignorance of the limits of biological
variation. He accurately stated for the science of his day that, "The
laws governing inheritance are quite unknown" (Origin, p. 13). It was
not until 1865 that Gregor Mendel, an Augustinian monk, established
the laws of biological inheritance. And it was not for another thirty
years that these laws were rediscovered and used to replace Darwin's
mechanisms which relied upon Lamarkian "acquired characters" and
"blending inheritance" (Origin, p. 15, 37). He certainly could not
have known that he had confounded microevolution, the conservative
process that allows the expression of latent information pre-encoded
for the survival of organisms within a category, with macroevolution
the supposedly "creative" process by which mutations appear with new
information providing variations sufficient for unique organic
categories. Further, Darwin could not have know about the astronomical
information content of the genetic code which Watson and Crick
discovered in 1953, with its precise processes of self replication,
error checking, and self repair. Thus, Darwin stated, "I can see no
limit to this power, in slowly and beautifully adapting each form to
the most complex relations of life. The theory of natural selection,
even if we looked no further than this, seems to me to be in itself
probable" (Origin, p. 467). Now we can see that Darwin had observed
one process, microevolution, and assumed that it was the same process
as macroevolution and therefore, he made an incorrect inference.
Largely because of a lacking knowledge of genetic inheritance Darwin
was not able to analyze certain important facts about variation and;
therefore he was not able to "see" the flaw in his use of inferential
analogies. Today, we must recognize that the study of "origins" is
intrinsically outside of the domain of scientific inquiry.
Darwin and the Fossil Record
Scientific theories are judged by their predictive power. One of the
central predictions of evolution is that descent with modification in
organisms occurs in the finely graded variations. This should have
been observed at some point in the contemporary world, but for obvious
reasons Darwin spent a great deal of time explaining why he believed
that intermediates became extinct through competition for domination
of a biological niche. Whether it is valid to argue that no family
line could simultaneously survive at any place in the entire natural
world is questionable; however, Darwin felt compelled to argue most
strenuously in explanation of the lack of fossil evidence for
intermediates. As he stated in his summary chapter:
The geological record [is] extremely imperfect, and [this] will to a
large extent explain why we do not find interminable varieties,
connecting together all the extinct and existing forms of life by the
finest graduated steps. He who rejects these views on the nature of
the geological record, will rightly reject my whole theory. (Origin,
p. 342)
Though it was clearly the intent of Darwin to explain away the lack of
evidence for his theory we should not feel obliged to accept a
"scientific" theory which lacks empirical evidence. First it must be
observed that the number of transitional forms at some time in
evolutionary history would have to be, in practical terms, infinite.
Darwins's hypothetical "finely graded variations" must have lived at
some point in Earth history and no matter how unfavorably he
envisioned the probability of fossilization it is inconceivable that
no intermediate fossils could be found. Yet, once again in Darwin's
day the knowledge of the fossil record was comparatively small. Today
that claim can no longer be maintained. In Luther Sunderland's
important book, Darwin's Enigma, he explains the present state of
knowledge of the fossil record:
Now, after over 120 years of the most extensive and painstaking
geological exploration of every continent and ocean bottom, the
picture is infinitely more vivid and complete than it was in 1859.
Formations have been discovered containing hundreds of billions of
fossils and our museums now are filled with over 100 million fossils
of 250, 000 different species. The availability of this profusion of
hard scientific data should permit objective investigators to
determine if Darwin was on the right track. (Sunderland, p. 9)
On behalf of the New York State Board of Regents, Luther Sunderland
interviewed the top paleontology experts at five of the world's
greatest fossil museums. The results are as follows:
No museum official offered any real fossil evidence that any one of
the various invertebrate evolved into vertebrate fish (Sunderland, p.
63).
None of the museum officials could produce any fossil evidence of an
intermediate ancestor connecting the amphibians with fishes
(Sunderland, p. 64).
None of the five museum officials could offer a single example of a
transitional series of fossilized organisms that would document the
transformation of one basically different type to another (Sunderland,
p. 88)
In the words of Dr. Collin Patterson, Senior Principle Scientific
Officer of the Paleontology Department of the British Museum of
Natural History, London:
I fully agree with your comments on the lack of direct illustration of
evolutionary transitions in my book. If I knew of any, fossil or
living, I would certainly have included them ... Yet Gould and the
American Museum people are hard to contradict when they say there are
no transitional forms ... I will lay it on the line -- there is not
one such fossil for which one could make a watertight argument
(Sunderland, p. 89).
It appears that we should take at least some of Darwin's words to
heart: "He who rejects these views on the nature of the geological
record, will rightly reject my whole theory."
According to Kuhn the rejection of one world view, or paradigm, for
another is not done strictly on the basis of evidence, but by a leap
of "faith." Now, if we define "faith" as making a decision based on
limited evidence, then all people make decisions based on such faith
since no one has completely exhaustive knowledge, but if on the other
hand, we define "faith" as making a decision in spite of the evidence,
then it appears that we have the kind of faith required to make a
modern scientific paradigm shift. Once again, according to Kuhn, " In
the sciences might makes right" (Kuhn, p. 167), therefore it appears
that the present domination of the of sciences, by the evolutionary
species of scientist, is sufficient evidence for the "fact" of
evolution.
Darwin's Prophetic Vision for the Future
In Darwin's summary chapter he makes a number of what he might have
considered to be scientific predictions, but which he finally called
"a prophetic glance into the futurity" (Origin, p. 489). Some of those
failed prophecies are as follows:
There will be an end of the disputes concerning the definition of
species (Origin, p. 484). In this case we need only consider the
current debate between Cladists who favor the principle of typology,
as opposed to Neo-Darwinists who favor the principle of phylogeny.
There will be an open discussion of "rudimentary", or vestigial organs
and embryological phylogenies (Origin, p. 485-486). In this case the
work of Ernst Haekel in making a long list of supposedly useless, or
vestigial organs and in the development of the "Biogenic Law" were
predicted by the theory of evolution. Today, virtually every vestigial
organ has been removed from Haekel's list since we have discovered the
functional necessity for them all. Further, the "Biogenic Law" that in
the development of the embryo an organism portrays its evolutionary
past, has now been rejected by virtually all evolutionists.
There will be a better understanding of the effects in variation from
the environment, and of use and disuse of characters in relation to
biological inheritance (Origin, p. 486). In this case no evolutionist,
or creationist, today believes that the Lamarkian view of inheritance
is valid.
The use of fossils to date rocks, and the use of rocks to date fossils
as a "fair measure of the lapse of actual time" (Origin, p. 487-488).
In this case we are still using this form of circular reasoning.
There will be a new foundation on which to build psychology (Origin,
p. 488). Unfortunately this has been fulfilled in the form of Social
Darwinism. It is hard to estimate the full effect of this terrible
prophecy, but one need only consider Nazism, Communism, exploitive
capitalism, Freudian psychology, and the racism of "evolved
superiority," to get a sense of the scope of its effects in society.
Finally, in a very uncharacteristic fashion, Darwin removed his
theological restraint and made one last bold assertion and prophecy
which reveals how potent ideas on origins may be. Compare and contrast
the following:
We may feel certain that the ordinary succession by generation has
never once been broken, and that no cataclysm has desolated the whole
world. Hence we may look with some confidence to a secure future of
equally inappreciable length. And as natural selection works solely by
and for the good of each being, all corporeal and mental endowments
will tend to progress towards perfection (Origin, p. 489).
First of all, you must understand that in the last days scoffers will
come, scoffing and following their own evil desires. They will say,
"Where is this `coming' he promised? Ever since our fathers died,
everything goes on as it has since the beginning of creation." But
they deliberately forget that long ago by God's word the heavens
existed and the earth was formed out of water and by water. By these
waters also the world of that time was deluged and destroyed. By the
same word the present heavens and earth are reserved for fire, being
kept for the day of judgment and destruction of ungodly men (2 Peter
3:3-7).
With uniformitarianism and evolutionism as the poles, the Darwinian
revolution has set the world into a motion which will ultimately be
perfected in the fire.
Footnotes:
1. Charles Darwin, The Origin of Species, reprint of 1st. ed.
(Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press, 1964).
2. Will Durant, The Story of Philosophy, (New York: Washington Square
Press, 1961).
3. Ian T. Taylor, In the Minds of Men, 3rd. ed. (Toronto: TFE
Publishing, 1991).
4. Thomas S. Kuhn, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, 2nd ed.
(Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1970).
5. Luther D. Sunderland, Darwin's Enigma, 4th ed. (Santee, California:
Master Books, 1988).
Tim Nordgren, 8-2-96
.

