| Topic: |
Science > Physics |
| User: |
"Jevan" |
| Date: |
12 Feb 2004 05:51:45 AM |
| Object: |
cars technologies |
(Re: Article by Jim Louderback - editor - Ziff Davis Media - PCMag/eWeek)
See below. Not too bad... I proposed this in discussion (not written in the
thesis though, just said it to my supervisor Dr Ken Taylor) when I did my
4th year Engineering project. Personally though I took it a step further,
saying that they'll have it automatically take over the car driving
completely, if need by to avoid an accident - steering and all. After all, I
was doing the speed control for automation of the landcruiser project, but
why not also control the steering (we planned to, anyway!). You'd need damn
good software to interpret pedestrians, road signs, etc better than a human
can - it'd have to, to be able to take over from us safely.
However it can calculate the directions and so on of all other drivers in
their cars, and using engineering knowledge built in, can know exactly which
way to turn or brake or accelerate, in order to avoid and/or minimize any
impact or accident situation. After all, we have excellent knowledge of
collisions, momentum, friction, engineering-dynamics, etc also we can make
prediction of potential ability to turn (given the computer can read speed
and direction from the cars instruments) or what *each* particular car can
conceivably do by way of manouvring (you'd have it to do a periodical
calibration per car or base it on age of tires and type, car model/make/age
etc) so why not use it to know what exactly the car is capable of, and use
this in automatic accident avoidance.
Taking it a step further, once all cars are networked (they can all have
little infra red sensor and transmittors on the bumper bars perhaps, for
example, or short range (50 metre max) radio transmittors/receivers), then
they can in fact make a COLLECTIVE decision (intelligent) all by computer,
on a networked basis, about which way each cars automatic control system
will react in order to minimize and hopefully also always avoid an
accident - so that accidnets will in fact be a thing of the past and now
almost impossible to happen (certainly by human cause impossible nayway - if
your wheel suddenly falls off causing your car to hurtle toward another car,
then you'd still have the network making a 'best possible comprimise' in
order to minimize any accident situation for all drivers, for example the
car would try and compensate using steering, braking, whatever, for the
situation ,to attempt to safely stop, and nearby cars would automatically
steer away from the onciming path, in the intelligent context of KNOWING
*exactly* what the car is actually about to do in the context of its
situation, since the cars computers controllers are now communicating with
each other (which is what wil happen automatically if a potential accident
situation is ever detected by any car on the road).
I think a computer system is potentially far outweigh anything a human could
do.
But not only in accident avoidance - also in driving. After all, if you feel
like it you can drive, but if you want to talk to the kids, just switch it
to automatic and let the car drive you to work, after you punch in the
destination on the map/ GPS aware/ etc.
Or maybe just say where you want to go and it confirm it first with a street
map or photo to make sure. After all, we now have online detail maps (is it
zoom from satellite?) of a lot of the world, you can go on a virtual 3d tour
to lots of places and see what it actually look like being in the street
there (video footage?), take it a bit further and you can actually see the
buildings and people (defence policy restricts the satellite images
resolution unfortunately, but anyway this is the future, maybe not anymore
then). You can check if your workplace looks open first, by looking up a
recent (last 5 minutes?) satellite scan of that portion of the globe (if
this actually possible to store and scan that much information of the entire
globe and that often though..)? Aim for the ground and you'll get the
ground, aim for halfway ot the ground and you only get halfway, so why not
aim further (though yes I agree, do things in small steps is good).
I think his article is just the beginning of the future, that's only the
beginning.
Also he talks of hybrid - fuel cell + petrol. What about solar? Why not
hybrid fuel cell + solar + petrol, then?
Personally I think, what if we weave in solar material into clothing, then
you can sit in the office all day and come home all ready to plug in and
charge up your car. Well, perhaps clothing is not quite necessary, cause you
wouldn't get much from fluro lighting moreso only really for outdoors,
I suppose perhaps when you hang out your clothing to dry after being washed,
then you bring it in hours later and plug it in to charge up the car.
After all, surely the solar cell silicon lines need not be rigid nor in a
straight line, can you coat them in a extremely thin flexible plastic layer
followed by a flexible nylon? protective layer (someone can figure out the
materials to use.. has to be waterproof but not cause any annoyance when
worn) and then weave them as a thread in amongst other threads making up the
garment.
I think the only issue would be how to store the energy - ie battery.
Perhaps the "Australian washing line Mark II" can be produced which picks up
current flows from underside of the clothing, and forwards it into charging
a built in battery (perhaps a fuel cell, at that!? since they so efficient?
and only water as a byproduct.. for environment friendly).
Maybe that another one of my off the planet ideas.. but who knows... imagine
how many pepole hang out their clothing in the world, imagine how much
sunlight and energy would get picked up.. would it be enough to power you
house and car for the week? or day? Or maybe with some more improvements in
solar technology? Just an idea.. I think one solution to effectively
increase efficiency is to cover everything we own in solar cells (hehe).
How about bricks that are solar cells. Then the bricks plug together,
however way the builder happens to put them, so that the whole walls and
roof (tiles too!) are now solar cells. How about making the solar cells
material transparent so all you see is normal looking bricks and tiles.
Phase array radar, borrowed from the Pentagon (news - web sites), >will
track cars around you, ensuring safe separation by warning you >first, and
then automatically braking or speeding up to avoid an >accident.
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ttzd/20040205/tc_techtues_zd/118388&cid=1739&ncid=1729
sports and weather, a rolling internet node will help you get around
accidents and avoid problems. A new type of wireless technology -the mesh
network- will automatically and dynamically configure and reconfigure a
network using all the cars in, say, a 500-foot radius. If one car spots
trouble -an airbag deployment, or something in the road -- all the other
cars down the line can be warned in advance.
Entertainment: As flat color displays get cheaper, expect them to
proliferate throughout the car. The entertainment hub - a combination movie
server, TiVo (news - web sites) and game console - will live under the front
seat or in the trunk of most cars. Advanced audio technology and
noise-canceling headphones will turn every car into a personal home theater
customized for each passenger. Most cars will be outfitted with satellite
video and audio, helping to make the car at least as connected as the home.
