| Topic: |
Religions > Atheism |
| User: |
"topmind" |
| Date: |
08 Oct 2005 09:07:47 PM |
| Object: |
Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
String Theory has been characterized by some as so complex that it can
with minor modifications be bent to fit almost anything observed. It's
almost like a computer language rather than a simple, neat equation
such that it can be "reprogrammed" to fit the observations rather than
the other way around. If alleged "science" books can wonder that far
off the examination course, then it may be hypocritical to discard ID
for being difficult to test (find another reason to reject it).
There seems to be a branch of "speculative science" that ID, String
Theory, Multiple Universes (Anthropic Principle), etc. fall into. They
are generally either difficult to falsify, or too flexible to produce
definative elimination tests for. Remember, being difficult to test and
being "wrong" are not necessarily the same thing.
Also keep in mind that ID could be driven by a smart but physical
alien(s) rather than a diety, so the usual Flying Spehgetti Monster
jabs don't necessarily apply. ID does *not* require supernatural
powers. Just because most of its proponents like the diety version over
the alien version does not by itself make the general concept any less
valid than other hard-to-test ideas.
My point is that we should be as tough on String theorists as we are on
ID'ers with regard to falsifiability. Otherwise, we may risk looking or
being biased and ruining the reputation of science. We don't want to
make it look like we are picking on ideas *just* because we don't like
the political or religious beliefs of idea promoters. (Many voters feel
there is a bias.) We should focus on the ideas, not on the people
behind them.
If we are hellbent to purge textbooks of ID, then we should be equally
hellbent on cleaning them of another Bendmeister King: String "Theory".
-T-
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| User: "Jim07D5" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
08 Oct 2005 10:40:01 PM |
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"topmind" <topmind@technologist.com> said:
<...>
My point is that we should be as tough on String theorists as we are on
ID'ers with regard to falsifiability.
<...>
I will be, if they start telling me what I need to teach in K-12.
--- Jim07D5
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| User: "topmind" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
08 Oct 2005 11:49:14 PM |
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Jim07D5 wrote:
"topmind" <topmind@technologist.com> said:
<...>
My point is that we should be as tough on String theorists as we are on
ID'ers with regard to falsifiability.
<...>
I will be, if they start telling me what I need to teach in K-12.
--- Jim07D5
So flimsey theory should only be allowed in college?
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| User: "Fred Stone" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
09 Oct 2005 07:40:39 AM |
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"topmind" <topmind@technologist.com> wrote in
news:1128833354.785824.223330@f14g2000cwb.googlegroups.com:
Jim07D5 wrote:
"topmind" <topmind@technologist.com> said:
<...>
My point is that we should be as tough on String theorists as we are
on ID'ers with regard to falsifiability.
<...>
I will be, if they start telling me what I need to teach in K-12.
--- Jim07D5
So flimsey theory should only be allowed in college?
Sounds good to me. And before you go there, evolution is *far* from
being a flimsy theory.
--
Fred Stone
aa# 1369
"Well, certainly the president can claim executive privilege.
But in this case, I think with a lifetime appointment to the
Supreme Court, you can't play, you know, hide the salami,
or whatever it's called."
-- Howard Dean, on "Hardball"
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| User: "topmind" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
09 Oct 2005 01:40:36 PM |
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Fred Stone wrote:
"topmind" <topmind@technologist.com> wrote in
news:1128833354.785824.223330@f14g2000cwb.googlegroups.com:
Jim07D5 wrote:
"topmind" <topmind@technologist.com> said:
<...>
My point is that we should be as tough on String theorists as we are
on ID'ers with regard to falsifiability.
<...>
I will be, if they start telling me what I need to teach in K-12.
--- Jim07D5
So flimsey theory should only be allowed in college?
Sounds good to me. And before you go there, evolution is *far* from
being a flimsy theory.
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that seem
acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that don't, and
there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are often idiots and
duhlts, but I think the same human failings can be found in the
scientific establishment in various degrees.
--
Fred Stone
aa# 1369
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| User: "Fred Stone" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
09 Oct 2005 02:29:38 PM |
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"topmind" <topmind@technologist.com> wrote in
news:1128883236.191262.207520@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com:
Fred Stone wrote:
"topmind" <topmind@technologist.com> wrote in
news:1128833354.785824.223330@f14g2000cwb.googlegroups.com:
Jim07D5 wrote:
"topmind" <topmind@technologist.com> said:
<...>
My point is that we should be as tough on String theorists as we
are
on ID'ers with regard to falsifiability.
<...>
I will be, if they start telling me what I need to teach in K-12.
--- Jim07D5
So flimsey theory should only be allowed in college?
Sounds good to me. And before you go there, evolution is *far* from
being a flimsy theory.
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that seem
acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that don't, and
there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are often idiots and
duhlts, but I think the same human failings can be found in the
scientific establishment in various degrees.
But the scientific establishment is well aware of that fact and takes
great pains to avoid making flimsy ideas into "accepted doctrine".
Creationists and IDiots actively resist criticism of their ideas.
--
Fred Stone
aa# 1369
"Well, certainly the president can claim executive privilege.
But in this case, I think with a lifetime appointment to the
Supreme Court, you can't play, you know, hide the salami,
or whatever it's called."
-- Howard Dean, on "Hardball"
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| User: "Matt Silberstein" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
09 Oct 2005 10:37:52 PM |
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On 9 Oct 2005 11:40:36 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1128883236.191262.207520@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
[snip]
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that seem
acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that don't, and
there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are often idiots and
duhlts, but I think the same human failings can be found in the
scientific establishment in various degrees.
I tell you what, sight unseen I would put the flimsiest peer reviewed
scientific String Theory paper to the best creationist or Intelligent
Design paper you can find. I will bet you real money that the worst
published String Theory paper has at least as much, and likely far
more, evidence in support and scientific rigor as the best creationist
or Intelligent Design paper you can find. What do you think?
--
Matt Silberstein
Do something today about the Darfur Genocide
Genocide is news | Be A Witness
http://www.beawitness.org
"Darfur: A Genocide We can Stop"
www.darfurgenocide.org
Save Darfur.org :: Violence and Suffering in Sudan's Darfur Region
http://www.savedarfur.org/
.
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| User: "topmind" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
17 Oct 2005 02:59:12 AM |
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Matt Silberstein wrote:
On 9 Oct 2005 11:40:36 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1128883236.191262.207520@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
[snip]
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that seem
acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that don't, and
there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are often idiots and
duhlts, but I think the same human failings can be found in the
scientific establishment in various degrees.
I tell you what, sight unseen I would put the flimsiest peer reviewed
scientific String Theory paper to the best creationist or Intelligent
Design paper you can find. I will bet you real money that the worst
published String Theory paper has at least as much, and likely far
more, evidence in support and scientific rigor as the best creationist
or Intelligent Design paper you can find. What do you think?
So if somebody creates a bunch of complicated math that has so many
wiggle-room holes and 11-dimensional escape routes such that it can be
re-parameterized to predict whatever is observed, it is automatically
better than ID?
I think you put too much faith in mathameticians. If they keep on this
route, they will actually be building a god.
--
Matt Silberstein
-T-
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| User: "Ben Kaufman" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
18 Oct 2005 12:40:33 AM |
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On 17 Oct 2005 00:59:12 -0700, "topmind" <topmind@technologist.com> wrote:
Matt Silberstein wrote:
On 9 Oct 2005 11:40:36 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1128883236.191262.207520@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
[snip]
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that seem
acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that don't, and
there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are often idiots and
duhlts, but I think the same human failings can be found in the
scientific establishment in various degrees.