User: "curmudgeon"

Title: Re: Darwin's Failed Prophecies 06 Sep 2007 01:59:06 PM
"Sound of Trumpet" <soundoftrumpet@mailcan.com> wrote in message
news:1188955000.799310.164400@r29g2000hsg.googlegroups.com...
http://www.thingsrevealed.net/darwin.htm
On
The Origin of Species
By Means of Natural Selection,
Or The
Preservation of Favored Races in the Struggle
For Life
Or
Animal Husbandry, as practiced by Mother Nature.
.

User: "knucmo"

Title: Re: Darwin's Failed Prophecies 05 Sep 2007 11:47:00 AM
On 5 Sep, 02:16, Sound of Trumpet <soundoftrum...@mailcan.com> wrote:

http://www.thingsrevealed.net/darwin.htm

No need to read this SOT, Darwin did not prophecise; he hypothesized.
Yes, there is one thing that evolution theory gets a bit embarrassed
over: Speciation. What creationists/deists do not realise is though;
is that this is as much a deficit of their own theory. As Sherlock
Holmes said: "We must exhaust all natural explanations before we fall
back upon such a theory as this."
.
User: "Ernest Major"

Title: Re: Darwin's Failed Prophecies 05 Sep 2007 01:06:04 PM
Followups set.
In message <1189010820.032120.316970@50g2000hsm.googlegroups.com>,
knucmo <stevejouanny@hotmail.com> writes

On 5 Sep, 02:16, Sound of Trumpet <soundoftrum...@mailcan.com> wrote:

http://www.thingsrevealed.net/darwin.htm


No need to read this SOT, Darwin did not prophecise; he hypothesized.
Yes, there is one thing that evolution theory gets a bit embarrassed
over: Speciation. What creationists/deists do not realise is though;
is that this is as much a deficit of their own theory. As Sherlock
Holmes said: "We must exhaust all natural explanations before we fall
back upon such a theory as this."

I don't understand your point about speciation. Are you aware the
speciation has been observed in the wild, under domestication and in the
laboratory?
--
alias Ernest Major
.


User: "Steven J."

Title: Re: Darwin's Failed Prophecies 04 Sep 2007 10:30:25 PM
On Sep 4, 8:16 pm, Sound of Trumpet <soundoftrum...@mailcan.com>
wrote:

http://www.thingsrevealed.net/darwin.htm

-- [massive snip of prefatory material]


Darwin and the Fossil Record

Scientific theories are judged by their predictive power. One of the
central predictions of evolution is that descent with modification in
organisms occurs in the finely graded variations. This should have
been observed at some point in the contemporary world, but for obvious
reasons Darwin spent a great deal of time explaining why he believed
that intermediates became extinct through competition for domination
of a biological niche. Whether it is valid to argue that no family
line could simultaneously survive at any place in the entire natural
world is questionable; however, Darwin felt compelled to argue most
strenuously in explanation of the lack of fossil evidence for
intermediates. As he stated in his summary chapter:

I should point out that "ring species" represent living examples of
"descent with modification ... in the finely graded variations."
Several examples of this: separate species within a genus living in
the same area, and connected by a ring of intermediate subspecies and
varieties around some geographical barrier -- are known.


The geological record [is] extremely imperfect, and [this] will to a
large extent explain why we do not find interminable varieties,
connecting together all the extinct and existing forms of life by the
finest graduated steps. He who rejects these views on the nature of
the geological record, will rightly reject my whole theory. (Origin,
p. 342)

Though it was clearly the intent of Darwin to explain away the lack of
evidence for his theory we should not feel obliged to accept a
"scientific" theory which lacks empirical evidence. First it must be
observed that the number of transitional forms at some time in
evolutionary history would have to be, in practical terms, infinite.
Darwins's hypothetical "finely graded variations" must have lived at
some point in Earth history and no matter how unfavorably he
envisioned the probability of fossilization it is inconceivable that
no intermediate fossils could be found. Yet, once again in Darwin's
day the knowledge of the fossil record was comparatively small. Today
that claim can no longer be maintained. In Luther Sunderland's
important book, Darwin's Enigma, he explains the present state of
knowledge of the fossil record:

Darwin's principle evidence was the pattern of similarities and
differences among living species: the consistent nested hierarchy of
life, pointed out and used but not explained by the famous taxonomist
Karl von Linne, biogeography of species (Darwin collected many notes
on this himself), and vestigial and parahomologous organs (pointed out
and named, but not explained, by the noted anatomist Richard Owen).
His main use of the fossil record was as a further example of
biogeography: one finds fossil species located near where the most
similar modern species are (e.g. modern armadillos are found near the
fossils of giant extinct armadillos).
However, a number of intermediate fossils *have* been found.
Ironically, given the preeminent concerns of creationists, some of the
best have been found for humans (the australopiths, the habilines, the
various populations assigned to _Homo erectus_, and so forth),
although striking intermediates have been found between terrestrial
artiodactyls and whales, or between non-avian dinosaurs and birds, and
so forth.


Now, after over 120 years of the most extensive and painstaking
geological exploration of every continent and ocean bottom, the
picture is infinitely more vivid and complete than it was in 1859.
Formations have been discovered containing hundreds of billions of
fossils and our museums now are filled with over 100 million fossils
of 250, 000 different species. The availability of this profusion of
hard scientific data should permit objective investigators to
determine if Darwin was on the right track. (Sunderland, p. 9)

On behalf of the New York State Board of Regents, Luther Sunderland
interviewed the top paleontology experts at five of the world's
greatest fossil museums. The results are as follows:

I read his book. It was remarkable for the number of times a
scientist told him that he was not expert in the particular subject on
which Sunderland was questioning him, and Sunderland, rather than
going down the hall to ask someone who was an expert, took that
admission of ignorance and ran with it.


No museum official offered any real fossil evidence that any one of
the various invertebrate evolved into vertebrate fish (Sunderland, p.
63).

As I recall, he managed to find the one expert who was unconvinced
that vertebrates were derived echinoderms (a group including starfish
and sea urchins). Recently, genetic comparisons have confirmed
embryological comparisons supporting this connection. Of course,
fossils don't come with pedigrees; it is possible to tell if a
relationship exists but not possible to tell if a given fossil is the
direct ancestor or an evolutionary "aunt" or "uncle" of some later
form. One might compare the genetic studies a few years back that
attempted to show that Thomas Jefferson was the father of his slave
Sally Hemmings's children; all the studies could show was that
Jefferson, or one of his brothers, or one of his nephews, was the
father; they could not say which of them it was. The same problem
exists for fossils.


None of the museum officials could produce any fossil evidence of an
intermediate ancestor connecting the amphibians with fishes
(Sunderland, p. 64).

Perhaps Sunderland was just impossible to please, or perhaps later
discoveries were needed: _Ichthyostega_, _Acanthostega_, _Tiktaalik_,
_Panderichthys_. Again, proving that any of these was our direct
ancestor, as opposed to a distant cousin of that direct ancestor, is
not possible, but the expected intermediate forms definitely exist.