Navigation: Today's add-on systems will seem antiques compared to the
advanced navigation systems in tomorrow's cars. High tech road sensors will
communicate with the traffic sensors in your car to help identify - and then
avoid -- traffic jams. And those same networks will also make it easier to
find a gas station, hamburger joint or bathroom, just when you need it most.
Driving Experience: Dashboards will increasingly resemble computer displays,
with only a handful of knobs and switches. Someday voice recognition will
advance far enough to let us speak our commands, but it will take a while to
perfect. "Up" and "off" sound remarkably alike - especially when you're
trying to kill the radio.
Electronics: The roar of the road will be reduced to a murmur by special
noise-dampening plates on windows, doors, ceilings and floor. Fiber optics
and LEDs will replace wires and light bulbs. Mechanical controls, like the
brake and accelerator, will be replaced by electronics. And much like
today's airplanes, cars will bank into turns, making them more maneuverable
and responsive.
Don't be fooled, though. Automotive technology may have some amazing
potential, but it needs a lot of work. As long-suffering computer users
know, it's best to shy away from version 1.0 of any new technology. Alas, no
one told the designers of BMW's 7 series. They built in a radical new
controller - called the iDrive - that failed miserably. Difficult to learn,
horrible to use, it also had a tendency to fail. Respected auto analysis
site Auto Spies put it best, "the concept is brilliant but the software
interface is idiotic."
We shouldn't be surprised - because the iDrive was built on top of Microsoft
Windows. The next iDrive version - which was rushed to market - performed
better, but woe to all the version 1.0 users: you can't upgrade a car.
Jim Louderback is the Editor-in-Chief for Internet sites at Ziff Davis
Media, which runs the popular technology sites PCMag.com and eWeek.com,
along with print magazines like PC Magazine, eWEEK, Electronic Gaming
Monthly and Computer Gaming World. Jim's first adventure with computers
began with playing Star Trek during high-school on a PDP-11. Since then he's
developed applications and installed networks for many Fortune 500
companies. For the last 12 years he's been reporting on the technology
industry in print, radio, television and the Web.
Cool Car Gadgets:
- Clarion VRX935VD Car DVD Player
- Delphi XM SKYfi Radio Portable XM
- Garmin StreetPilot 2610 Automotive Navigation
More Tech Tuesday for February 10, 2004:
- Cars Go High Tech
- Hack Your Car
- The Best High Tech Cars
.
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| User: "Tony" |
|
| Title: Re: cars technologies |
13 Feb 2004 07:43:39 AM |
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"Jevan" <jp@jevan1.com> wrote in message news:<iOJWb.1269$KS1.50829@nasal.pacific.net.au>...
(Re: Article by Jim Louderback - editor - Ziff Davis Media - PCMag/eWeek)
You'd need damn
good software to interpret pedestrians, road signs, etc better than a human
can - it'd have to, to be able to take over from us safely.
<snip stuff>
I think a computer system is potentially far outweigh anything a human could
do.
Sure thing. Anyone here ever check out "DeathRace 5000"? Jaywalking
will be a thing of the past if I ever get a crack at that software.
Cheers,
Tony.
.
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| User: "" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
12 Feb 2004 09:27:55 AM |
|
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"Jevan" <jp@jevan1.com> wrote in message news:<iOJWb.1269$KS1.50829@nasal.pacific.net.au>...
See below. Not too bad... I proposed this in discussion (not written in the
thesis though, just said it to my supervisor Dr Ken Taylor) when I did my
4th year Engineering project. Personally though I took it a step further,
saying that they'll have it automatically take over the car driving
completely, if need by to avoid an accident - steering and all. After all, I
was doing the speed control for automation of the landcruiser project, but
why not also control the steering (we planned to, anyway!). You'd need damn
good software to interpret pedestrians, road signs, etc better than a human
can - it'd have to, to be able to take over from us safely.
Cars with auto-pilots have been suggested since at least 1970.
Computers are only fairly recently getting small, fast, and cheap
enough to make this a possibility. Also digital camera technology
is only recently getting good and cheap enough to make adequate
sensors.
Speed control is a comparatively trivial undertaking.
Socks
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| User: "Robert J. Kolker" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
12 Feb 2004 09:37:47 AM |
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wrote:
Speed control is a comparatively trivial undertaking.
Control could be mediated through a signal strip in the highways. Only
those cars that respond positively to input signals would be permitted
to move on the highways, so free moving cars would have to be excluded.
Railways have been running (essentially) diverless trains for decades.
For example, the drivers on the Washington D.C. Metro are there as
window dressing for the public. They do not do squat. The computers
drive the trains. Digital vision devices are not required for this
system to work.
Bob Kolker
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| User: "Harry Conover" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
14 Feb 2004 12:46:51 PM |
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"Robert J. Kolker" <bobkolker@NOSPAMcomcast.net> wrote in message news:<f5NWb.13771$yE5.66966@attbi_s54>...
puppet_sock@hotmail.com wrote:
Speed control is a comparatively trivial undertaking.
Control could be mediated through a signal strip in the highways. Only
those cars that respond positively to input signals would be permitted
to move on the highways, so free moving cars would have to be excluded.
Railways have been running (essentially) diverless trains for decades.
For example, the drivers on the Washington D.C. Metro are there as
window dressing for the public. They do not do squat. The computers
drive the trains. Digital vision devices are not required for this
system to work.
Bob, while that may be true of the Metro Trains which run and are
guided by steel rail, it sure isn't true of WMATA's bus system which
have no equivalent constraints imposed on their vehicles' paths.
While working at General Railway Signal Company, I was the senior
system engineer in charge of control system design for Washington's
WMATA rail system, so I'm still pretty familiar with the technical
details of its operation. I also performed the same function for
Atlanta's MARTA system and parts of the Frisco's mainline rail system.
The automation of rail guided transit is relatively simple, because
only one degree of freedom is present. For automobiles this increases
to 2, and for aircraft and space vehicles, 6 (x,y,z coordinates, plus
roll, pitch and yawl). Hence, the problem of automating automobiles is
a considerably more dicey problem. It is currently being addressed by
something known as IVHS (Intelligent Vehicular Traffic System) within
the DOT, but its problems are no way near a solution.