I tell you what, sight unseen I would put the flimsiest peer reviewed
scientific String Theory paper to the best creationist or Intelligent
Design paper you can find. I will bet you real money that the worst
published String Theory paper has at least as much, and likely far
more, evidence in support and scientific rigor as the best creationist
or Intelligent Design paper you can find. What do you think?
So if somebody creates a bunch of complicated math that has so many
wiggle-room holes and 11-dimensional escape routes such that it can be
re-parameterized to predict whatever is observed, it is automatically
better than ID?
I think you put too much faith in mathameticians. If they keep on this
route, they will actually be building a god.
<snip>
-T-
Read what he said again, he said "peer reviewed" and he didn't say it should be
in a high school text book.
Ben
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| User: "Matt Silberstein" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
18 Oct 2005 06:30:42 AM |
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On 17 Oct 2005 00:59:12 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1129535952.362911.294310@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
Matt Silberstein wrote:
On 9 Oct 2005 11:40:36 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1128883236.191262.207520@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
[snip]
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that seem
acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that don't, and
there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are often idiots and
duhlts, but I think the same human failings can be found in the
scientific establishment in various degrees.
I tell you what, sight unseen I would put the flimsiest peer reviewed
scientific String Theory paper to the best creationist or Intelligent
Design paper you can find. I will bet you real money that the worst
published String Theory paper has at least as much, and likely far
more, evidence in support and scientific rigor as the best creationist
or Intelligent Design paper you can find. What do you think?
So if somebody creates a bunch of complicated math that has so many
wiggle-room holes and 11-dimensional escape routes such that it can be
re-parameterized to predict whatever is observed, it is automatically
better than ID?
I think you put too much faith in mathameticians. If they keep on this
route, they will actually be building a god.
I missed something with my last response. I did not say it
*automatically* made it better. I gave you a *challenge*. I
*predicted* it would be better. All you have to do now is produce the
best ID paper you can find, the one that you think is actual science.
Then we can see how it stacks up to a poor quality String Theory
paper. It was a bet, do you want to take me up on it or do you agree
that, as a matter of fact not definition, the ID paper will be much
worse science than the peer reviewed String Theory paper?
--
Matt Silberstein
Do something today about the Darfur Genocide
Genocide is news | Be A Witness
http://www.beawitness.org
"Darfur: A Genocide We can Stop"
www.darfurgenocide.org
Save Darfur.org :: Violence and Suffering in Sudan's Darfur Region
http://www.savedarfur.org/
.
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| User: "topmind" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
23 Oct 2005 02:33:10 AM |
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Matt Silberstein wrote:
On 17 Oct 2005 00:59:12 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1129535952.362911.294310@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
Matt Silberstein wrote:
On 9 Oct 2005 11:40:36 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1128883236.191262.207520@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
[snip]
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that seem
acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that don't, and
there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are often idiots and
duhlts, but I think the same human failings can be found in the
scientific establishment in various degrees.
I tell you what, sight unseen I would put the flimsiest peer reviewed
scientific String Theory paper to the best creationist or Intelligent
Design paper you can find. I will bet you real money that the worst
published String Theory paper has at least as much, and likely far
more, evidence in support and scientific rigor as the best creationist
or Intelligent Design paper you can find. What do you think?
So if somebody creates a bunch of complicated math that has so many
wiggle-room holes and 11-dimensional escape routes such that it can be
re-parameterized to predict whatever is observed, it is automatically
better than ID?
I think you put too much faith in mathameticians. If they keep on this
route, they will actually be building a god.
I missed something with my last response. I did not say it
*automatically* made it better. I gave you a *challenge*. I
*predicted* it would be better. All you have to do now is produce the
best ID paper you can find, the one that you think is actual science.
Then we can see how it stacks up to a poor quality String Theory
paper. It was a bet, do you want to take me up on it or do you agree
that, as a matter of fact not definition, the ID paper will be much
worse science than the peer reviewed String Theory paper?
How do we test "worse"? Worsometer?
I suppose you could claim that misused math is better than a theory
that has no mathematical model. However, evolution has not been
mathematically modeled that I know of. Well, I take that back, there
are some computer simulations that could be called "math" algorithms
(an interesting classification debate itself), but those are recent.
Evo was still considered the best theory *before* such simulations were
possible. Thus, math was not necessary back them to make it "science".
Nor has a "god" simulation been ruled out. As I mentioned elsewhere, if
time can flow backward outside of our universe, then a creator may be
possible without relying on the "supernatural".
Thus, untested A does not seem better than untested B so far.
--
Matt Silberstein
-T-
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| User: "Matt Silberstein" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
23 Oct 2005 05:37:40 PM |
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On 23 Oct 2005 00:33:10 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1130052790.038896.6880@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
Matt Silberstein wrote:
On 17 Oct 2005 00:59:12 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1129535952.362911.294310@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
Matt Silberstein wrote:
On 9 Oct 2005 11:40:36 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1128883236.191262.207520@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
[snip]
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that seem
acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that don't, and
there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are often idiots and
duhlts, but I think the same human failings can be found in the
scientific establishment in various degrees.
I tell you what, sight unseen I would put the flimsiest peer reviewed
scientific String Theory paper to the best creationist or Intelligent
Design paper you can find. I will bet you real money that the worst
published String Theory paper has at least as much, and likely far
more, evidence in support and scientific rigor as the best creationist
or Intelligent Design paper you can find. What do you think?
So if somebody creates a bunch of complicated math that has so many
wiggle-room holes and 11-dimensional escape routes such that it can be
re-parameterized to predict whatever is observed, it is automatically
better than ID?
I think you put too much faith in mathameticians. If they keep on this
route, they will actually be building a god.
I missed something with my last response. I did not say it
*automatically* made it better. I gave you a *challenge*. I
*predicted* it would be better. All you have to do now is produce the
best ID paper you can find, the one that you think is actual science.
Then we can see how it stacks up to a poor quality String Theory
paper. It was a bet, do you want to take me up on it or do you agree
that, as a matter of fact not definition, the ID paper will be much
worse science than the peer reviewed String Theory paper?
How do we test "worse"? Worsometer?
Lets look. Try to see if they propose some tests. Try to see if they
attempt to support their own ideas rather than attack those of others.
Try to see if they make use of the best current science or deal with
things decades old.
I suppose you could claim that misused math is better than a theory
that has no mathematical model. However, evolution has not been
mathematically modeled that I know of.
So you don't know, that is your issue. (The question here, though, was
String Theory vs. ID). There is plenty of math in evolution. Look up
Population Genetics, for an example.
Well, I take that back, there
are some computer simulations that could be called "math" algorithms
(an interesting classification debate itself), but those are recent.
Evo was still considered the best theory *before* such simulations were
possible.
What a surprise, it was science before there were computers.
Thus, math was not necessary back them to make it "science".
I agree, but that was not the claim or the point. This is a strawman.
Nor has a "god" simulation been ruled out.
I don't have a clue what that means.
As I mentioned elsewhere, if
time can flow backward outside of our universe, then a creator may be
possible without relying on the "supernatural".
Sorry, but the "if" part, referring to something that bears no
relationship to what we actually observe, makes it nonsense. I don't
care if it is non-supernatural nonsense. If and when you have a whole
lot of evidence for time actually "flowing backwards" and for
intentional beings going back in time to the appropriate times and
places and for them doing the appropriate things, then you might have
science. That some thing could be science does not mean that some
other thing is science.
Thus, untested A does not seem better than untested B so far.