None of the five museum officials could offer a single example of a
transitional series of fossilized organisms that would document the
transformation of one basically different type to another (Sunderland,
p. 88)

What is a "basically different type?" One could reasonably argue that
humans don't represent a "basically different type" from chimpanzees,
or perhaps even from rhesus monnkeys, so, in principle, the fossil
intermediates between _Homo sapiens_ and the distinctly nonhuman ape
_Ardipithecus_ don't show "transformation of one basically different
type to another."


In the words of Dr. Collin Patterson, Senior Principle Scientific
Officer of the Paleontology Department of the British Museum of
Natural History, London:

I fully agree with your comments on the lack of direct illustration of
evolutionary transitions in my book. If I knew of any, fossil or
living, I would certainly have included them ... Yet Gould and the
American Museum people are hard to contradict when they say there are
no transitional forms ... I will lay it on the line -- there is not
one such fossil for which one could make a watertight argument
(Sunderland, p. 89).

Patterson's point, which I have stated twice already above, was that
there is no way to distinguish between *intermediate* forms that are
close relatives of direct ancestors, and actual *transitional* forms
that are direct ancestors, and no way to prove that one of the former
is also one of the latter. One might note that Patterson's argument
is, itself, based on evolutionary assumptions: successful lineages
tend to sprout side branches, and any actual ancestor is likely to
have many closely related, very similar species that are not actual
ancestors. If evolutionists assumed, as creationists like to, that
the fossil record was nearly complete and that cladogenesis was not
the general rule, they'd be a lot more confident in stating that, e.g.
_Archaeopteryx_ was indeed the ancestor of modern birds or _Homo
habilis_ the ancestor of modern men.


It appears that we should take at least some of Darwin's words to
heart: "He who rejects these views on the nature of the geological
record, will rightly reject my whole theory."

Yet the fossil record is demonstrably not complete: parts of it have
been lost due to erosion, most of it has not yet been excavated or
identified and described, and there is much reason to suppose that the
overwhelming majority of organisms -- quite possibly the overwhelming
majority of species -- leave no fossil trace. And yet despite this
intermediate fossils exist.


-- [snip]


Darwin's Prophetic Vision for the Future

In Darwin's summary chapter he makes a number of what he might have
considered to be scientific predictions, but which he finally called
"a prophetic glance into the futurity" (Origin, p. 489). Some of those
failed prophecies are as follows:

The "prophetic glance into futurity" referred only to the general
principle that evolution would continue into the future as it had in
the past.


There will be an end of the disputes concerning the definition of
species (Origin, p. 484). In this case we need only consider the
current debate between Cladists who favor the principle of typology,
as opposed to Neo-Darwinists who favor the principle of phylogeny.

Darwin predicted not that scientists would come up with a perfect
definition of "species," but rather that they would come to accept
that there was no clear distinction between "good species" and mere
varieties, and give up trying to definitively answer the question of
which groups were which. Cladistics is a school of systematics and
taxonomy, and is not directly concerned with the problem of defining
"species." Neither, of course, is evolutionary theory itself. Just
about any biologist today will tell you, though, that the distinction
between species and varieties is a fuzzy one and that it is not always
possible to say, even in principle, whether two populations belong to
different varieties of the same species, or to distinct species.


There will be an open discussion of "rudimentary", or vestigial organs
and embryological phylogenies (Origin, p. 485-486). In this case the
work of Ernst Haekel in making a long list of supposedly useless, or
vestigial organs and in the development of the "Biogenic Law" were
predicted by the theory of evolution. Today, virtually every vestigial
organ has been removed from Haekel's list since we have discovered the
functional necessity for them all. Further, the "Biogenic Law" that in
the development of the embryo an organism portrays its evolutionary
past, has now been rejected by virtually all evolutionists.

There is a functional necessity for the plantaris tendon in humans?
In apes, it enables the animal to clench its feet into fists; in
humans, it does not even attach to the foot bones. If it has some
functional necessity, one must wonder how the 10 to 20 percent of
humans born without one manage to survive and function. Note that
Darwin did not define "rudimentary" or "vestigial" structures as
having no function at all, but rather as lacking the most prominent
function of their homologues in other species. Thus, e.g. an
ostrich's wings are vestigial despite having some uses, since they do
not serve as wings: they do not permit the ostrich to fly. By the
same token, the appendix does not serve as a secondary digestive pouch
in humans as it does in many monkeys, the erector pili give us goose
bumps but do not enable us to fluff up our rather vestigial fur, and
so forth.


There will be a better understanding of the effects in variation from
the environment, and of use and disuse of characters in relation to
biological inheritance (Origin, p. 486). In this case no evolutionist,
or creationist, today believes that the Lamarkian view of inheritance
is valid.

And this doesn't strike you as a better understanding?


The use of fossils to date rocks, and the use of rocks to date fossils
as a "fair measure of the lapse of actual time" (Origin, p. 487-488).
In this case we are still using this form of circular reasoning.

This is quite false, of course. Rocks are dated using radiometric
dating; index fossils from radiometrically-dated strata are used to
date other strata that cannot be so dated. Nor did Darwin predict any
such thing.


There will be a new foundation on which to build psychology (Origin,
p. 488). Unfortunately this has been fulfilled in the form of Social
Darwinism. It is hard to estimate the full effect of this terrible
prophecy, but one need only consider Nazism, Communism, exploitive
capitalism, Freudian psychology, and the racism of "evolved
superiority," to get a sense of the scope of its effects in society.

Naziism, Communism, and capitalism have rather different notions of
human psychology (and the latter two, of course, were first worked out
and defended before Darwin came up with his theories of evolution).
The Nazis, for their part, were hardly ardent evolutionists: despite
extolling natural selection for supposedly safeguarding the purity of
the race (not that they trusted it, so they supplemented it with
artificial selection), Hitler and many of his followers rejected
Darwin's idea of common descent with modification, and some of the
Nazis went so far as to burn Darwin's books. None of these groups
were much interested in evolutionary psychology. Incidentally,
evolutionary theory depends on and implies variation in all traits
(this is the stuff upon which natural selection works), so that there
will be no trait upon which one can rest a claim of racial superiority
that is possessed by all members of one race and no members of other
races. Hence your really determined races depend on creationist
accounts: curses upon all descendants of some primordial ancestor (you
may not have inherited his genes, but you inherited his supernatural
curse), or separate creation of separate races (if genetic and
anatomical homologies don't convince you of the common ancestry of
human and gorilla, why must they convince an Identity Christian of the
common ancestry of black African and white European?), or just a
divine command to maintain racial boundaries.


Finally, in a very uncharacteristic fashion, Darwin removed his
theological restraint and made one last bold assertion and prophecy
which reveals how potent ideas on origins may be. Compare and contrast
the following:

We may feel certain that the ordinary succession by generation has
never once been broken, and that no cataclysm has desolated the whole
world. Hence we may look with some confidence to a secure future of
equally inappreciable length. And as natural selection works solely by
and for the good of each being, all corporeal and mental endowments
will tend to progress towards perfection (Origin, p. 489).

First of all, you must understand that in the last days scoffers will
come, scoffing and following their own evil desires. They will say,
"Where is this `coming' he promised? Ever since our fathers died,
everything goes on as it has since the beginning of creation." But
they deliberately forget that long ago by God's word the heavens
existed and the earth was formed out of water and by water. By these
waters also the world of that time was deluged and destroyed. By the
same word the present heavens and earth are reserved for fire, being
kept for the day of judgment and destruction of ungodly men (2 Peter
3:3-7).

Darwin, of course, did not believe in a global flood, and the fact
that someone using Peter's name said it happened does not overcome the
geological evidence that no such global flood ever took place. On the
other hand, a writer with better reading skills would have noted that
Darwin and 2 Peter technically don't contradict each other: Darwin did
not deny mass extinctions, but simply asserted that there was no time
when ALL life on Earth went extinct, and 2 Peter agrees that life
aboard the Ark survived. So both hold to continuity between present
and ancient life, although only Darwin saw that continuity extended to
common ancestors of humans and other species.