Getting back to the Washington Metro System, the automatic train
control system does not employ computers in controlling train motion,
only supervising their operation. The actual train control system is
hierarchical, and consists of three key parts, (ATS) Automatic Train
Supervision (the computer part), Automatic Train Operation
(responsible for nominal starting and stopping of trains at stations),
and (ATP) Automatic Train Protection, which has the responsibility for
assuring that the train stops safely at all times -- essentially the
contemporary equivalent of the older railway signal systems.
Only ATS involves the use of a computer. Both ATO and ATP subsystems
are totally implemented in equipment on the train or immediately
adjacient to the track. The system is, without operator intervention,
completely fail-safe. This means that whenever an unsafe condition
exists, the train halts. Sadly, this luxury of system design does not
exist with either cars or aircraft! :-)
Not to minimize imporatance of the ATS system, it constantly monitors
train locations and compares them with the wall clock scheule showing
where they should be, and then factors in real world complications
such as existing traffic problems, adjusting train performance
accordingly. As you have correctly stated, this system requires only
that a train operator depress his "ATO Start" button at the begining
of a run, then simply sit back and enjoy the trip! (It was only union
regulations that mandated that a train operators presence was
required, and then only to monitor and if needed override automatic
door operation on the train.)
Hope this helps.
Harry C.
p.s., As a possibly humorous aside, we controls people spent well over
two years discussing the operation of "platform edge lights". One
group wanted the edge light to indicate where a train was going to
stop, while another believed that doing so was a safety hazard. At the
time that I left the project, it was decided that all of the platform
edge lights should flash in advance of the arrival of an approaching
train, giving no indication of the position on the platform that the
train would berth. Is this still the situation?
Another humorous aside is that the bronze tablet on the outside of the
WMATA OCCB has a switch in back of it to detect its removal, and post
an alarm in the train control room! Go figure this one out, since
that bronze tablet cost far less than did the alarm circuity and
programming needed to detect its theft! Also, when you pass though
Smithsonian Station, note the switch in the tracks. I'll leave you to
guess where that spur leads, and why. :-)
.
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| User: "Jevan" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
16 Feb 2004 05:48:36 AM |
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"Harry Conover" <hhc314@yahoo.com> wrote in message
Railways have been running (essentially) diverless trains for decades.
For example, the drivers on the Washington D.C. Metro are there
....
While working at General Railway Signal Company, I was the >senior
system engineer in charge of control system design for >Washington's
WMATA rail system, so I'm still pretty familiar with the technical
details of its operation. I also performed the same function for
Atlanta's MARTA system and parts of the Frisco's mainline rail system.
I wonder what went wrong in the train collision situations. Seen on the news
in the last few years - incidents of one train immobile while second train
runs into it.
In one situation, the people on the immobile train could see the moving
train coming toward it from afar, but couldn't understand why it kept going
toward them. Eventually the became alarmed and stood up (but hadn't jumped
off the train). Also this worsened injuries because then you had standing
people during the collision (apparently worse than if they were sitting). If
they had known it was going to collide, they actually had plenty of time to
jump off their immobile train, but they hadn't thought that this would
happen (I suppose once it got too close they must have known).
As you have correctly stated, this system requires only
that a train operator depress his "ATO Start" button at the begining
of a run, then simply sit back and enjoy the trip
But you wonder because presumably then, maybe not all countries track all of
their trains positions. One would assume that a train in the system you
described, would still have its position tracked, even if the "ATO Start"
button had not yet been pressed. Say for example if something failed on the
railway track causing it to stop and then it deactivated overnight, and
another train came along then the next day.
Maybe there could be a simple & inexpensive technology you can sell to other
countries, to install in trains to avoid such situation of a collision of
trains. Even a simple distance sensor (laser position sensor) or something
that point out in front & behind the train, to stop the train if it see
something ahead in front (with sufficient time to stop) or warn if something
behind it getting too close or accelerating toward it from afar. Has to
handle bends in the tracks, but presumably curvature must be limited anyway
in order for the train to be able to attain speed?...
But as for cars - yes, well, if something is possible (which it is), someone
will do it (fully computer control of car, with sensing/ awareness for
things like road signs/ pedestrians/ etc). Indeed it is true now cheap video
cameras are available and the only real expense is development cost, but for
research organisations they may already have need for projects anyway (and
government funded, presumably). I suppose, major car manufacturer could fund
such projects. I agree though, got to have a good implementation. No
bugs!! - or at least, must be failsafe.
Causing the car to "stop" is not really enough, if something goes worng, for
it to be failsafe. Well, if the car in front brakes, because their computer
video gets clogged up with dirt and it can't see properly, that could cause
an accident too. I suppose you'd also need redundant mechanisms that
automatically take over if need be (for example if you have three sensors,
if one doesn't match the other two then the nonmatching one gets shut down).
Aircraft already have redundant systems, apparently (for example).
JP
.
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| User: "Edward Green" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
16 Feb 2004 09:55:53 AM |
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"Jevan" <jp@jevan1.com> wrote in message news:<h72Yb.1492$KS1.59245@nasal.pacific.net.au>...
"Harry Conover" <hhc314@yahoo.com> wrote in message
While working at General Railway Signal Company, I was the >senior
system engineer in charge of control system design for >Washington's
WMATA rail system, so I'm still pretty familiar with the technical
details of its operation. I also performed the same function for
Atlanta's MARTA system and parts of the Frisco's mainline rail system.
That's cool! I never knew what your job was. Neat.
I wonder what went wrong in the train collision situations. Seen on the news
in the last few years - incidents of one train immobile while second train
runs into it.
In one situation, the people on the immobile train could see the moving
train coming toward it from afar, but couldn't understand why it kept going
toward them. Eventually the became alarmed and stood up (but hadn't jumped
off the train). Also this worsened injuries because then you had standing
people during the collision (apparently worse than if they were sitting). If
they had known it was going to collide, they actually had plenty of time to
jump off their immobile train, but they hadn't thought that this would
happen (I suppose once it got too close they must have known).