I repeat: show me the best ID paper and I will try to find a terrible
String Theory paper and we can compare them. Don't hand wave about
time going backwards, show me the scientific peer reviewed paper on
the topic. And on how designers actually did go back in time and do
something.
--
Matt Silberstein
Do something today about the Darfur Genocide
Genocide is news | Be A Witness
http://www.beawitness.org
"Darfur: A Genocide We can Stop"
www.darfurgenocide.org
Save Darfur.org :: Violence and Suffering in Sudan's Darfur Region
http://www.savedarfur.org/
.
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| User: "topmind" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
30 Oct 2005 01:30:05 PM |
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[snip]
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that seem
acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that don't, and
there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are often idiots and
duhlts, but I think the same human failings can be found in the
scientific establishment in various degrees.
I tell you what, sight unseen I would put the flimsiest peer reviewed
scientific String Theory paper to the best creationist or Intelligent
Design paper you can find. I will bet you real money that the worst
published String Theory paper has at least as much, and likely far
more, evidence in support and scientific rigor as the best creationist
or Intelligent Design paper you can find. What do you think?
So if somebody creates a bunch of complicated math that has so many
wiggle-room holes and 11-dimensional escape routes such that it can be
re-parameterized to predict whatever is observed, it is automatically
better than ID?
I think you put too much faith in mathameticians. If they keep on this
route, they will actually be building a god.
I missed something with my last response. I did not say it
*automatically* made it better. I gave you a *challenge*. I
*predicted* it would be better. All you have to do now is produce the
best ID paper you can find, the one that you think is actual science.
Then we can see how it stacks up to a poor quality String Theory
paper. It was a bet, do you want to take me up on it or do you agree
that, as a matter of fact not definition, the ID paper will be much
worse science than the peer reviewed String Theory paper?
How do we test "worse"? Worsometer?
Lets look. Try to see if they propose some tests. Try to see if they
attempt to support their own ideas rather than attack those of others.
Try to see if they make use of the best current science or deal with
things decades old.
Who is this "they" and why does it matter? Test ideas, not people. The
laws of the universe don't count the number of supporters or sample
their other opinions before they decide whether to activate themselves.
I suppose you could claim that misused math is better than a theory
that has no mathematical model. However, evolution has not been
mathematically modeled that I know of.
So you don't know, that is your issue. (The question here, though, was
String Theory vs. ID). There is plenty of math in evolution. Look up
Population Genetics, for an example.
But that just counts stuff. It does not show how very complex organisms
do come from simple ones. It takes large extrapolation from much
smaller scales to conclude that.
Well, I take that back, there
are some computer simulations that could be called "math" algorithms
(an interesting classification debate itself), but those are recent.
Evo was still considered the best theory *before* such simulations were
possible.
What a surprise, it was science before there were computers.
Which shows that full simulation is not a prerequisite to be considered
"science". You make it sound like I am attacking the merit of natural
selection. I am not, so your sarcasm is moot.
Thus, math was not necessary back them to make it "science".
I agree, but that was not the claim or the point. This is a strawman.
I thought the premise was that ST had "math" and ID did not, and thus
ST was "science" because of that. Please clarify your criteria for
"science", and please DON'T include the behavior of supporters as part
of it.
In fact, let's make it a CHALLENGE:
Present some clear-cut criteria for being "science" that flunks ID but
does NOT flunk:
1. Natural Selection
2. Multiple Universes (Anthropic Principle)
3. String Theory
and does NOT involve the behavior of supporters or detractors as part
of the criteria. In other words, no "but ID'ers won't do this and
that".
Nor has a "god" simulation been ruled out.
I don't have a clue what that means.
That would take too long to describe. Let's file that one for now.
As I mentioned elsewhere, if
time can flow backward outside of our universe, then a creator may be
possible without relying on the "supernatural".
Sorry, but the "if" part, referring to something that bears no
relationship to what we actually observe, makes it nonsense. I don't
care if it is non-supernatural nonsense. If and when you have a whole
lot of evidence for time actually "flowing backwards" and for
intentional beings going back in time to the appropriate times and
places and for them doing the appropriate things, then you might have
science. That some thing could be science does not mean that some
other thing is science.
Again, I never claimed that such was a "strong" idea. I am only saying
ID is a contendor in the race, not the best bet. It is a "scientific
idea", unlike what many of you claim.
Thus, untested A does not seem better than untested B so far.
I repeat: show me the best ID paper and I will try to find a terrible
String Theory paper and we can compare them. Don't hand wave about
time going backwards,
So ST gets to handwave about assuming 11 dimensions, but others can't
touch time? Screw that! You get to fiddle, I get to fiddle. If cranking
out dimensions is allowed, but touching time is not, who gets to make
such borders???
show me the scientific peer reviewed paper on
the topic. And on how designers actually did go back in time and do
something.
At this point it is "speculative science", and I will agree that ID
should be classified as "speculative science", along with time-travel
and MU's. But speculative science is *still* science, so saying that ID
is "not science" is incorrect.
Link on time-travel:
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/time/sagan.html
Snippets from link:
Sagan: It's still somewhat of a heretical ideal to suggest that every
interference with an event in the past leads to a fork, a branch in
causality. You have two equally valid universes: one, the one that we
all know and love, and the other, which is brought about by the act of
time travel. I know the idea of the universe having to work out a
self-consistent causality is appealing to a great many physicists, but
I don't find the argument for it so compelling. I think inconsistencies
might very well be consistent with the universe.
NOVA: As a physicist, what do you make of Stephen Hawking's
chronological protection conjecture [which holds that the laws of
physics disallow time machines]?
Sagan: There have been some toy experiments in which, at just the
moment that the time machine is actuated, the universe conspires to
blow it up, which has led Hawking and others to conclude that nature
will contrive it so that time travel never in fact occurs. But no one
actually knows that this is the case, and it cannot be known until we
have a full theory of quantum gravity, which we do not seem to be on
the verge of yet.
More links:
http://www.lifesci.sussex.ac.uk/home/John_Gribbin/timetrav.htm
It is gonna be hoot when the Supreme Court has to make rulings on the
possibility of time travel.
-T-
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| User: "Fred Stone" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
30 Oct 2005 05:26:48 PM |
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"topmind" <topmind@technologist.com> wrote in
news:1130700605.920687.290970@z14g2000cwz.googlegroups.com:
[snip]
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that
seem acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that
don't, and there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are
often idiots and duhlts, but I think the same human failings
can be found in the scientific establishment in various
degrees.
I tell you what, sight unseen I would put the flimsiest peer
reviewed scientific String Theory paper to the best creationist
or Intelligent Design paper you can find. I will bet you real
money that the worst published String Theory paper has at least
as much, and likely far more, evidence in support and
scientific rigor as the best creationist or Intelligent Design
paper you can find. What do you think?
So if somebody creates a bunch of complicated math that has so
many wiggle-room holes and 11-dimensional escape routes such that
it can be re-parameterized to predict whatever is observed, it is
automatically better than ID?
I think you put too much faith in mathameticians. If they keep on
this route, they will actually be building a god.
I missed something with my last response. I did not say it
*automatically* made it better. I gave you a *challenge*. I
*predicted* it would be better. All you have to do now is produce
the best ID paper you can find, the one that you think is actual
science. Then we can see how it stacks up to a poor quality String
Theory paper. It was a bet, do you want to take me up on it or do
you agree that, as a matter of fact not definition, the ID paper
will be much worse science than the peer reviewed String Theory
paper?
How do we test "worse"? Worsometer?
Lets look. Try to see if they propose some tests. Try to see if they
attempt to support their own ideas rather than attack those of
others. Try to see if they make use of the best current science or
deal with things decades old.
