Electoral Vote Predictor 2004
http://www.electoral-vote.com/

News from the Votemaster
A new poll in Oklahoma shows Bush still way ahead. He has Oklahoma
locked up. Of perhaps more interest is Rasmussen's two-week poll
ending August 8th in Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, three key
industrial states. He didn't report on the states individually,
though. Collectively, he reports that Kerry has a 5% lead. Our current
state polls put Kerry ahead by 12% in Pennsylvania and 11% in Michigan
and Bush ahead by 5% in Ohio. If we just add these up weighted by
population, we get a Kerry lead of 8%, certainly within the MoE of
Rasmussen's poll. It looks like that region is stable for the moment.
The next scheduled news that might affect the race there is the
September BLS jobs number, which comes out just hours after Bush's
acceptance speech at the RNC.