With uniformitarianism and evolutionism as the poles, the Darwinian
revolution has set the world into a motion which will ultimately be
perfected in the fire.

-- [snip of footnotes]


Tim Nordgren, 8-2-96

-- Steven J.
.

User: "Mark K. Bilbo"

Title: Re: Darwin's Failed Prophecies 05 Sep 2007 11:08:29 AM
On Tue, 04 Sep 2007 18:16:40 -0700, Sound of Trumpet wrote:

Darwin's Failed Prophecies

He didn't make any "prophecies" you idiot.
--
Mark K. Bilbo a.a. #1423
EAC Department of Linguistic Subversion
------------------------------------------------------------
"You know, I'd get it if people were just looking for a
way to fill the holes. But they want the holes. They wanna
live in the holes. And they go nuts when someone else
pours dirt in their holes.
"Climb out of your holes people!"
- Dr. House, on faith
.
User: "Cary Kittrell"

Title: Re: Darwin's Failed Prophecies 05 Sep 2007 12:37:32 PM
In article <OMSdnUlY-7bgSUPbnZ2dnUVZ_sLinZ2d@giganews.com> "Mark K. Bilbo" <gmail@com.mkbilbo> writes:

On Tue, 04 Sep 2007 18:16:40 -0700, Sound of Trumpet wrote:

Darwin's Failed Prophecies


He didn't make any "prophecies" you idiot.

Well...he DID prophesy on his deathbed that the Cubbies
were going to win the Series in 2057, but everyone
just thought he was delirious.
-- cary
.

User: "brique"

Title: Re: Darwin's Failed Prophecies 05 Sep 2007 08:19:33 PM
Mark K. Bilbo <gmail@com.mkbilbo> wrote in message
news:OMSdnUlY-7bgSUPbnZ2dnUVZ_sLinZ2d@giganews.com...

On Tue, 04 Sep 2007 18:16:40 -0700, Sound of Trumpet wrote:

Darwin's Failed Prophecies


He didn't make any "prophecies" you idiot.

He did...... 'Running Reins ' to win in the 3.30... and he was right......


--
Mark K. Bilbo a.a. #1423
EAC Department of Linguistic Subversion
------------------------------------------------------------
"You know, I'd get it if people were just looking for a
way to fill the holes. But they want the holes. They wanna
live in the holes. And they go nuts when someone else
pours dirt in their holes.

"Climb out of your holes people!"

- Dr. House, on faith

.

User: "Howard Brazee"

Title: Re: Darwin's Failed Prophecies 05 Sep 2007 03:50:37 PM
On Wed, 05 Sep 2007 11:08:29 -0500, "Mark K. Bilbo"
<gmail@com.mkbilbo> wrote:

Darwin's Failed Prophecies


He didn't make any "prophecies" you idiot.

How about his failed profits?
.


User: "*Anarcissie*"

Title: SoT's Failed Prophecies 04 Sep 2007 08:29:22 PM
Once again we observe the inability of certain
religious believers to distinguish between faith
and science.
On Sep 4, 9:16 pm, Sound of Trumpet <soundoftrum...@mailcan.com>
wrote:

http://www.thingsrevealed.net/darwin.htm

On
The Origin of Species
By Means of Natural Selection,
Or The
Preservation of Favored Races in the Struggle
For Life

Charles Darwin

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Darwinian Thesis

In 1859 Charles Darwin published his pivotal work On the Origin of the
Species. Humanism had finally found an axis for a world wide
revolution. The search for a naturalistic explanation for the
existence of the universe was one of the great quests of humanism in
the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries and the Age of Reason promised
that science would deliver such a new world view. Charles Darwin was
the supremely adapted instrument for such a task; exacting scientist,
theologically restrained, and personally reserved. The concepts he
articulated were likewise modest and when T.H. Huxley, Darwin's
bulldog, first read the Origin he is reported to have said, "How
extremely stupid not to have thought of that" (Origin, p. xv). The
simplest form of the central claims of Darwin's theory may be arranged
as a syllogistic argument which he himself provided. The argument was
as follows: (1) since there have been long ages, (2) since organic
beings vary, (3) since organic beings increase by geometrical powers,
then: " I think it would be a most extraordinary fact if no variation
ever had occurred useful to each being's own welfare, in the same way
as so many variations have occurred useful to man" (Origin, p. 126).
These premises and the conclusion have been summarized in the
naturalistic theory of origins called "descent with modification
through natural selection" (Origin, p. 343). We will now consider the
basic premises and the conclusion in order.

Uniformitarianism

One of the crucial foundations for the Darwinian revolution was the
principle of uniformitarianism. This principle was first advanced by
James Hutton who argued that the geological structures of the earth
could be explained by the work of long ages of time. Charles Lyell
later became the most effective advocate for abandonment of the
Biblical view of earth's origin, which he called the "Mosaic system"
of geology, in favor of the view that all the features of the Earth's
surface were produced by natural forces operating for long ages. His
arguments that the Earth's crust was the product of thousands of
millions of years of activity convinced many that there was no need
for explanations motivated by the Biblical record of the Genesis Flood
or subsequent natural catastrophes. His principle of uniformitarianism
can be stated as follows: The causes which shape the Earth's surface
in the present are the only ones that have operated in the past and
they have always acted at the same rate, or "the present is the key to
the past." Lyell's influence in geology later brought about a nearly
complete abandonment of what was then called "catastrophism" and also
laid the foundations for evolutionary biology.

Darwin assumed this view of earth history and considered it beyond
dispute. He spent very little time in the Origin on the defense of
uniformatariansim and assumed that all those who were geologically
literate had been "inculcated" in Lyell's views (Origin, p. 292). The
theory of descent with modification was dependant on the existence of
long ages of time in order for the minute variations he observed in
the present to be accumulated in innumerable generations in the past.
There was no room for catastrophes in earth history because, as both
Darwin and Lyell understood, this admission would allow for the
possibility that the Genesis Flood was an adequate explanation for the
appearance of the Earth's surface. It is important to note that Darwin
took Lyell's books Principles of Geology and Elements of Geology on
the Beagle where he was supposed to have formulated his theory.
Further, it was Lyell who encouraged his young friend Charles Darwin
to publish his theory before Alfred Russell Wallace published a
similar view.

Biological Variation

The backdrop for Darwin's principle of biological variation was the
common notion of the "immutability of the species." The crucial
philosophical components of this idea had originated with Plato and
Aristotle. According to Plato there were a "limited number of fixed,
unchangeable 'ideas' underlying the observed variability, with the
eidos (ideas) being the only thing that is fixed and real" (Origin, p.
xix). According to Aristotle all of nature could be arranged in a
"continuous series in which each link would be almost
indistinguishable ... from the lowest organisms to the
highest" (Durant, pp. 65-66). This scale of nature, or Scala Naturae,
was the precursor of what would later be know as the "Great Chain of
Being." This quasi-theological theory was based on Aristotle's Scala
Naturae with the addition of angels and God attached at the top, owing
to the influence of deism and Christianity in the west during this
period. This construct should be understood as a syncretic amalgam of
Greek philosophy and Christian doctrine possessing profound internal
inconsistencies, since the Biblical conception of God is one of
transcendence; and therefore, he is completely distinct from his
creation. One of the logical deductions of this view was the
"immutability of the species." We must, however, distinguish between
the Biblical idea of "created kinds," or categories in which each
original creation could reproduce "according to its kind" (Genesis
1:12), and the theory of immutable species.

The first evidence Darwin called upon for biological variation was
familiar to most people of that day, since variation due to artificial
selection, or domestication, had yeilded so many important results. It
was straight forward to make reference to such cases as the breeding
of horses, cattle, and pigeons. Many details are given for the
variation of pigeons, since Darwin was a member of the London Pigeon
Clubs and personally conducted experiments in artificial selection
(Origin, pp. 20-21). An important case was made for the power of this
kind of selection, even though intelligently made, since it showed
that variations within species were easily achieved. The key was man's
power of accumulative selection (Origin, p. 30), or as Darwin said, "I
am convinced that the accumulative action of Selection ... is the
predominant Power" (Origin, p. 43).