Who is this "they" and why does it matter? Test ideas, not people. The
laws of the universe don't count the number of supporters or sample
their other opinions before they decide whether to activate
themselves.
Well, what are you waiting for? Let's see some of these ideas for how to
test ID. And don't complain about what people do about other scientific
ideas.
--
Fred Stone
aa# 1369
"Nothing brings shame upon capitulators
quite like the courage of their allies."
— Robert Garcia Tagorda
.
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| User: "Matt Silberstein" |
|
| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
30 Oct 2005 04:55:50 PM |
|
|
On 30 Oct 2005 11:30:05 -0800, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1130700605.920687.290970@z14g2000cwz.googlegroups.com> wrote:
[snip]
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that seem
acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that don't, and
there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are often idiots and
duhlts, but I think the same human failings can be found in the
scientific establishment in various degrees.
I tell you what, sight unseen I would put the flimsiest peer reviewed
scientific String Theory paper to the best creationist or Intelligent
Design paper you can find. I will bet you real money that the worst
published String Theory paper has at least as much, and likely far
more, evidence in support and scientific rigor as the best creationist
or Intelligent Design paper you can find. What do you think?
So if somebody creates a bunch of complicated math that has so many
wiggle-room holes and 11-dimensional escape routes such that it can be
re-parameterized to predict whatever is observed, it is automatically
better than ID?
I think you put too much faith in mathameticians. If they keep on this
route, they will actually be building a god.
I missed something with my last response. I did not say it
*automatically* made it better. I gave you a *challenge*. I
*predicted* it would be better. All you have to do now is produce the
best ID paper you can find, the one that you think is actual science.
Then we can see how it stacks up to a poor quality String Theory
paper. It was a bet, do you want to take me up on it or do you agree
that, as a matter of fact not definition, the ID paper will be much
worse science than the peer reviewed String Theory paper?
How do we test "worse"? Worsometer?
Lets look. Try to see if they propose some tests. Try to see if they
attempt to support their own ideas rather than attack those of others.
Try to see if they make use of the best current science or deal with
things decades old.
Who is this "they" and why does it matter? Test ideas, not people.
Give me some ideas from design. All you have done is attack String
Theory and Multiple Universes, I have not seen any positive idea from
you on design.
The
laws of the universe don't count the number of supporters or sample
their other opinions before they decide whether to activate themselves.
You got so interested in your hobby horse you lost track of the
discussion. We are not now talking about the "laws of the universe",
but the science value of ID. And in that context looking at actual
work, rather than waving our hands in the air, is a valid procedure.
I suppose you could claim that misused math is better than a theory
that has no mathematical model. However, evolution has not been
mathematically modeled that I know of.
So you don't know, that is your issue. (The question here, though, was
String Theory vs. ID). There is plenty of math in evolution. Look up
Population Genetics, for an example.
But that just counts stuff.
I guess you did not look it up. It does not "just count stuff". Try
again.
It does not show how very complex organisms
do come from simple ones. It takes large extrapolation from much
smaller scales to conclude that.
Try to keep those goalposts in one place. You made a claim about
mathematical modeling of evolution. In fact, there is modeling of
origin of complexity. If we see evolution as a bounded (since there is
a minimum complexity to a reproducing organism) multi-dimensional
random walk then we would expect to see a small increase in the
complexity of the "most complex" organism. And what we see is that
overwhelmingly most life on Earth is "simple" (single celled). This
has been modeled.
Well, I take that back, there
are some computer simulations that could be called "math" algorithms
(an interesting classification debate itself), but those are recent.
Evo was still considered the best theory *before* such simulations were
possible.
What a surprise, it was science before there were computers.
Which shows that full simulation is not a prerequisite to be considered
"science".
Who said it was?
You make it sound like I am attacking the merit of natural
selection. I am not, so your sarcasm is moot.
I have no idea what point you were making here.
Thus, math was not necessary back them to make it "science".
I agree, but that was not the claim or the point. This is a strawman.
I thought the premise was that ST had "math" and ID did not, and thus
ST was "science" because of that. Please clarify your criteria for
"science", and please DON'T include the behavior of supporters as part
of it.
In fact, let's make it a CHALLENGE:
Present some clear-cut criteria for being "science" that flunks ID but
does NOT flunk:
1. Natural Selection
2. Multiple Universes (Anthropic Principle)
3. String Theory
The Anthropic Principle is not science. String theory is a possible
candidate. Natural Selection is an observed phenomena. It is also a
model we can and have used to make predictions.
and does NOT involve the behavior of supporters or detractors as part
of the criteria. In other words, no "but ID'ers won't do this and
that".
To be science something has have public parsimonious predictive models
that explain observation. To be non-rejected science those predictions
have to fit our observations. NS fits that, String theory proponents
hope to some day. ID can't.
Nor has a "god" simulation been ruled out.
I don't have a clue what that means.
That would take too long to describe. Let's file that one for now.
As I mentioned elsewhere, if
time can flow backward outside of our universe, then a creator may be
possible without relying on the "supernatural".
Sorry, but the "if" part, referring to something that bears no
relationship to what we actually observe, makes it nonsense. I don't
care if it is non-supernatural nonsense. If and when you have a whole
lot of evidence for time actually "flowing backwards" and for
intentional beings going back in time to the appropriate times and
places and for them doing the appropriate things, then you might have
science. That some thing could be science does not mean that some
other thing is science.
Again, I never claimed that such was a "strong" idea. I am only saying
ID is a contendor in the race, not the best bet. It is a "scientific
idea", unlike what many of you claim.
The world is full of weak discarded ideas. Better we should explain
essentialism and why that is a dangerous approach than discuss the
nonsense that is ID. It is not a contender, it is a participant who
never bothered to fill out the entry form and sits in the easy chair
complaining that science does not use the right shoes.
Thus, untested A does not seem better than untested B so far.
I repeat: show me the best ID paper and I will try to find a terrible
String Theory paper and we can compare them. Don't hand wave about
time going backwards,
So ST gets to handwave about assuming 11 dimensions, but others can't
touch time? Screw that! You get to fiddle, I get to fiddle. If cranking
out dimensions is allowed, but touching time is not, who gets to make
such borders???
I am very sorry that you don't understand the physics involved. If and
when they get ST accepted at science it will be because they have the
best available explanation for what we see with the fewest
assumptions. Time going backwards is a "let us pretend the world acts
differently". Extra dimensions is a "lets see what happens if we line
things up like this".
show me the scientific peer reviewed paper on
the topic. And on how designers actually did go back in time and do
something.
At this point it is "speculative science", and I will agree that ID
should be classified as "speculative science",
What are some of the speculations?
along with time-travel
and MU's. But speculative science is *still* science, so saying that ID
is "not science" is incorrect.
No, ID is not science, it is not speculative science, it is, at best,
vague ill-defined notions.
Link on time-travel:
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/time/sagan.html
Snippets from link:
Sagan: It's still somewhat of a heretical ideal to suggest that every
interference with an event in the past leads to a fork, a branch in
causality. You have two equally valid universes: one, the one that we
all know and love, and the other, which is brought about by the act of
time travel. I know the idea of the universe having to work out a
self-consistent causality is appealing to a great many physicists, but
I don't find the argument for it so compelling. I think inconsistencies
might very well be consistent with the universe.
NOVA: As a physicist, what do you make of Stephen Hawking's
chronological protection conjecture [which holds that the laws of
physics disallow time machines]?