The psychology is easy to understand, at least. Jumping off a train
because a train coming from afar doesn't seem likely to stop, although
it still has plenty of space to do so, is unpleasant, embarassing, and
dangerous (you could break your leg). In fact, if a significant body
of passengers had jumped off the stationary train (following a few
souls less motivated by conformity, a "panic"), resulting in avoidable
injuries, and the second train _had_ stopped in plenty of time, then
we might focus on the identical passenger behavior receiving identical
inputs as sub-optimal, irrational, and so forth.
In truth all complex, dangerous and largely unprecedented situations
are fraught with potential false positives and negatives. In fact, I
sometimes find myself thinking of "what-if" scenarios in daily life,
which would present me with the same choice between potentially
embarassing and seemingly irrational flight in the case of a false
positive, and standing in the face of oncoming danger: a person who
continually jumps off stationary trains in the face of potential but
largely unrealized collisions accrues negative consequences.
As you have correctly stated, this system requires only
that a train operator depress his "ATO Start" button at the begining
of a run, then simply sit back and enjoy the trip
But you wonder because presumably then, maybe not all countries track all of
their trains positions. One would assume that a train in the system you
described, would still have its position tracked, even if the "ATO Start"
button had not yet been pressed. Say for example if something failed on the
railway track causing it to stop and then it deactivated overnight, and
another train came along then the next day.
Ohmygod ... that sounds frighteningly plausible. You mean the system
tracked only active trains, but not inactivated trains which became
immobile hazards? Tsk, tsk, tsk. It presumably had no capability to
deal with sleeping cows either: other than a fence.
The cute old "cow-catchers" must have made a major amount of messy
road kill, and a boon for coyotes.
Maybe there could be a simple & inexpensive technology you can sell to other
countries, to install in trains to avoid such situation of a collision of
trains. Even a simple distance sensor (laser position sensor) or something
that point out in front & behind the train, to stop the train if it see
something ahead in front (with sufficient time to stop) or warn if something
behind it getting too close or accelerating toward it from afar. Has to
handle bends in the tracks, but presumably curvature must be limited anyway
in order for the train to be able to attain speed?...
Is it possible this visual recognition of obstacles was the function
of the pinocle playing train operator? It's hard to maintain
alertness in jobs where 99.99% of the time alertness is useless
overhead, but it can be done: failure to do so amounts to a management
failure ... whatever the invdividual culpability of the employee ...
because management is supposed to have the experience to know that
0.01% will eventually occur with certainty, and devise drill systems
to raise the rate of effective positives.
But as for cars - yes, well, if something is possible (which it is), someone
will do it (fully computer control of car, with sensing/ awareness for
things like road signs/ pedestrians/ etc). Indeed it is true now cheap video
cameras are available and the only real expense is development cost, but for
research organisations they may already have need for projects anyway (and
government funded, presumably). I suppose, major car manufacturer could fund
such projects. I agree though, got to have a good implementation. No
bugs!! - or at least, must be failsafe.
Causing the car to "stop" is not really enough, if something goes worng, for
it to be failsafe. Well, if the car in front brakes, because their computer
video gets clogged up with dirt and it can't see properly, that could cause
an accident too. I suppose you'd also need redundant mechanisms that
automatically take over if need be (for example if you have three sensors,
if one doesn't match the other two then the nonmatching one gets shut down).
Aircraft already have redundant systems, apparently (for example).
No system is completely failsafe ... you can only multiply redundancy
to the point of diminishing returns, the criteria for which will
always be second guessed by bureaucrats, law makers, and tort lawyers.
Any major technology shift also faces an unfairly skewed awareness of
its fatalities -- 30,000 killed by people? No problem. God help us
when the first ten are killed by computer failure.
.
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| User: "Jevan" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
22 Feb 2004 04:08:12 AM |
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Basically he says the question is whether it worthwhile of budget to equip
trains with ability to sense obstacles in front/ behind them (diminishing
returns by creating more and more new failsafe mechanisms), perhaps cheaper
to rely on observer (train driver) in train to see them. Personally I wonder
if he'd notice, if the rate is one such accident occurred in a drivers
entire career. Like waiting for the ball to fall into the water
(electromagnet deactivates when battery runs out, therefore unknown by
participants when exactly this happens) during a TV series (part of a
challenge), when it happened they weren't really expecting it or fully ready
for it (or even know exactly what to do in their case).
He says that people didn't jump off the train before the collision that
injured many of them, because you'd be embarrassed if it had actually
stopped, and paranoid if you'd actually jumped every time you saw a train
coming toward your stationary train car.
He says that even if technology create automated cars (driven by computer),
that save 29,990 lives ... those 10 lives that are killed by computer
failure will make the news - IE that is the problem for new technology is
assurity of improvement.
Actually personally though, I think its just getting the people with money
to sell it, make it, and market it to the public, after that people will
follow. After all if they make all new cars come with a new facility then
people just accept it and choose whether to enable it or not. If you put out
enough coercian via media advertising (controlling the media - various
forms) etc, people will follow anything pretty much... they'd probably even
launch themself into space and all get killed, if someone told us we had to
do it cause the earth was going to self destruct and the government funded a
'launch everyone into space' project to save us, because some scientists or
media controllers got a misunderstanding.... like a significant size astroid
that heads toward us for years, but changes path just at the last moment and
actually misses us. Lucky for those that didn't know what was going on and
stayed behind. You get the point anyway... with enough power (some kind of
measure of the ability to control/ influence everyone), any changes can
happen.
Actually I think it a bit simpler than that though. Fully automated cars are
possible - therefore they WILL happen. Just a question of when.
JP
"Edward Green" <nulldev00@aol.com> wrote in message
news:2a0cceff.0402160755.1c1babe0@posting.google.com...
"Jevan" <jp@jevan1.com> wrote in message
news:<h72Yb.1492$KS1.59245@nasal.pacific.net.au>...
"Harry Conover" <hhc314@yahoo.com> wrote in message
While working at General Railway Signal Company, I was the >senior
system engineer in charge of control system design for >Washington's
WMATA rail system, so I'm still pretty familiar with the technical
details of its operation. I also performed the same function for
Atlanta's MARTA system and parts of the Frisco's mainline rail system.