The next category of evidence of biological variation was taken from
the natural world without the influence of intelligent selection.
Darwin spent a great deal of time arguing that the differences between
what were known to be variations within species through breeding, and
those classified as distinct species in nature were comparatively
small. When considering what might constitute a definition of species
Darwin concluded that, "the opinion of naturalists having sound
judgment and wide experience seems the only guide to follow" (Origin,
p. 47). In nature, just as in domestication, what were selected as
"advantages" were inherited by their offspring, but now these would
allow them to become dominant over their compatriots. On this view
Darwin concluded that the distinction between species and variations
within species was arbitrary and; therefore, species were not
immutable.

Malthusian Population Dynamics

The next major concept described by Darwin was referred to as the
"struggle for existence." This idea was important since Darwin
believed that it allowed Nature to replace intelligence in the
selection process so that speciation would continue without guidance.
Herein, lies the central theme of Darwin's thesis:

All these results, ... follow inevitably from the struggle for life.
Owing to this struggle for life, any variation, however slight and
from whatever cause proceeding, if it be in any degree profitable to
an individual of any species, in its infinitely complex relations to
other organic beings and to external nature, will tend to the
preservation of that individual, and will generally be inherited by
its offspring. The offspring, also, will thus have a better chance of
surviving, for, of the many individuals of any species which are
periodically born, but a small number can survive. I have called this
principle, by which each slight variation, if useful, is preserved, by
the term of Natural Selection, in order to mark its relation to man's
power of selection. We have seen that man by selection can certainly
produce great results, and can adapt organic beings to his own uses,
through the accumulation of slight but useful variations, given to him
by the hand of Nature. But Natural Selection, as we shall hereafter
see, is a power incessantly ready for action, and is as immeasurably
superior to man's feeble efforts, as the works of Nature are to those
of Art. (Origin, p. 61)

Ultimately, Darwin argued that if the intelligent selection of man in
producing variations in species can be replaced by the a process of
natural selection, then why not replace the "apparent design" of life
itself with that same process in Nature. It is important to observe
how Darwin has metaphorically personified Nature as the predominant
"Power" and source of nature itself.

The principles of Thomas Malthus and the idea of a "struggle for
existence" were the seedbed for Darwin's proposal of Natural Selection
as the efficient power for the progress of evolution. The principle
that Malthus laid down was stated as follows: "Population when
unchecked, increases in a geometrical ratio. Subsistence increases
only in an arithmetic ratio" (Taylor, p. 61). With this principle and
a great deal of pessimism Malthus envisioned man as a brute-beast and;
therefore, argued that disease, famine, infanticide, and warfare were
legitimate checks on human population and should not be discouraged.
This idea was also popularly applied to nature as illustrated by the
famous quote from Alfred Tennyson, "Nature red in tooth and claw." For
many, the harsh realities of the rise of the Industrial Revolution
seemed to vindicate a Malthusian outlook of human affairs. Whatever
Darwin may have thought of the application of these ideas to human
populations he certainly felt obliged to credit Malthus for his own
use of this principle in natural selection (Origin, p. 63). In this
context he concluded that the struggle for existence was most severe
between species of the same genus (Origin, p. 76).

With this background the evidence for the power of natural selection
was seen as compelling. Everywhere one could expect to see natural
selection at work in "the preservation of favorable variations and the
rejection of injurious variations" (Origin, p. 81). Since in the long
run only the strong would survive, Darwin concluded that modifications
among the favored races, due to natural selection, "shall not be in
the least degree injurious" (Origin, p. 86). Darwin's illustrations of
the action of natural selection include several "imaginary cases" such
as: increased nectar excretion in flowers resulting in increased
distribution of pollen by bees, a more complete separation of sexes in
plants allowing increased efficiency by division of labor, and an
increased length proboscis in hive-bees permitting greater
productivity in the acquisition of nectar (Origin, pp. 93-95). A
crucial aspect of the action of natural selection was the domination
of favored raves in the competition for mastery of a common niche.
This was inferentially illustrated by observations Darwin actually
made for a turf of grass. In this case, a plot of natural grasses were
observed to contain twenty species, eighteen genera, and eight orders
(Origin, p. 114). From these observations Darwin concluded that only
those species which were sufficiently different from each other could
co-inhabit a certain environment, since they were not in direct
competition for the same niche. In the end, this view of competition
within natural selection requires that the "improved" species dominate
the environment to the extent of extermination of all local and
closely related rivals. Thus, Darwin described what has been popularly
referred to as as the principle of "survival of the fittest."

Summary Conclusion

With the assumption of an enormous lapse of time, the evidence for
limited biological variation, and the acceptance of the struggle for
existence, Darwin concluded that variation could continue on
indefinitely and ultimately account for the origin all life on earth--
including man.

Analysis

The common view of the history of Christian motivation of the sciences
is clearly checkered. Though no one should doubt the importance of the
motivating force of the Biblical idea of a Creator/Lawgiver God who
created man in his own image so that "man can think the thoughts of
God after him," it is also clear that the conflict between the church
and humanism has never ceased. The struggle between the Catholic
church and Galileo largely intensified the antagonism between
Christianity and naturalistic humanism. Then, with the triumph of the
Darwinian revolution in the sciences, humanism was seen as ultimately
vindicated. Since man was not qualitatively distinct from God on the
Great Chain of Being, God could be replaced by man on the pinnacle of
progress. Thus, did the Age of Reason bring in a new era.

But what about the scientific claims of evolution as an explanation
for the origin of life? Were they truly based on a solid empirical
foundation? In what follows I will attempt to show that humanistic
theories of origins are based upon the concept of naturalism and that
as Thomas Kuhn argued in The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, "a
decision of that kind can only be made on faith" (Kuhn, p. 158). The
first important principle that must be established is a definition of
what constitutes true science. Although Kuhn had no concern for
precise definitions (Kuhn, p. 160), there is reason for concern about
defining science merely by symptoms rather than by an objective
standard for demarcation. The method used by all successful scientists
throughout history is now called the "Baconian scientific method."
That method is given as follows:

The Baconian Scientific Method: (Applies to naturally recurring
processes in the present.)

1. Observation: Direct or indirect in the present.
2. Problem: Question posed about natural process that is relevant and
testable in the present.
3. Hypothesis: An educated proposal for an explanation of naturally
recurring processes in the present and for the future.
4. Experiment: Direct test of hypothesis in the present which is
possible to repeat in the future.
5. Theory: Scientific theories are hypotheses about the present and
future confirmed by experiments in the present. They will be judged by
their predictive value in the future.

The first thing to observe is that, while Darwin did use this method
"whenever possible" (Origin, p. x), by definition he could not observe
events or process in the past and therefore he chose to rely upon an
"alternative" inference by analogy in the present. In point of fact,
Darwin relied heavily on analogies between processes in the present
for extrapolation into the past. Darwin was aware that this was a
doubtful practice and admitted that "analogy may be a deceitful
guide", but pushing ahead he wrote, "Nevertheless, ... I should infer
from analogy that probably all the organic beings which have ever
lived on this earth have descended from some one primordial form, into
which life was first breathed" (Origin, p. 484). The important
distinction to be made between the Baconian scientific method of
inquiry and this "alternative" is that in confirmation we are able to
observe the actual processes themselves; however, when we take
observations in the present to infer that processes or events may have
occurred in the past we must recognize that this is mere speculation
and not logically guaranteed or necessarily reasonable.