Sagan: There have been some toy experiments in which, at just the
moment that the time machine is actuated, the universe conspires to
blow it up, which has led Hawking and others to conclude that nature
will contrive it so that time travel never in fact occurs. But no one
actually knows that this is the case, and it cannot be known until we
have a full theory of quantum gravity, which we do not seem to be on
the verge of yet.
More links:
http://www.lifesci.sussex.ac.uk/home/John_Gribbin/timetrav.htm
It is gonna be hoot when the Supreme Court has to make rulings on the
possibility of time travel.
SFW? When you or he or someone else actually has something let me
know.
(BTW, my preferred solution to indeterminacy is non-local hidden
variables. I am told that this leads to problems with causality which,
in physics speak, means that some *particles* might travel in time
funny. That does not mean that people will or have.)
--
Matt Silberstein
Do something today about the Darfur Genocide
http://www.beawitness.org
http://www.darfurgenocide.org
http://www.savedarfur.org
"Darfur: A Genocide We can Stop"
.
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| User: "topmind" |
|
| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
31 Oct 2005 09:51:59 PM |
|
|
The
laws of the universe don't count the number of supporters or sample
their other opinions before they decide whether to activate themselves.
You got so interested in your hobby horse you lost track of the
discussion. We are not now talking about the "laws of the universe",
but the science value of ID. And in that context looking at actual
work, rather than waving our hands in the air, is a valid procedure.
No, we were talking about whether the opinions of some ID proponents
make an idea turn less likely.
I suppose you could claim that misused math is better than a theory
that has no mathematical model. However, evolution has not been
mathematically modeled that I know of.
So you don't know, that is your issue. (The question here, though, was
String Theory vs. ID). There is plenty of math in evolution. Look up
Population Genetics, for an example.
But that just counts stuff.
I guess you did not look it up. It does not "just count stuff". Try
again.
It does not show how very complex organisms
do come from simple ones. It takes large extrapolation from much
smaller scales to conclude that.
Try to keep those goalposts in one place. You made a claim about
mathematical modeling of evolution. In fact, there is modeling of
origin of complexity. If we see evolution as a bounded (since there is
a minimum complexity to a reproducing organism) multi-dimensional
random walk then we would expect to see a small increase in the
complexity of the "most complex" organism. And what we see is that
overwhelmingly most life on Earth is "simple" (single celled). This
has been modeled.
Are you claiming it is mathematically proven that it can significantly
increase complexity, not merely change?
Well, I take that back, there
are some computer simulations that could be called "math" algorithms
(an interesting classification debate itself), but those are recent.
Evo was still considered the best theory *before* such simulations were
possible.
What a surprise, it was science before there were computers.
Which shows that full simulation is not a prerequisite to be considered
"science".
Who said it was?
If you didn't, then keep that in mind.
Thus, math was not necessary back them to make it "science".
I agree, but that was not the claim or the point. This is a strawman.
I thought the premise was that ST had "math" and ID did not, and thus
ST was "science" because of that. Please clarify your criteria for
"science", and please DON'T include the behavior of supporters as part
of it.
In fact, let's make it a CHALLENGE:
Present some clear-cut criteria for being "science" that flunks ID but
does NOT flunk:
1. Natural Selection
2. Multiple Universes (Anthropic Principle)
3. String Theory
The Anthropic Principle is not science.
Well, some claim it is a scientific idea. In a court case one can
likely show that AP is considered a scientific idea by some scientists.
You can't change your criteria just to kill one theory for the judges.
As I mentioned elsewhere, if
time can flow backward outside of our universe, then a creator may be
possible without relying on the "supernatural".
Sorry, but the "if" part, referring to something that bears no
relationship to what we actually observe, makes it nonsense. I don't
care if it is non-supernatural nonsense. If and when you have a whole
lot of evidence for time actually "flowing backwards" and for
intentional beings going back in time to the appropriate times and
places and for them doing the appropriate things, then you might have
science. That some thing could be science does not mean that some
other thing is science.
Again, I never claimed that such was a "strong" idea. I am only saying
ID is a contendor in the race, not the best bet. It is a "scientific
idea", unlike what many of you claim.
The world is full of weak discarded ideas. Better we should explain
essentialism and why that is a dangerous approach than discuss the
nonsense that is ID. It is not a contender, it is a participant who
never bothered to fill out the entry form and sits in the easy chair
complaining that science does not use the right shoes.
It should be in textbooks because common questions should be addressed.
Many anti-IDists suggest one cannot do this because it is "religion".
The idea itself is not inherently religion any more than the MU
proposal is.
Thus, untested A does not seem better than untested B so far.
I repeat: show me the best ID paper and I will try to find a terrible
String Theory paper and we can compare them. Don't hand wave about
time going backwards,
So ST gets to handwave about assuming 11 dimensions, but others can't
touch time? Screw that! You get to fiddle, I get to fiddle. If cranking
out dimensions is allowed, but touching time is not, who gets to make
such borders???
I am very sorry that you don't understand the physics involved. If and
when they get ST accepted at science it will be because they have the
best available explanation for what we see with the fewest
assumptions. Time going backwards is a "let us pretend the world acts
differently". Extra dimensions is a "lets see what happens if we line
things up like this".
11 deminsions counts as "less assumptions" than making an existing
dimension, time, bidirectional?
show me the scientific peer reviewed paper on
the topic. And on how designers actually did go back in time and do
something.
At this point it is "speculative science", and I will agree that ID
should be classified as "speculative science",
What are some of the speculations?
What do you mean?
along with time-travel
and MU's. But speculative science is *still* science, so saying that ID
is "not science" is incorrect.
No, ID is not science, it is not speculative science, it is, at best,
vague ill-defined notions.
Well like I said above, some still classify it as science. It is the
first stage of science: propose hypotheses.
--
Matt Silberstein
-T-
.
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| User: "Matt Silberstein" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
01 Nov 2005 08:16:06 AM |
|
|
On 31 Oct 2005 19:51:59 -0800, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1130817119.878004.7280@g14g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
The
laws of the universe don't count the number of supporters or sample
their other opinions before they decide whether to activate themselves.
You got so interested in your hobby horse you lost track of the
discussion. We are not now talking about the "laws of the universe",
but the science value of ID. And in that context looking at actual
work, rather than waving our hands in the air, is a valid procedure.
No, we were talking about whether the opinions of some ID proponents
make an idea turn less likely.
Well, you made a large unmarked snip that removed the context, so it
is now a bit harder to show that you are wrong. You had said: " I am
just comparing flimsy ideas that seem acceptable to the science
community to flimsy ideas that don't, and there seems to be some
bias." So, starting off, *you* were talking about the views of the
supporters of something. In response I have said that we should test
this "flimsy" claim. Put up the best from the ID side and the worse
from the ST side and see what we have. If you are not willing to make
an actual test then all we have is your unsupported claim about
"flimsy". If you won't test your claims then they are worthless.
I suppose you could claim that misused math is better than a theory
that has no mathematical model. However, evolution has not been
mathematically modeled that I know of.
So you don't know, that is your issue. (The question here, though, was
String Theory vs. ID). There is plenty of math in evolution. Look up
Population Genetics, for an example.
But that just counts stuff.
I guess you did not look it up. It does not "just count stuff". Try
again.
It does not show how very complex organisms
do come from simple ones. It takes large extrapolation from much
smaller scales to conclude that.
Try to keep those goalposts in one place. You made a claim about
mathematical modeling of evolution. In fact, there is modeling of
origin of complexity. If we see evolution as a bounded (since there is
a minimum complexity to a reproducing organism) multi-dimensional
random walk then we would expect to see a small increase in the
complexity of the "most complex" organism. And what we see is that
overwhelmingly most life on Earth is "simple" (single celled). This
has been modeled.