That's cool! I never knew what your job was. Neat.
I wonder what went wrong in the train collision situations. Seen on the
news
in the last few years - incidents of one train immobile while second
train
runs into it.
In one situation, the people on the immobile train could see the moving
train coming toward it from afar, but couldn't understand why it kept
going
toward them. Eventually the became alarmed and stood up (but hadn't
jumped
off the train). Also this worsened injuries because then you had
standing
people during the collision (apparently worse than if they were
sitting). If
they had known it was going to collide, they actually had plenty of time
to
jump off their immobile train, but they hadn't thought that this would
happen (I suppose once it got too close they must have known).
The psychology is easy to understand, at least. Jumping off a train
because a train coming from afar doesn't seem likely to stop, although
it still has plenty of space to do so, is unpleasant, embarassing, and
dangerous (you could break your leg). In fact, if a significant body
of passengers had jumped off the stationary train (following a few
souls less motivated by conformity, a "panic"), resulting in avoidable
injuries, and the second train _had_ stopped in plenty of time, then
we might focus on the identical passenger behavior receiving identical
inputs as sub-optimal, irrational, and so forth.
In truth all complex, dangerous and largely unprecedented situations
are fraught with potential false positives and negatives. In fact, I
sometimes find myself thinking of "what-if" scenarios in daily life,
which would present me with the same choice between potentially
embarassing and seemingly irrational flight in the case of a false
positive, and standing in the face of oncoming danger: a person who
continually jumps off stationary trains in the face of potential but
largely unrealized collisions accrues negative consequences.
As you have correctly stated, this system requires only
that a train operator depress his "ATO Start" button at the begining
of a run, then simply sit back and enjoy the trip
But you wonder because presumably then, maybe not all countries track
all of
their trains positions. One would assume that a train in the system you
described, would still have its position tracked, even if the "ATO
Start"
button had not yet been pressed. Say for example if something failed on
the
railway track causing it to stop and then it deactivated overnight, and
another train came along then the next day.
Ohmygod ... that sounds frighteningly plausible. You mean the system
tracked only active trains, but not inactivated trains which became
immobile hazards? Tsk, tsk, tsk. It presumably had no capability to
deal with sleeping cows either: other than a fence.
The cute old "cow-catchers" must have made a major amount of messy
road kill, and a boon for coyotes.
Maybe there could be a simple & inexpensive technology you can sell to
other
countries, to install in trains to avoid such situation of a collision
of
trains. Even a simple distance sensor (laser position sensor) or
something
that point out in front & behind the train, to stop the train if it see
something ahead in front (with sufficient time to stop) or warn if
something
behind it getting too close or accelerating toward it from afar. Has to
handle bends in the tracks, but presumably curvature must be limited
anyway
in order for the train to be able to attain speed?...
Is it possible this visual recognition of obstacles was the function
of the pinocle playing train operator? It's hard to maintain
alertness in jobs where 99.99% of the time alertness is useless
overhead, but it can be done: failure to do so amounts to a management
failure ... whatever the invdividual culpability of the employee ...
because management is supposed to have the experience to know that
0.01% will eventually occur with certainty, and devise drill systems
to raise the rate of effective positives.
But as for cars - yes, well, if something is possible (which it is),
someone
will do it (fully computer control of car, with sensing/ awareness for
things like road signs/ pedestrians/ etc). Indeed it is true now cheap
video
cameras are available and the only real expense is development cost, but
for
research organisations they may already have need for projects anyway
(and
government funded, presumably). I suppose, major car manufacturer could
fund
such projects. I agree though, got to have a good implementation. No
bugs!! - or at least, must be failsafe.
Causing the car to "stop" is not really enough, if something goes worng,
for
it to be failsafe. Well, if the car in front brakes, because their
computer
video gets clogged up with dirt and it can't see properly, that could
cause
an accident too. I suppose you'd also need redundant mechanisms that
automatically take over if need be (for example if you have three
sensors,
if one doesn't match the other two then the nonmatching one gets shut
down).
Aircraft already have redundant systems, apparently (for example).
No system is completely failsafe ... you can only multiply redundancy
to the point of diminishing returns, the criteria for which will
always be second guessed by bureaucrats, law makers, and tort lawyers.
Any major technology shift also faces an unfairly skewed awareness of
its fatalities -- 30,000 killed by people? No problem. God help us
when the first ten are killed by computer failure.
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| User: "Jevan" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
16 Feb 2004 06:04:17 AM |
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In another train collision incident I read about - again one train was
immobile and second ran into it. (not talking about USA here for this
example, can't remember where it was but anyway).
In this one, the train suddenly stopped and passengers thought it must have
got to the station and so they stood up, then the collision occurred which
made it worse that they'd stood up (its another example of passengers
standing prior to the collision).
I wonder why it stopped. Perhaps a failsafe mechanism activated? But more to
the point, why then didn't the second train stop, which then ran into it.
Presumably another train on the line, would stop, if it detects itself
getting too close to another train which had stopped due to failsafe
activating?
JP
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| User: "Jevan" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
16 Feb 2004 06:29:35 AM |
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In a third train accident situation i read about.. a train went off the
tracks, and then all the carriages behind it therefore got into the accidnt
as well cause they were caused to leave the tracks too.
The problem with rail is that if something goes wrong its really designed to
stay on the tracks, you can't just drive the train around the problem.
I thought what if they'd mounted wheels on the train.. that is, so in the
event of it dismounting from the track, wheels automatically come into
action which take the weight of the carriages, allowing it to drive onward
now off the tracks, while braking, and also the carriages separate
automatically so they don't pull each other into worse situations, maybe
they have some kind of elasticity at their ends so if their ends collide
then it reduces the effect.
Actually, another one of my ideas I had (back in 2000) was to do with
accident impact minimization. The thought then begins with, that since you
need to minimize both external-to-car and internal-to-body momentum changes.