No one can fault Darwin for his ignorance of the limits of biological
variation. He accurately stated for the science of his day that, "The
laws governing inheritance are quite unknown" (Origin, p. 13). It was
not until 1865 that Gregor Mendel, an Augustinian monk, established
the laws of biological inheritance. And it was not for another thirty
years that these laws were rediscovered and used to replace Darwin's
mechanisms which relied upon Lamarkian "acquired characters" and
"blending inheritance" (Origin, p. 15, 37). He certainly could not
have known that he had confounded microevolution, the conservative
process that allows the expression of latent information pre-encoded
for the survival of organisms within a category, with macroevolution
the supposedly "creative" process by which mutations appear with new
information providing variations sufficient for unique organic
categories. Further, Darwin could not have know about the astronomical
information content of the genetic code which Watson and Crick
discovered in 1953, with its precise processes of self replication,
error checking, and self repair. Thus, Darwin stated, "I can see no
limit to this power, in slowly and beautifully adapting each form to
the most complex relations of life. The theory of natural selection,
even if we looked no further than this, seems to me to be in itself
probable" (Origin, p. 467). Now we can see that Darwin had observed
one process, microevolution, and assumed that it was the same process
as macroevolution and therefore, he made an incorrect inference.
Largely because of a lacking knowledge of genetic inheritance Darwin
was not able to analyze certain important facts about variation and;
therefore he was not able to "see" the flaw in his use of inferential
analogies. Today, we must recognize that the study of "origins" is
intrinsically outside of the domain of scientific inquiry.

Darwin and the Fossil Record

Scientific theories are judged by their predictive power. One of the
central predictions of evolution is that descent with modification in
organisms occurs in the finely graded variations. This should have
been observed at some point in the contemporary world, but for obvious
reasons Darwin spent a great deal of time explaining why he believed
that intermediates became extinct through competition for domination
of a biological niche. Whether it is valid to argue that no family
line could simultaneously survive at any place in the entire natural
world is questionable; however, Darwin felt compelled to argue most
strenuously in explanation of the lack of fossil evidence for
intermediates. As he stated in his summary chapter:

The geological record [is] extremely imperfect, and [this] will to a
large extent explain why we do not find interminable varieties,
connecting together all the extinct and existing forms of life by the
finest graduated steps. He who rejects these views on the nature of
the geological record, will rightly reject my whole theory. (Origin,
p. 342)

Though it was clearly the intent of Darwin to explain away the lack of
evidence for his theory we should not feel obliged to accept a
"scientific" theory which lacks empirical evidence. First it must be
observed that the number of transitional forms at some time in
evolutionary history would have to be, in practical terms, infinite.
Darwins's hypothetical "finely graded variations" must have lived at
some point in Earth history and no matter how unfavorably he
envisioned the probability of fossilization it is inconceivable that
no intermediate fossils could be found. Yet, once again in Darwin's
day the knowledge of the fossil record was comparatively small. Today
that claim can no longer be maintained. In Luther Sunderland's
important book, Darwin's Enigma, he explains the present state of
knowledge of the fossil record:

Now, after over 120 years of the most extensive and painstaking
geological exploration of every continent and ocean bottom, the
picture is infinitely more vivid and complete than it was in 1859.
Formations have been discovered containing hundreds of billions of
fossils and our museums now are filled with over 100 million fossils
of 250, 000 different species. The availability of this profusion of
hard scientific data should permit objective investigators to
determine if Darwin was on the right track. (Sunderland, p. 9)

On behalf of the New York State Board of Regents, Luther Sunderland
interviewed the top paleontology experts at five of the world's
greatest fossil museums. The results are as follows:

No museum official offered any real fossil evidence that any one of
the various invertebrate evolved into vertebrate fish (Sunderland, p.
63).

None of the museum officials could produce any fossil evidence of an
intermediate ancestor connecting the amphibians with fishes
(Sunderland, p. 64).

None of the five museum officials could offer a single example of a
transitional series of fossilized organisms that would document the
transformation of one basically different type to another (Sunderland,
p. 88)

In the words of Dr. Collin Patterson, Senior Principle Scientific
Officer of the Paleontology Department of the British Museum of
Natural History, London:

I fully agree with your comments on the lack of direct illustration of
evolutionary transitions in my book. If I knew of any, fossil or
living, I would certainly have included them ... Yet Gould and the
American Museum people are hard to contradict when they say there are
no transitional forms ... I will lay it on the line -- there is not
one such fossil for which one could make a watertight argument
(Sunderland, p. 89).

It appears that we should take at least some of Darwin's words to
heart: "He who rejects these views on the nature of the geological
record, will rightly reject my whole theory."

According to Kuhn the rejection of one world view, or paradigm, for
another is not done strictly on the basis of evidence, but by a leap
of "faith." Now, if we define "faith" as making a decision based on
limited evidence, then all people make decisions based on such faith
since no one has completely exhaustive knowledge, but if on the other
hand, we define "faith" as making a decision in spite of the evidence,
then it appears that we have the kind of faith required to make a
modern scientific paradigm shift. Once again, according to Kuhn, " In
the sciences might makes right" (Kuhn, p. 167), therefore it appears
that the present domination of the of sciences, by the evolutionary
species of scientist, is sufficient evidence for the "fact" of
evolution.

Darwin's Prophetic Vision for the Future

In Darwin's summary chapter he makes a number of what he might have
considered to be scientific predictions, but which he finally called
"a prophetic glance into the futurity" (Origin, p. 489). Some of those
failed prophecies are as follows:

There will be an end of the disputes concerning the definition of
species (Origin, p. 484). In this case we need only consider the
current debate between Cladists who favor the principle of typology,
as opposed to Neo-Darwinists who favor the principle of phylogeny.

There will be an open discussion of "rudimentary", or vestigial organs
and embryological phylogenies (Origin, p. 485-486). In this case the
work of Ernst Haekel in making a long list of supposedly useless, or
vestigial organs and in the development of the "Biogenic Law" were
predicted by the theory of evolution. Today, virtually every vestigial
organ has been removed from Haekel's list since we have discovered the
functional necessity for them all. Further, the "Biogenic Law" that in
the development of the embryo an organism portrays its evolutionary
past, has now been rejected by virtually all evolutionists.

There will be a better understanding of the effects in variation from
the environment, and of use and disuse of characters in relation to
biological inheritance (Origin, p. 486). In this case no evolutionist,
or creationist, today believes that the Lamarkian view of inheritance
is valid.

The use of fossils to date rocks, and the use of rocks to date fossils
as a "fair measure of the lapse of actual time" (Origin, p. 487-488).
In this case we are still using this form of circular reasoning.

There will be a new foundation on which to build psychology (Origin,
p. 488). Unfortunately this has been fulfilled in the form of Social
Darwinism. It is hard to estimate the full effect of this terrible
prophecy, but one need only consider Nazism, Communism, exploitive
capitalism, Freudian psychology, and the racism of "evolved
superiority," to get a sense of the scope of its effects in society.

Finally, in a very uncharacteristic fashion, Darwin removed his
theological restraint and made one last bold assertion and prophecy
which reveals how potent ideas on origins may be. Compare and contrast
the following:

We may feel certain that the ordinary succession by generation has
never once been broken, and that no cataclysm has desolated the whole
world. Hence we may look with some confidence to a secure future of
equally inappreciable length. And as natural selection works solely by
and for the good of each being, all corporeal and mental endowments
will tend to progress towards perfection (Origin, p. 489).

First of all, you must understand that in the last days scoffers will
come, scoffing and following their own evil desires. They will say,
"Where is this `coming' he promised? Ever since our fathers died,
everything goes on as it has since the beginning of creation." But
they deliberately forget that long ago by God's word the heavens
existed and the earth was formed out of water and by water. By these
waters also the world of that time was deluged and destroyed. By the
same word the present heavens and earth are reserved for fire, being
kept for the day of judgment and destruction of ungodly men (2 Peter
3:3-7).

With uniformitarianism and evolutionism as the poles, the Darwinian
revolution has set the world into a motion which will ultimately be
perfected in the fire.