Are you claiming it is mathematically proven that it can significantly
increase complexity, not merely change?
Pretty much so. Evolution is a stochastic process, it is dependent on
random (to the situation) inputs, so we don't get the same kind of
proofs as we might elsewhere. But, yes, the math does say that we
should expect to see slight increases in maximum complexity over time.
Not always and there may well be upper bound to the complexity of
life, we don't know that at all, but we would expect an increase from
the lower bound.
Well, I take that back, there
are some computer simulations that could be called "math" algorithms
(an interesting classification debate itself), but those are recent.
Evo was still considered the best theory *before* such simulations were
possible.
What a surprise, it was science before there were computers.
Which shows that full simulation is not a prerequisite to be considered
"science".
Who said it was?
If you didn't, then keep that in mind.
Sure. But let's be clear. f=ma is not a "full simulation". And maybe
it is not even meaningful to consider it a simulation at all.
Thus, math was not necessary back them to make it "science".
I agree, but that was not the claim or the point. This is a strawman.
I thought the premise was that ST had "math" and ID did not, and thus
ST was "science" because of that. Please clarify your criteria for
"science", and please DON'T include the behavior of supporters as part
of it.
In fact, let's make it a CHALLENGE:
Present some clear-cut criteria for being "science" that flunks ID but
does NOT flunk:
1. Natural Selection
2. Multiple Universes (Anthropic Principle)
3. String Theory
The Anthropic Principle is not science.
Well, some claim it is a scientific idea.
Who?
In a court case one can
likely show that AP is considered a scientific idea by some scientists.
You can't change your criteria just to kill one theory for the judges.
This may well be one of the worst, most disingenuous argument I have
see, and I have see lots in my years of arguing with creationists. You
toss up an invalid standard (courts), assert an unsupported claim
(courts would accept the anthropic principle), and then accuse me of a
dishonesty (changing my criteria). There is something about the
vacuity of ID ideas that somehow leads people to this kind of
argument.
Sorry, but courts don't determine science. At best they decide what
they will accept as scientific. You are probably wrong about the
anthropic principle and courts. Either way, it would only tell us
about courts (what courts? English? Italian? Saudi?), not about the
science.
As I mentioned elsewhere, if
time can flow backward outside of our universe, then a creator may be
possible without relying on the "supernatural".
Sorry, but the "if" part, referring to something that bears no
relationship to what we actually observe, makes it nonsense. I don't
care if it is non-supernatural nonsense. If and when you have a whole
lot of evidence for time actually "flowing backwards" and for
intentional beings going back in time to the appropriate times and
places and for them doing the appropriate things, then you might have
science. That some thing could be science does not mean that some
other thing is science.
Again, I never claimed that such was a "strong" idea. I am only saying
ID is a contendor in the race, not the best bet. It is a "scientific
idea", unlike what many of you claim.
The world is full of weak discarded ideas. Better we should explain
essentialism and why that is a dangerous approach than discuss the
nonsense that is ID. It is not a contender, it is a participant who
never bothered to fill out the entry form and sits in the easy chair
complaining that science does not use the right shoes.
It should be in textbooks because common questions should be addressed.
And now you see some value in the popularity of an idea. I agree that
I can see some mention of ID in the context of "here are some ideas
that lots of people are wrong about". As Behe said (under oath), ID
belongs with astrology. It belongs with homeopathy (another idea lots
of people see as having value).
[snip]
Many anti-IDists suggest one cannot do this because it is "religion".
The idea itself is not inherently religion any more than the MU
proposal is.
Sure it is inherently religion. The designer is always and must always
be undefined, unsupported by evidence, able to do anything necessary
to solve the problem at hand, etc. ID does not include or discuss
archaeology, for instance, because that deals with known evidence
supported constrained designers. When we have such evidence it is
science and it is no longer ID.
[snip]
I am very sorry that you don't understand the physics involved. If and
when they get ST accepted at science it will be because they have the
best available explanation for what we see with the fewest
assumptions. Time going backwards is a "let us pretend the world acts
differently". Extra dimensions is a "lets see what happens if we line
things up like this".
11 deminsions counts as "less assumptions" than making an existing
dimension, time, bidirectional?
No. But, again, that you don't understand the science and math informs
about you, not the science. You were the one who brought up the going
back in time notion, not me. That was your supposedly scientific
solution to the ID problem.
show me the scientific peer reviewed paper on
the topic. And on how designers actually did go back in time and do
something.
At this point it is "speculative science", and I will agree that ID
should be classified as "speculative science",
What are some of the speculations?
What do you mean?
If it is speculative then someone must have made some speculations.
Someone, in all these centuries, must have gotten past "it was
designed" and speculated, at the very least, on the issue. So tell me
about it. Give me something else to ID, give me something other than
"it was designed". Otherwise the mention in school could take 1
minute:
"Some people answer problems in biology (and physics and geology and
meteorology and astronomy) by saying it was designed. That is all they
say, they never say a single other thing, they never do any
experiments, they never make any predictions, they never bother to
take a single other step at all."
along with time-travel
and MU's. But speculative science is *still* science, so saying that ID
is "not science" is incorrect.
No, ID is not science, it is not speculative science, it is, at best,
vague ill-defined notions.
Well like I said above, some still classify it as science. It is the
first stage of science: propose hypotheses.
And, again, we have your claims for popularity: "some claims". Ok,
I'll bite, what hypotheses do they propose?
--
Matt Silberstein
Do something today about the Darfur Genocide
http://www.beawitness.org
http://www.darfurgenocide.org
http://www.savedarfur.org
"Darfur: A Genocide We can Stop"
.
|
|
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| User: "topmind" |
|
| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
05 Nov 2005 07:38:09 PM |
|
|
I suppose you could claim that misused math is better than a theory
that has no mathematical model. However, evolution has not been
mathematically modeled that I know of.
So you don't know, that is your issue. (The question here, though, was
String Theory vs. ID). There is plenty of math in evolution. Look up
Population Genetics, for an example.
But that just counts stuff.
I guess you did not look it up. It does not "just count stuff". Try
again.
It does not show how very complex organisms
do come from simple ones. It takes large extrapolation from much
smaller scales to conclude that.
Try to keep those goalposts in one place. You made a claim about
mathematical modeling of evolution. In fact, there is modeling of
origin of complexity. If we see evolution as a bounded (since there is
a minimum complexity to a reproducing organism) multi-dimensional
random walk then we would expect to see a small increase in the
complexity of the "most complex" organism. And what we see is that
overwhelmingly most life on Earth is "simple" (single celled). This
has been modeled.
Are you claiming it is mathematically proven that it can significantly
increase complexity, not merely change?
Pretty much so. Evolution is a stochastic process, it is dependent on
random (to the situation) inputs, so we don't get the same kind of
proofs as we might elsewhere. But, yes, the math does say that we
should expect to see slight increases in maximum complexity over time.
Nobody disputes "slight".
Not always and there may well be upper bound to the complexity of
life, we don't know that at all, but we would expect an increase from
the lower bound.
I doubt there is even a mathematical way to measure "complexity", other
than the number of parts. One "lab" way to test it is measure the
intelligence of the organism, along the lines of rat maze kinds of
tests.
Thus, math was not necessary back them to make it "science".
I agree, but that was not the claim or the point. This is a strawman.
I thought the premise was that ST had "math" and ID did not, and thus
ST was "science" because of that. Please clarify your criteria for
"science", and please DON'T include the behavior of supporters as part
of it.