That is, you could design a car that won't shatter or break during impact,
and will just bounce off things and stop, unharmed, and you can strap
yourself in to the car so you don't hit anything or undergo any collisions
within the car (eg whiplast etc) but the acceleration changes would kill you
even if the car could handle it and even if you were strapped in so no part
of your body moves with respect to the car during the collision - since
internal organs of your body still can move during acceleration.
Therefore the idea comprised segments as follows:
1) external minimalization: designed cars so on impact, maximum bounce
effect and do not have it compress/break any more (as we at present have it
break slowly over longest timespan during headon collisoin for example, to
minimize impact forces by maximizing the time). Instead, we could design it
so the car external doesn't break and design it so it bounces, with maximum
energy transfer into the 'bounce' so that you now have elastic collisoins
with anything it runs into. EG if it run into a wall it would bounce off,
whether head on, side on, etc, maybe make the car round or give it an
exterior shell buffer layer. Therefore this gets rid of external damage to
car itself during collision
2) Have to design car so it can internally handle the acceleration changes
inherent in the 'bounce' effect
3) Have to isolate people inside, so they do not feel effect of acceleration
changes. For this one, I proposed contain the person in a cylindrical
rotating enclosure. This is designed so that normally it doesn't rotate, but
if there's an acceleration change too great, then it releases the lock,
allowing it to translate acceleration changes into rotational energy - the
idea is that, the same amount of energy change, over a great enough radius
of sphere, will no longer be any noticeable acceleration change - a large
increase in energy cause only a small change in velocity near the edge, if a
big enough rotatable sphere. Like I got the idea from the gyroscope - you
have a rotating wheel, and if you turn the wheel left (while it still rotate
at same speed), the platform you are on then rotates the other way.
So the idea there is to design some kind of mechanical system which converts
the energy of a significant change-of-acceleration of the car, into only a
small change in velocity & acceleration actually being felt by the person.
After all, is this actually possible to do? It seems to be, intuitively
possible... after all, making use of some kind of mass to convert the energy
to somewhere else, or something?
I don't know if that's really enough..
Maybe someone else might think up another design completely - the idea is
basically how you can have collisions happen (at any speed eg set the
fastest possible a car could ever do in theory, while maintain traction and
driveable ? 120km/h? or 300km/h or more if apply to racing events as well?)
then design the system so the cars can bounce and no acceleration effect on
the people inside - if this is even possible..
Maybe the system can have an internal component that momentarily accelerate
in the opposite direction to whatever change occurred (into store into a
spring eg) then the spring releas ethe energy into some other direction in
which it will release much slower or only small effect? Bearing in mind very
small timeframes and significant accelerations talking about...
If you have something travelling forward at 60km/h, stopping it linearly is
going to be a pretty great deceleration (relatively speaking). But if you
turn it into a curved path while it decelerate, that would be lesser
deceleration. That's where the rotational inner part idea came from.
I don't know if it a bogus idea.... maybe its just not going to have any
effect on deceleration??
Ideas anyone? ...
JP
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| User: "" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
12 Feb 2004 03:09:14 PM |
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In alt.engineering.electrical wrote:
| Cars with auto-pilots have been suggested since at least 1970.
| Computers are only fairly recently getting small, fast, and cheap
| enough to make this a possibility. Also digital camera technology
| is only recently getting good and cheap enough to make adequate
| sensors.
I don't want to even be on the road with, much less in, any vehicle running
on auto-pilot if any Microsoft code is involved.
--
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Phil Howard KA9WGN | http://linuxhomepage.com/ http://ham.org/ |
| (first name) at ipal.net | http://phil.ipal.org/ http://ka9wgn.ham.org/ |
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
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| User: "Edward Green" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
14 Feb 2004 03:50:32 PM |
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wrote in message news:<c0gq1q52t0n@enews1.newsguy.com>...
In alt.engineering.electrical wrote:
| Cars with auto-pilots have been suggested since at least 1970.
| Computers are only fairly recently getting small, fast, and cheap
| enough to make this a possibility. Also digital camera technology
| is only recently getting good and cheap enough to make adequate
| sensors.
I don't want to even be on the road with, much less in, any vehicle running
on auto-pilot if any Microsoft code is involved.
Well ... yes. But it couldn't be any worse than being on the road
with human pilots who are drunk, fatigued, emotionally distraught,
distracted, super-annuated, or just plain incompetent.
Since in much of the country bars are in places only conveniently
accessible by car, and since people will continue having parties from
which their guests will drive home, driving under the influence, not
to mention all the other influences, will not be solved until cars at
least have the intelligence of Dobbin.
In the midwest they will also have to have the intelligence to leave
the motor running and the heater on until the passenger revives or is
collected; or else we will replace freezing deaths for traffic
accidents.
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| User: "Noonan" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
15 Feb 2004 04:05:31 PM |
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I'd call it a draw.
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| User: "Richard Herring" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
16 Feb 2004 04:20:24 AM |
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In message <2a0cceff.0402141350.454e9fd3@posting.google.com>, Edward
Green <nulldev00@aol.com> writes
In the midwest they will also have to have the intelligence to leave
the motor running and the heater on until the passenger revives or is
collected; or else we will replace freezing deaths for traffic
accidents.
But but but... What do you think the Darwin Awards are for?
--
Richard Herring
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| User: "" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
12 Feb 2004 04:47:15 PM |
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In article <c0gq1q52t0n@enews1.newsguy.com>, writes:
In alt.engineering.electrical wrote:
| Cars with auto-pilots have been suggested since at least 1970.
| Computers are only fairly recently getting small, fast, and cheap
| enough to make this a possibility. Also digital camera technology
| is only recently getting good and cheap enough to make adequate
| sensors.
I don't want to even be on the road with, much less in, any vehicle running
on auto-pilot if any Microsoft code is involved.
<Shudder>
Mati Meron | "When you argue with a fool,
meron@cars.uchicago.edu | chances are he is doing just the same"
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| User: "" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
13 Feb 2004 05:03:48 AM |
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In article <TnTWb.42$Y4.11755@news.uchicago.edu>,
wrote:
In article <c0gq1q52t0n@enews1.newsguy.com>,
writes:
In alt.engineering.electrical wrote:
| Cars with auto-pilots have been suggested since at least 1970.
| Computers are only fairly recently getting small, fast, and cheap
| enough to make this a possibility. Also digital camera technology
| is only recently getting good and cheap enough to make adequate
| sensors.