Footnotes:
1. Charles Darwin, The Origin of Species, reprint of 1st. ed.
(Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press, 1964).
2. Will Durant, The Story of Philosophy, (New York: Washington Square
Press, 1961).
3. Ian T. Taylor, In the Minds of Men, 3rd. ed. (Toronto: TFE
Publishing, 1991).
4. Thomas S. Kuhn, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, 2nd ed.
(Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1970).
5. Luther D. Sunderland, Darwin's Enigma, 4th ed. (Santee, California:
Master Books, 1988).

Tim Nordgren, 8-2-96

.
User: "Sean"

Title: Re: Distinguishing between science, denial, and disbelief 04 Sep 2007 10:05:42 PM
"*Anarcissie*" <anarcissie@gmail.com> wrote in message
news:1188955762.686393.99950@o80g2000hse.googlegroups.com...

Once again we observe the inability of certain
religious believers to distinguish between faith
and science.

Alfred Russel Wallace OM, FRS (8 January 1823 - 7 November 1913) was a
British naturalist, explorer, geographer, anthropologist and biologist.
He did extensive fieldwork first in the Amazon River basin, and then in the
Malay Archipelago, where he identified the Wallace line dividing the fauna
of Australia from that of Asia. He is best known for independently proposing
a theory of natural selection which prompted Charles Darwin to publish his
own more developed and researched theory sooner than intended. Wallace was
also one of the leading evolutionary thinkers of the 19th century who made a
number of other contributions to the development of evolutionary theory,
including the concept of warning colouration in animals, and the Wallace
effect. He was also considered the 19th century's leading expert on the
geographical distribution of animal species and is sometimes called the
"father of biogeography".[1]
Application of theory to man, and role of teleology in evolution
In 1864 Wallace published a paper, "The Origin of Human Races and the
Antiquity of Man Deduced from the Theory of 'Natural Selection'", applying
the theory to mankind. Darwin had not yet publicly addressed the subject,
although Thomas Huxley had in Evidence as to Man's Place in Nature.
Shortly afterwards Wallace became a spiritualist. At about the same time he
began to maintain that natural selection cannot account for mathematical,
artistic, or musical genius, as well as metaphysical musings, and wit and
humour. He eventually said that something in "the unseen universe of Spirit"
had interceded at least three times in history: The first was the creation
of life from inorganic matter. The second was the introduction of
consciousness in the higher animals, and the third was the generation of the
higher mental faculties in mankind. He also believed that the raison d'être
of the universe was the development of the human spirit.[77] These views
greatly disturbed Darwin, who argued that spiritual appeals were not
necessary and that sexual selection could easily explain apparently
non-adaptive mental phenomena. While some historians have concluded that
Wallace's belief that natural selection was insufficient to explain the
development of consciousness and the human mind was directly caused by his
adoption of spiritualism, other Wallace scholars have disagreed, and some
maintain that Wallace never believed natural selection applied to those
areas.[78][79] Reaction to Wallace's ideas on this topic among leading
naturalists at the time varied. Charles Lyell endorsed Wallace's views on
human evolution rather than Darwin's.[80][81] However, many, including
Huxley, Hooker and Darwin himself, were critical of Wallace.[82] As one
historian of science has pointed out, Wallace's views in this area were at
odds with two major tenets of the emerging Darwinian philosophy, which were
that evolution was not teleological and that it was not anthropocentric.[83]
[edit] Assessment of Wallace's role in history of evolutionary theory
In many accounts of the history of evolution, Wallace is mentioned only in
passing as simply being the "stimulus" to publication of Darwin's own
theory.[84] In reality, Wallace developed his own distinct evolutionary
views which diverged from Darwin's, and was considered by many (especially
Darwin) to be a leading thinker on evolution in his day, whose ideas could
not be ignored. One historian of science has pointed out that through both
private correspondence and published works Darwin and Wallace exchanged
knowledge and stimulated each other's ideas and theories over an extended
period.[85] Wallace is the most cited naturalist in Darwin's Descent of Man,
often in strong disagreement.[86] Wallace remained an ardent defender of
natural selection for the rest of his life. By the 1880s, evolution was
widely accepted in scientific circles, but Wallace and August Weismann were
nearly alone among prominent biologists in believing that natural selection
was the major driving force behind it.[87][88] In 1889 Wallace published the
book Darwinism as a response to the scientific critics of natural
selection.[89] Of all Wallace's books it is the most cited by scholarly
publications.[90]
[edit] Spiritualism
In a letter to his brother in law in 1861, Wallace wrote:
.I remain an utter disbeliever in almost all that you consider the most
sacred truths. I will pass over as utterly contemptible the oft-repeated
accusation that sceptics shut out evidence because they will not be governed
by the morality of Christianity. I am thankful I can see much to admire in
all religions. To the mass of mankind religion of some kind is a necessity.
But whether there be a God and whatever be His nature; whether we have an
immortal soul or not, or whatever may be our state after death, I can have
no fear of having to suffer for the study of nature and the search for
truth, or believe that those will be better off in a future state who have
lived in the belief of doctrines inculcated from childhood, and which are to
them rather a matter of blind faith than intelligent conviction.[91]
Wallace was an enthusiast of phrenology,[92] and early in his career he
experimented with hypnosis; then known as mesmerism. He used some of his
students in Leicester as subjects with considerable success.[93] When he
began his experiments with mesmerism the topic was very controversial and
early experimenters, such as John Elliotson, had been harshly criticized by
the medical and scientific establishment.[94] Wallace drew a connection
between his experiences with mesmerism and his later investigations into
spiritualism. In 1893 he wrote:
I thus learnt my first great lesson in the inquiry into these obscure
fields of knowledge, never to accept the disbelief of great men or their
accusations of imposture or of imbecility, as of any weight when opposed to
the repeated observation of facts by other men, admittedly sane and honest.
The whole history of science shows us that whenever the educated and
scientific men of any age have denied the facts of other investigators on a
priori grounds of absurdity or impossibility, the deniers have always been
wrong.[95]
.
User: "James A. Donald"

Title: Re: Distinguishing between science, denial, and disbelief 05 Sep 2007 12:13:10 AM
On Wed, 5 Sep 2007 13:05:42 +1000, "Sean" <hucares@blah.com> wrote:

Shortly afterwards Wallace became a spiritualist. At about the same time he
began to maintain that natural selection cannot account for mathematical,
artistic, or musical genius, as well as metaphysical musings, and wit and
humour. He eventually said that something in "the unseen universe of Spirit"
had interceded at least three times in history: The first was the creation
of life from inorganic matter. The second was the introduction of
consciousness in the higher animals, and the third was the generation of the
higher mental faculties in mankind.

There is obvious continuity between humans and apes, and between
higher and lower animals. Chimpanzees are more like dumb savages than
smart animals, octopi often display apelike intelligence, and hunting
spiders often display almost mammalian levels of intelligence.

He also believed that the raison d'?e
of the universe was the development of the human spirit.[77] These views
greatly disturbed Darwin, who argued that spiritual appeals were not
necessary and that sexual selection could easily explain apparently
non-adaptive mental phenomena.

Darwin conjectured that we evolved the capacity for poetry and dance
to impress members of the opposite sex.
--
----------------------
We have the right to defend ourselves and our property, because
of the kind of animals that we are. True law derives from this
right, not from the arbitrary power of the omnipotent state.
http://www.jim.com/ James A. Donald
.
User: "Sean"

Title: Re: Distinguishing between science, denial, and disbelief 05 Sep 2007 12:31:13 AM
"James A. Donald" <jamesd@echeque.com> wrote in message
news:veesd3pslvukqh95s2fspa6grpq6bvm20c@4ax.com...