In fact, let's make it a CHALLENGE:
Present some clear-cut criteria for being "science" that flunks ID but
does NOT flunk:
1. Natural Selection
2. Multiple Universes (Anthropic Principle)
3. String Theory
The Anthropic Principle is not science.
Well, some claim it is a scientific idea.
Who?
Some of the other debaters here have not rejected AP and MU (multiple
universes) as "unscientific".
In a court case one can
likely show that AP is considered a scientific idea by some scientists.
You can't change your criteria just to kill one theory for the judges.
This may well be one of the worst, most disingenuous argument I have
see, and I have see lots in my years of arguing with creationists. You
toss up an invalid standard (courts),
I thought that was the issue being considered. If you have a better or
more practical metric, I am all ears.
assert an unsupported claim
(courts would accept the anthropic principle),
I am only saying it is a realistic possibility. Neither of us has
presented a poll about whether MU and AP are considered "unscientific"
among paid researchers. Thus, it seems that you should at least
consider the possibility.
and then accuse me of a
dishonesty (changing my criteria).
The error may be mere sloppy thinking, not necessarily conscience
dishonesty. Thus, you have no reason to get your panties in a bunch
about that.
There is something about the
vacuity of ID ideas that somehow leads people to this kind of
argument.
Then what vacuity leads you to think that accusing one of poor
reasoning is the same as accusing one of lying? I don't know the actual
source of the bad reasoning, I am only pointing out its existence.
Sorry, but courts don't determine science. At best they decide what
they will accept as scientific. You are probably wrong about the
anthropic principle and courts. Either way, it would only tell us
about courts (what courts? English? Italian? Saudi?), not about the
science.
Well, if it is a choice between biased evolution defenders and the
courts, I'll probably take the courts (although they both may suck).
(As a reminding, I am not a "creationist".)
[snip]
Many anti-IDists suggest one cannot do this because it is "religion".
The idea itself is not inherently religion any more than the MU
proposal is.
Sure it is inherently religion. The designer is always and must always
be undefined, unsupported by evidence, able to do anything necessary
to solve the problem at hand, etc. ID does not include or discuss
archaeology, for instance, because that deals with known evidence
supported constrained designers. When we have such evidence it is
science and it is no longer ID.
We may create life ourselves someday. The mere act of our creations
asking if maybe they were created is NOT by itself religion. It is
simply a question. You are not clear about which kinds of hypetheses
that involve a creator are science and which are not. Is the *mere
inclusion* of a creator in a hypethesis an automatic disqualification
from being "science"? I suggest you clarify it to yourself because I am
going to beat you over the head with your waffling if you don't.
[snip]
I am very sorry that you don't understand the physics involved. If and
when they get ST accepted at science it will be because they have the
best available explanation for what we see with the fewest
assumptions. Time going backwards is a "let us pretend the world acts
differently". Extra dimensions is a "lets see what happens if we line
things up like this".
11 deminsions counts as "less assumptions" than making an existing
dimension, time, bidirectional?
No. But, again, that you don't understand the science and math informs
about you, not the science. You were the one who brought up the going
back in time notion, not me. That was your supposedly scientific
solution to the ID problem.
Experts have not ruled out biderection time. Some are even trying to
figure out why it appears unidirectional. If you don't like such
speculation, take it up with them, not me.
show me the scientific peer reviewed paper on
the topic. And on how designers actually did go back in time and do
something.
At this point it is "speculative science", and I will agree that ID
should be classified as "speculative science",
What are some of the speculations?
What do you mean?
If it is speculative then someone must have made some speculations.
Someone, in all these centuries, must have gotten past "it was
designed" and speculated, at the very least, on the issue. So tell me
about it. Give me something else to ID, give me something other than
"it was designed". Otherwise the mention in school could take 1
minute:
I would like to see similar things from the MU crowd. But if they don't
provide it, that does not necessarily turn MU into a non-scientific
idea. You are measuring effort instead of results.
"Some people answer problems in biology (and physics and geology and
meteorology and astronomy) by saying it was designed. That is all they
say, they never say a single other thing, they never do any
experiments, they never make any predictions, they never bother to
take a single other step at all."
Why care what they say? The universe does not take popularity polls
before deciding how to activate itself. (Then again, the observer
impact of some quantum ideas may change such thinking.) I don't see why
the obsession with the opinions, actions, and behaviors of ID
supporters. You seem biased by human issues. That is not very
scientific. You are letting your emotions bias your weighing of ideas.
along with time-travel
and MU's. But speculative science is *still* science, so saying that ID
is "not science" is incorrect.
No, ID is not science, it is not speculative science, it is, at best,
vague ill-defined notions.
Well like I said above, some still classify it as science. It is the
first stage of science: propose hypotheses.
And, again, we have your claims for popularity: "some claims". Ok,
I'll bite, what hypotheses do they propose?
I see no need to review anthropic and MU ideas here. There is plenty of
material on the web and your friendly local library.
--
Matt Silberstein
-T-
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| User: "Matt Silberstein" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
11 Nov 2005 07:27:12 AM |
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On 5 Nov 2005 17:38:09 -0800, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1131241089.711222.220470@f14g2000cwb.googlegroups.com> wrote:
I suppose you could claim that misused math is better than a theory
that has no mathematical model. However, evolution has not been
mathematically modeled that I know of.
So you don't know, that is your issue. (The question here, though, was
String Theory vs. ID). There is plenty of math in evolution. Look up
Population Genetics, for an example.
But that just counts stuff.
I guess you did not look it up. It does not "just count stuff". Try
again.
It does not show how very complex organisms
do come from simple ones. It takes large extrapolation from much
smaller scales to conclude that.
Try to keep those goalposts in one place. You made a claim about
mathematical modeling of evolution. In fact, there is modeling of
origin of complexity. If we see evolution as a bounded (since there is
a minimum complexity to a reproducing organism) multi-dimensional
random walk then we would expect to see a small increase in the
complexity of the "most complex" organism. And what we see is that
overwhelmingly most life on Earth is "simple" (single celled). This
has been modeled.
Are you claiming it is mathematically proven that it can significantly
increase complexity, not merely change?
Pretty much so. Evolution is a stochastic process, it is dependent on
random (to the situation) inputs, so we don't get the same kind of
proofs as we might elsewhere. But, yes, the math does say that we
should expect to see slight increases in maximum complexity over time.
Nobody disputes "slight".
And, over 4 billion years, there has only been a slight increase.
Overwhelmingly, by weight not just number, most life on Earth are
single celled. Nor does it take all that much of a change to give
multi-celled organisms. How are you measuring complexity anyway?
Genome size? Until you can reliably do that you don't have a point.
Not always and there may well be upper bound to the complexity of
life, we don't know that at all, but we would expect an increase from
the lower bound.
I doubt there is even a mathematical way to measure "complexity", other
than the number of parts.
Unless you have an objective way to count the parts this is
meaningless as well. But it was you who made the claim about
complexity, if you can't measure it then your claim was empty. You
were just waving your hands about complex organisms, weren't you?
One "lab" way to test it is measure the
intelligence of the organism, along the lines of rat maze kinds of
tests.
Intelligence? How in the world does that measure "complexity"?
Thus, math was not necessary back them to make it "science".
I agree, but that was not the claim or the point. This is a strawman.
I thought the premise was that ST had "math" and ID did not, and thus
ST was "science" because of that. Please clarify your criteria for
"science", and please DON'T include the behavior of supporters as part
of it.
In fact, let's make it a CHALLENGE:
Present some clear-cut criteria for being "science" that flunks ID but
does NOT flunk:
1. Natural Selection
2. Multiple Universes (Anthropic Principle)
3. String Theory
The Anthropic Principle is not science.