I don't want to even be on the road with, much less in, any vehicle
running
on auto-pilot if any Microsoft code is involved.
<Shudder>
[emoticon wraps warm coat around shaking emoticon and tells
stories about virgins, fairies and inside straights]
/BAH
Subtract a hundred and four for e-mail.
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| User: "dave y." |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
13 Feb 2004 09:44:33 PM |
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There was recently a demonstration project of this type of techology
in California (see PATH AHS). It included a demonstration stretch of
highway restricted to AHS vehicles. Several vehicles would be
platooned (following each other) and driven hands off.
One interesting sidenote--a video was taken showing the platoon cars
driving by with all the drivers hands up ( like on a roller coaster).
The funny thing was adjacent was the regular highway, and the
cars there were driving faster and spaced closer together. So much
for technology!
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| User: "Richard Henry" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
13 Feb 2004 11:08:50 PM |
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"dave y." <sagdave@ameritech.net> wrote in message
news:6u5r20h3uio97fpar01malo26pfpr3h7ti@4ax.com...
There was recently a demonstration project of this type of techology
in California (see PATH AHS). It included a demonstration stretch of
highway restricted to AHS vehicles. Several vehicles would be
platooned (following each other) and driven hands off.
One interesting sidenote--a video was taken showing the platoon cars
driving by with all the drivers hands up ( like on a roller coaster).
The funny thing was adjacent was the regular highway, and the
cars there were driving faster and spaced closer together. So much
for technology!
Spaced closer together? I don't think so. DO you have a link to share?
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| User: "Jevan" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
16 Feb 2004 05:31:53 AM |
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"Richard Henry" <rphenry@home.com> wrote in message
news:E3iXb.72553$fD.42044@fed1read02...
"dave y." <sagdave@ameritech.net> wrote in message
news:6u5r20h3uio97fpar01malo26pfpr3h7ti@4ax.com...
There was recently a demonstration project of this type of techology
in California (see PATH AHS). It included a demonstration stretch of
highway restricted to AHS vehicles. Several vehicles would be
platooned (following each other) and driven hands off.
One interesting sidenote--a video was taken showing the platoon cars
driving by with all the drivers hands up ( like on a roller coaster).
The funny thing was adjacent was the regular highway, and the
cars there were driving faster and spaced closer together. So much
for technology!
Spaced closer together? I don't think so. DO you have a link to share?
Yes well, everyone knows that greater distance between cars is safer - if
something go wrong with one car, gives the others more time to react.
I don't think you'd want the cars closer together and driving faster, just
because its automatically computer controlled. I think it more a case of,
you could sit back and watch TV that drop down onto in front of the
dashboard, listen to music, close the windows even (you don't have to look
out any more if you don't want to know about the traffic jam up ahead that
could still exist after all, its the humans that all decide to leave at the
same time and during rush hour), catch up on some work on the way there.
Maybe they should stagger working hours, to finish between 3pm and 7pm
instead of all finishing at 5pm.... but it is convenient to all finish at
5pm because then you get to be in the office during the same hours.
Actually I think communication technology is going to make offices no longer
required (after all, I.T. contractors work from home sometimes for example,
over the network). But we'll still like offices, or common meeting places,
because its good to get together in person. Just you won't have to do it as
often.. maybe once a week.
So then the load on the roads might decrease somewhat.. in theory.. enabling
us to sustain a greater population that still seems to keep going up, but
without impossible levels of road infrastructure.
How are we going to do it in the year 3000.. ? what's the projections I
wonder..
Maybe we'll all just need to invent amazing flying vehicles so we can occupy
all the available airspace as wel as groundspace, like in scifi..
JP
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| User: "dave y." |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
14 Feb 2004 07:47:43 AM |
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On Fri, 13 Feb 2004 21:08:50 -0800, "Richard Henry" <rphenry@home.com>
wrote:
"dave y." <sagdave@ameritech.net> wrote in message
news:6u5r20h3uio97fpar01malo26pfpr3h7ti@4ax.com...
There was recently a demonstration project of this type of techology
in California (see PATH AHS). It included a demonstration stretch of
highway restricted to AHS vehicles. Several vehicles would be
platooned (following each other) and driven hands off.
One interesting sidenote--a video was taken showing the platoon cars
driving by with all the drivers hands up ( like on a roller coaster).
The funny thing was adjacent was the regular highway, and the
cars there were driving faster and spaced closer together. So much
for technology!
Spaced closer together? I don't think so. DO you have a link to share?
Sorry, no. I saw the video at work. Some people I worked with were
involved in the project and they brought back the video and played it.
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| User: "dave y." |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
14 Feb 2004 08:03:56 AM |
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Incidently, I think one of the big challenges of this technology is
the determination in real time of the characteristics of the tire-road
interface, i.e. how does the system know if it's on a dry road or
slick ice?
ABS systems do this but you have to be braking at the time. Is
there technology to measure this continuously?
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| User: "Keith R. Williams" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
15 Feb 2004 10:04:04 AM |
|
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In article <b8as2055lpj8v6l9jameudke4dte4ii46g@4ax.com>,
sagdave@ameritech.net says...
Incidently, I think one of the big challenges of this technology is
the determination in real time of the characteristics of the tire-road
interface, i.e. how does the system know if it's on a dry road or
slick ice?
ABS systems do this but you have to be braking at the time. Is
there technology to measure this continuously?
The "traction control" built into the anti-lock brake system in my '93
Eagle Vision TSi. The TC sensed wheel slip and applied the brake
(pulsating) to the slipping wheel. This not only allowed the slipping
wheel to remain in contact with the surface, but delivered more power
to the opposite wheel. It worked great on snow, but IMO got a tad
dicey on ice. There was a switch on the dash to disable the TC
function.