On Wed, 5 Sep 2007 13:05:42 +1000, "Sean" <hucares@blah.com> wrote:

Shortly afterwards Wallace became a spiritualist. At about the same time
he
began to maintain that natural selection cannot account for mathematical,
artistic, or musical genius, as well as metaphysical musings, and wit and
humour. He eventually said that something in "the unseen universe of
Spirit"
had interceded at least three times in history: The first was the
creation
of life from inorganic matter. The second was the introduction of
consciousness in the higher animals, and the third was the generation of
the
higher mental faculties in mankind.


There is obvious continuity between humans and apes, and between
higher and lower animals. Chimpanzees are more like dumb savages than
smart animals, octopi often display apelike intelligence, and hunting
spiders often display almost mammalian levels of intelligence.

Similarities do not of themselves equate to continuity of progressive
complexity on a time line.
That human beings are a spinoff from 'apes' via evolution and natural
selection is an unproven theory, not a fact.

He also believed that the raison d'?e
of the universe was the development of the human spirit.[77] These views
greatly disturbed Darwin, who argued that spiritual appeals were not
necessary and that sexual selection could easily explain apparently
non-adaptive mental phenomena.


Darwin conjectured that we evolved the capacity for poetry and dance
to impress members of the opposite sex.

Conjecture, is NOT science, it also is NOT a fact of reality.
Try again.


--
----------------------
We have the right to defend ourselves and our property, because
of the kind of animals that we are. True law derives from this
right, not from the arbitrary power of the omnipotent state.

http://www.jim.com/ James A. Donald

.
User: "Immortalist"

Title: Re: Distinguishing between science, denial, and disbelief 05 Sep 2007 11:00:59 PM
On Sep 4, 10:31 pm, "Sean" <huca...@blah.com> wrote:

"James A. Donald" <jam...@echeque.com> wrote in messagenews:veesd3pslvukqh95s2fspa6grpq6bvm20c@4ax.com...





On Wed, 5 Sep 2007 13:05:42 +1000, "Sean" <huca...@blah.com> wrote:

Shortly afterwards Wallace became a spiritualist. At about the same time
he
began to maintain that natural selection cannot account for mathematical,
artistic, or musical genius, as well as metaphysical musings, and wit and
humour. He eventually said that something in "the unseen universe of
Spirit"
had interceded at least three times in history: The first was the
creation
of life from inorganic matter. The second was the introduction of
consciousness in the higher animals, and the third was the generation of
the
higher mental faculties in mankind.


There is obvious continuity between humans and apes, and between
higher and lower animals. Chimpanzees are more like dumb savages than
smart animals, octopi often display apelike intelligence, and hunting
spiders often display almost mammalian levels of intelligence.


Similarities do not of themselves equate to continuity of progressive
complexity on a time line.

That human beings are a spinoff from 'apes' via evolution and natural
selection is an unproven theory, not a fact.

He also believed that the raison d'?e
of the universe was the development of the human spirit.[77] These views
greatly disturbed Darwin, who argued that spiritual appeals were not
necessary and that sexual selection could easily explain apparently
non-adaptive mental phenomena.


Darwin conjectured that we evolved the capacity for poetry and dance
to impress members of the opposite sex.


Conjecture, is NOT science, it also is NOT a fact of reality.

Try again.

In science, a theory is an explanation. Evolution is a theory, just
like gravitation. Gravity is not a law of nature but an explaination
of observations. If you drop something, it's going to fall. That's an
observation: unsupported things fall. But you explain that observation
with the theory of gravity, which is that the mass of what whatever it
is you dropped, a pencil or a pen or something, is attracted by the
mass...it's really a theory of gravity? But remember, a theory is an
explanation.
Actually your theory about facts and reality needs justification
epistemologically anyways.


.
User: "Sean"

Title: Re: Distinguishing between science, denial, and disbelief 06 Sep 2007 12:58:14 AM
"Immortalist" <reanimater_2000@yahoo.com> wrote in message
news:1189051259.691363.78380@k79g2000hse.googlegroups.com...

On Sep 4, 10:31 pm, "Sean" <huca...@blah.com> wrote:

"James A. Donald" <jam...@echeque.com> wrote in
messagenews:veesd3pslvukqh95s2fspa6grpq6bvm20c@4ax.com...





On Wed, 5 Sep 2007 13:05:42 +1000, "Sean" <huca...@blah.com> wrote:

Shortly afterwards Wallace became a spiritualist. At about the same
time
he
began to maintain that natural selection cannot account for
mathematical,
artistic, or musical genius, as well as metaphysical musings, and wit
and
humour. He eventually said that something in "the unseen universe of
Spirit"
had interceded at least three times in history: The first was the
creation
of life from inorganic matter. The second was the introduction of
consciousness in the higher animals, and the third was the generation
of
the
higher mental faculties in mankind.


There is obvious continuity between humans and apes, and between
higher and lower animals. Chimpanzees are more like dumb savages than
smart animals, octopi often display apelike intelligence, and hunting
spiders often display almost mammalian levels of intelligence.


Similarities do not of themselves equate to continuity of progressive
complexity on a time line.

That human beings are a spinoff from 'apes' via evolution and natural
selection is an unproven theory, not a fact.

He also believed that the raison d'?e
of the universe was the development of the human spirit.[77] These
views
greatly disturbed Darwin, who argued that spiritual appeals were not
necessary and that sexual selection could easily explain apparently
non-adaptive mental phenomena.


Darwin conjectured that we evolved the capacity for poetry and dance
to impress members of the opposite sex.


Conjecture, is NOT science, it also is NOT a fact of reality.

Try again.


In science, a theory is an explanation. Evolution is a theory, just
like gravitation. Gravity is not a law of nature but an explaination
of observations. If you drop something, it's going to fall. That's an
observation: unsupported things fall. But you explain that observation
with the theory of gravity, which is that the mass of what whatever it
is you dropped, a pencil or a pen or something, is attracted by the
mass...it's really a theory of gravity? But remember, a theory is an
explanation.

Semantics my dear immortalist, are all about words and the resulting gaps in
communciation. That's an explanation, it's not a theory. ;-)
But let me say firstly that I hear what you are saying above, and i can
understand you and also accept it without any problem. Do you hear and
understand what I am saying?
[ Sorry my language may not cut it in a physics, biology or philosophy class
or debate .. but my meanings I'm sure are just as valid and well reasoned
and justifiable if that's important to you. I can only do the best I can
do. ]
To take up your points above as way of better explaining my pov, gravity is
a word that captures some of the physical laws of how mass behaves in space.
Gravity is a way to explain these laws using maths and other repeatable
observations. Semantically it is a theory as you say .. but it is not
comaprable to the Theory of Evolution through natural Selection as presented
by Darwin, imho.
There is, imho a hierarchy of the factual adequacy of explanations that may
all be labelled as theories [ there's that semantics again ] Gravity is of
an higher order than the generic term 'evolution' and what that last term
may or not mean.
In my experience, people have this tendancy to make 'evolution' into a giant
woven basket where almost anything biologiocal is able to be depositied and
described under the term 'theory of evolution' [ a misnomer btw because
there is no such thing as that without pullin gin natural selection which
narrows it specifivity considerably ]
Gravities maths has stood the test of time, it is clear and simple. It is
now beyond a mere explanation but I would say it's a known Law of behviour
of objects that follows consistent defined patterns.
Over time much good science has come forth which has verified that darwin's
theories were pretty darn good given his time and place ... and what he was
attemtping to put forward as an idea worth explaining. He had good research,
that research has continued, yet still poeple seem to love to make it much
bigger and braoder than any such research, knowledge or scientific rigour
could put forward as valid as the Gravity.
So i think you are stretching this a beyond being realistic, or factual.
Either way all theiories attemtp, some better than other to 'explain' how
things happens, and what are the limitations/boundaries of those things
occuring. DNA and genetics has come to explain far deeper the HOW of natural
selection, and yet it still does not give an complete understanding of WHY
it works as it does, in all possible situations.
That darwin 'conjectured' in his overall theory that romance etc must be a <