Well, some claim it is a scientific idea.
Who?
Some of the other debaters here have not rejected AP and MU (multiple
universes) as "unscientific".
I don't much care what some posters to an atheism newsgroup supposedly
say. I thought you were taking science.
In a court case one can
likely show that AP is considered a scientific idea by some scientists.
You can't change your criteria just to kill one theory for the judges.
This may well be one of the worst, most disingenuous argument I have
see, and I have see lots in my years of arguing with creationists. You
toss up an invalid standard (courts),
I thought that was the issue being considered. If you have a better or
more practical metric, I am all ears.
I really wish you would figure out what you are trying to claim. You
reject the standard of scientific consensus (as in biologists, by over
99.9% majority, reject ID) but then tell me that courts can decide. If
we are talking *courts* then we can discuss the *intent* of the people
involved (look up the Lemon Test). You keep saying that is irrelevant
to the *science*. Figure out what of your claims you are still willing
to defend and we can try again.
[snip]
and then accuse me of a
dishonesty (changing my criteria).
The error may be mere sloppy thinking, not necessarily conscience
dishonesty. Thus, you have no reason to get your panties in a bunch
about that.
No, the problem is that you can't figure out what you are trying to
say. My standards have no change in this discussion in the slightest.
There is something about the
vacuity of ID ideas that somehow leads people to this kind of
argument.
Then what vacuity leads you to think that accusing one of poor
reasoning is the same as accusing one of lying? I don't know the actual
source of the bad reasoning, I am only pointing out its existence.
No, you hope for its existence, you have not pointed to it. Claiming I
have changed my views is not showing I have changed my views.
Sorry, but courts don't determine science. At best they decide what
they will accept as scientific. You are probably wrong about the
anthropic principle and courts. Either way, it would only tell us
about courts (what courts? English? Italian? Saudi?), not about the
science.
Well, if it is a choice between biased evolution defenders and the
courts, I'll probably take the courts (although they both may suck).
And now you go directly to accusations of dishonesty after that denial
above.
(As a reminding, I am not a "creationist".)
WTFC?
[snip]
Many anti-IDists suggest one cannot do this because it is "religion".
The idea itself is not inherently religion any more than the MU
proposal is.
Sure it is inherently religion. The designer is always and must always
be undefined, unsupported by evidence, able to do anything necessary
to solve the problem at hand, etc. ID does not include or discuss
archaeology, for instance, because that deals with known evidence
supported constrained designers. When we have such evidence it is
science and it is no longer ID.
We may create life ourselves someday. The mere act of our creations
asking if maybe they were created is NOT by itself religion. It is
simply a question. You are not clear about which kinds of hypetheses
that involve a creator are science and which are not.
I have been quite clear, you just won't bother to look. Untestable
hypotheses are not part of science. Speculation about what our
possible created beings might ask is just silly speculation. Proposed
designers for which we have no evidence is not testable.
Is the *mere
inclusion* of a creator in a hypethesis an automatic disqualification
from being "science"? I suggest you clarify it to yourself because I am
going to beat you over the head with your waffling if you don't.
Since I have been consistent from the start the waffle is imaginary.
As *I* pointed out there are whole branches of science devoted to
creators, even intelligent ones. We call that archaeology and
anthropology and such. Those are creators for which we have evidence:
evidence of their existence, evidence of their abilities, evidence of
their constraints, etc. What is disqualified from science is
untestable ideas. What is disqualified from science is ideas so vague
that they are empty. What is disqualified from science is conclusions
that do not follow from the argument. Any of those are sufficient.
[snip]
I am very sorry that you don't understand the physics involved. If and
when they get ST accepted at science it will be because they have the
best available explanation for what we see with the fewest
assumptions. Time going backwards is a "let us pretend the world acts
differently". Extra dimensions is a "lets see what happens if we line
things up like this".
11 deminsions counts as "less assumptions" than making an existing
dimension, time, bidirectional?
No. But, again, that you don't understand the science and math informs
about you, not the science. You were the one who brought up the going
back in time notion, not me. That was your supposedly scientific
solution to the ID problem.
Experts have not ruled out biderection time. Some are even trying to
figure out why it appears unidirectional. If you don't like such
speculation, take it up with them, not me.
How odd. You complain about the idea, then you claim I object. If the
scientists are speculating on that then they hope to end up with a
result that does a better job of predicting observations with a
smaller set of assumptions. If they are speculating then they don't
think that they currently have the answer. I don't feel competent to
judge the people on the leading edge of physics. Apparently you do
feel sufficiently competent to make those determinations.
[snip]
"Some people answer problems in biology (and physics and geology and
meteorology and astronomy) by saying it was designed. That is all they
say, they never say a single other thing, they never do any
experiments, they never make any predictions, they never bother to
take a single other step at all."
Why care what they say? The universe does not take popularity polls
before deciding how to activate itself.
And then later you will play the court game.
(Then again, the observer
impact of some quantum ideas may change such thinking.) I don't see why
the obsession with the opinions, actions, and behaviors of ID
supporters. You seem biased by human issues. That is not very
scientific. You are letting your emotions bias your weighing of ideas.
No, I am pointing out the utter lack of content to ID. There is
nothing there, nothing. There are no actual ideas to weigh.
along with time-travel
and MU's. But speculative science is *still* science, so saying that ID
is "not science" is incorrect.
No, ID is not science, it is not speculative science, it is, at best,
vague ill-defined notions.
Well like I said above, some still classify it as science. It is the
first stage of science: propose hypotheses.
And, again, we have your claims for popularity: "some claims". Ok,
I'll bite, what hypotheses do they propose?
I see no need to review anthropic and MU ideas here. There is plenty of
material on the web and your friendly local library.
Try again a bit more, well, to the point. You are making claims about
*ID*. What ID based hypotheses do you know of? Try to comment on your
claims, not slip out and attack physics you don't understand. If ID is
at this first stage then someone must be producing some hypotheses,
right? Clue us in.
--
Matt Silberstein
Do something today about the Darfur Genocide
http://www.beawitness.org
http://www.darfurgenocide.org
http://www.savedarfur.org
"Darfur: A Genocide We can Stop"
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| User: "Matt Silberstein" |
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| Title: Re: Is String Theory as hard to test as ID? |
17 Oct 2005 08:45:50 AM |
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On 17 Oct 2005 00:59:12 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1129535952.362911.294310@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
Matt Silberstein wrote:
On 9 Oct 2005 11:40:36 -0700, in alt.atheism , "topmind"
<topmind@technologist.com> in
<1128883236.191262.207520@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com> wrote:
[snip]
I didn't say otherwise. I am just comparing flimsy ideas that seem
acceptable to the science community to flimsy ideas that don't, and
there seems to be some bias. Sure, creationists are often idiots and
duhlts, but I think the same human failings can be found in the
scientific establishment in various degrees.
I tell you what, sight unseen I would put the flimsiest peer reviewed
scientific String Theory paper to the best creationist or Intelligent
Design paper you can find. I will bet you real money that the worst
published String Theory paper has at least as much, and likely far
more, evidence in support and scientific rigor as the best creationist
or Intelligent Design paper you can find. What do you think?
So if somebody creates a bunch of complicated math that has so many
wiggle-room holes and 11-dimensional escape routes such that it can be
re-parameterized to predict whatever is observed, it is automatically
better than ID?
If it predicts what is observed and would fail with what we don't
observe and it is the simplest model we can make, then it is the best
model we would currently have. If it does not | | | | | | | |