--
Keith
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| User: "Gregory L. Hansen" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
14 Feb 2004 07:00:14 AM |
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In article <6u5r20h3uio97fpar01malo26pfpr3h7ti@4ax.com>,
dave y. <sagdave@ameritech.net> wrote:
There was recently a demonstration project of this type of techology
in California (see PATH AHS). It included a demonstration stretch of
highway restricted to AHS vehicles. Several vehicles would be
platooned (following each other) and driven hands off.
One interesting sidenote--a video was taken showing the platoon cars
driving by with all the drivers hands up ( like on a roller coaster).
The funny thing was adjacent was the regular highway, and the
cars there were driving faster and spaced closer together. So much
for technology!
Probably the platooned cars were going the speed limit and properly spaced
by the "three second" rule. Real traffic routinely spaces itself so
closely that there's no room for a lane change and no room to stop,
although there always should be.
--
"The result of this experiment was inconclusive, so we had to use
statistics." (Overheard at international physics conference)
.
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| User: "Richard Henry" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
14 Feb 2004 08:59:02 AM |
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"Gregory L. Hansen" <glhansen@steel.ucs.indiana.edu> wrote in message
news:c0l64u$if4$2@hood.uits.indiana.edu...
In article <6u5r20h3uio97fpar01malo26pfpr3h7ti@4ax.com>,
dave y. <sagdave@ameritech.net> wrote:
There was recently a demonstration project of this type of techology
in California (see PATH AHS). It included a demonstration stretch of
highway restricted to AHS vehicles. Several vehicles would be
platooned (following each other) and driven hands off.
One interesting sidenote--a video was taken showing the platoon cars
driving by with all the drivers hands up ( like on a roller coaster).
The funny thing was adjacent was the regular highway, and the
cars there were driving faster and spaced closer together. So much
for technology!
Probably the platooned cars were going the speed limit and properly spaced
by the "three second" rule. Real traffic routinely spaces itself so
closely that there's no room for a lane change and no room to stop,
although there always should be.
http://www.path.berkeley.edu/PATH/Publications/Videos/
Scroll down to "8 car automated platoon" for a ram video.
http://www.fia.com/Automotive/Automotive/autumn%2097/p3.html
for a still photo.
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| User: "Ian Stirling" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
14 Feb 2004 09:16:06 AM |
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In sci.physics dave y. <sagdave@ameritech.net> wrote:
There was recently a demonstration project of this type of techology
in California (see PATH AHS). It included a demonstration stretch of
highway restricted to AHS vehicles. Several vehicles would be
platooned (following each other) and driven hands off.
One interesting sidenote--a video was taken showing the platoon cars
driving by with all the drivers hands up ( like on a roller coaster).
The funny thing was adjacent was the regular highway, and the
cars there were driving faster and spaced closer together. So much
for technology!
It's probably limited by policy reasons.
The technology can generally cope with seperations of well under a meter.
You may be talking about over 10 cars/second, for a convoy going at speed.
You've got to consider problems of course.
For identical cars, if the cars are autocontrolled, whatever one car
encounters, the next one will too.
If the first car got round a bend, then all the rest will.
There are a very few faults that would cause problems.
Any uncontrolled braking of any vehicle in the platoon will have minimal
effect, as it can brake no harder than the vehicle behind it.
There are problems.
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| User: "Mark Fergerson" |
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| Title: Re: cars technologies |
13 Feb 2004 06:10:19 AM |
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Jevan wrote:
(Re: Article by Jim Louderback - editor - Ziff Davis Media - PCMag/eWeek)
See below. Not too bad... I proposed this in discussion (not written in the
thesis though, just said it to my supervisor Dr Ken Taylor) when I did my
4th year Engineering project. Personally though I took it a step further,
saying that they'll have it automatically take over the car driving
completely, if need by to avoid an accident - steering and all. After all, I
was doing the speed control for automation of the landcruiser project, but
why not also control the steering (we planned to, anyway!). You'd need damn
good software to interpret pedestrians, road signs, etc better than a human
can - it'd have to, to be able to take over from us safely.
You're basically talking about an Expert System inserted
in between the manual controls and the roadway. Sounds good
to me; I've always wanted a car at leasr as smart as a fish.
Fish manage to perform complicated maneuvers en masse
without colliding. I'd prefer to be able to just "herd" the
car ("go that way, and handle the details") if I felt even
slightly distracted (or distractable) instead of having to
focus all my attention on the driving process fulltime. Now,
which "expert" do you model the system after, some Grand
Prix speed demon, or your spinster aunt Betsy? Or maybe a
rainbow trout?
Of course, if the thing starts losing competence, I want
full manual control on demand.
<snip>
Taking it a step further, once all cars are networked (they can all have
little infra red sensor and transmittors on the bumper bars perhaps, for
example, or short range (50 metre max) radio transmittors/receivers), then
they can in fact make a COLLECTIVE decision (intelligent) all by computer,
I can't wait for the inevitable Windoze- and Apple-based
autodrivers' incompatibilities. They used to call cars
"buggies"; that could come back with new meaning.
I think a computer system is potentially far outweigh anything a human could
do.
If you break a job into small enough tasks, and have fast
enough processors, decent hardware interface, etc, I agree.
_IF_.
<snip>
Also he talks of hybrid - fuel cell + petrol. What about solar? Why not
hybrid fuel cell + solar + petrol, then?
Electric. But the least stupid idea I've ever heard is to
tax every driver to support a system involving power
conduits in the roadway itself, and fairly short-term
storage capacity in the car to handle system glitches. If
you are licensed, you use it. If you aren't, you don't need it.
For longer interstate stretches it wouldn't be
economical, and you'd need a special endorsement (competency
test-driven) and independent power.
It'll take some major infrastructure rearranging, but
that's coming slowly anyway.
<snip>
Maybe that another one of my off the planet ideas.. but who knows... imagine
how many pepole hang out their clothing in the world, imagine how much
sunlight and energy would get picked up.. would it be enough to power you
house and car for the week? or day? Or maybe with some more improvements in
solar technology? Just an idea.. I think one solution to effectively
increase efficiency is to cover everything we own in solar cells (hehe).
Works for me. Get together with Feerguy.
Mark L. Fergerson
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