| Topic: |
Politics > Politics-Misc |
| User: |
"Harry Dope" |
| Date: |
22 Apr 2007 02:22:11 PM |
| Object: |
Greatest Economy In USA History. Thanks Pres. Bush |
Dow Jones could hurtle past 13,000 mark
By MADLEN READ, AP Business Writer 1 hour, 50 minutes ago
NEW YORK - The Dow Jones industrial average is now perched below the 13,000
mark, lifted last week by surprisingly strong earnings reports. If this
week's reports follow that trend, investors may send the index hurtling past
that milestone.
So far, 16 of the 30 Dow component companies have released earnings from the
first three months of the year, and 10 have beaten expectations. This week,
six more Dow components report results, including Exxon Mobil Corp., which
in 2006 posted the largest annual profit by a U.S. company, and Microsoft
Corp., which investors will be eyeing for clues about the potential of the
technology sector.
But while the Dow is back in record territory, and the Standard & Poor's 500
and Nasdaq composite indexes are at their highest levels in more than six
years, many market watchers are skeptical about Wall Street's ability to
extend last week's streak with the same vigor. Volatility remains higher
than it was before the stock plunge on Feb. 27 that sent the Dow tumbling
416 points, and although the market has recovered its losses, many of the
same concerns that took the market down two months ago remain: high
inflation, a weakening dollar and a slow housing market.
Investors will have a good deal of housing data to examine this week.
Recently, reports have shown that the housing market is still tepid, but
more resilient than many investors expected, suggesting that the troubles
with subprime mortgages aren't affecting the broader lending industry, and
that homeowners won't feel the need to rein in spending.
On Tuesday, the National Association of Realtors reports sales of existing
homes in March. The market expects that 6.50 million existing homes were
sold, down slightly from 6.69 million in February, according to the median
forecast of economists surveyed by Thomson Financial. Also Tuesday, Standard
& Poor's releases its February index of home prices.
On Wednesday, the Commerce Department reports on new home sales in March.
Economists predict that 851,000 new homes were sold in March, compared with
848,000 a month earlier.
Last week, benign inflation data also helped stocks surge. The Dow rose 2.77
percent, the S&P 500 rose 2.17 percent, and the Nasdaq rose 1.38 percent.
ANOTHER WEEK OF EARNINGS ...
AT&T Inc. releases its earnings from the first quarter Tuesday. Analysts
surveyed by Thomson expect the company to report profit of 61 cents per
share. The phone company closed at $39.87 Friday, at the upper end of its
52-week range of $24.72 to $39.90.
Boeing Co.'s quarterly earnings come out Wednesday, and analysts expect the
aerospace manufacturer to report profit of $1.02 per share. Boeing closed at
$93.29 last Friday, at the high end of its 52-week range of $72.13 to
$94.75.
Apple Inc.'s results also come out Wednesday and are expected to show
quarterly profit of 64 cents per share. Apple closed at $90.97 Friday, at
the upper end of its 52-week range of $50.16 to $97.80.
Thursday will bring Microsoft's and ExxonMobil's earnings. Microsoft's
profit is expected to be 46 cents per share. The software maker closed at
$29.02 Friday, in the upper half of its 52-week range of $21.45 to $31.48.
ExxonMobil is expected to post a profit of $1.51 per share. The oil company
closed at $79.86 Friday and set a fresh 52-week high of $79.80. Its previous
high was $79.
.... AND ECONOMIC DATA KEEPS ROLLING IN
On Tuesday, the Conference Board releases its April index of consumer
confidence. The market expects the index to slip to 105.7 from 107.2 in
March, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Thomson
Financial.
On Wednesday, the Commerce Department reports on orders of durable goods.
Economists forecast that durable goods rose 1.1 percent in March, slightly
faster than 1.0 percent in February.
Also Wednesday, the Federal Reserve releases its Beige Book, which details
economic activity in various U.S. regions.
On Friday, the University of Michigan revises its index of consumer
sentiment in April, and the Commerce Department releases its first estimate
of first-quarter gross domestic product. Economists are anticipating GDP
growth of about 2.0 percent, down from 2.5 percent in the fourth quarter.
Next week will also bring regional manufacturing indexes from the Chicago,
Richmond and Kansas City Federal Reserve banks, and a speech in New York on
Friday from San Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen.
--
The Whitehouse email system apparantly contained a glitch that allowed
thousands of emails to escape record, many of which were evidence to other
Clinton scandals. The nature of this glitch was allegedly undisclosed so as
to hide email evidence from investigat
.
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| User: "SPIKE" |
|
| Title: Re: Greatest Economy In USA History. Thanks Pres. Bush |
22 Apr 2007 04:22:52 PM |
|
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"Harry Dope" <ILuvCommies@aol.com> wrote in message
news:462bc417$0$9886$4c368faf@roadrunner.com...
Dow Jones could hurtle past 13,000 mark
By MADLEN READ, AP Business Writer 1 hour, 50 minutes ago
NEW YORK - The Dow Jones industrial average is now perched below the
13,000 mark, lifted last week by surprisingly strong earnings reports. If
this week's reports follow that trend, investors may send the index
hurtling past that milestone.
You've posted the same ***** three times now. You will never convince
anyone with your stupid posts that "the economy is doing great". People
beleive what they observe rather than the ramblings of some nut case, mental
patient, like you. High-tech jobs are being offshored to asia while home
values have reached completely unaffordable levels for many middle class
people and wages remain stagnent. Yup, that is a good economy.
Get a life! Idiot!
.
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| User: "" |
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| Title: Re: Greatest Economy In USA History. Thanks Pres. Bush:almost everything points to the opposite. in fact it looks similar to 1928 |
22 Apr 2007 07:10:38 PM |
|
|
You've posted the same ***** three times now. You will never convince
anyone with your stupid posts that "the economy is doing great". People
beleive what they observe rather than the ramblings of some nut case, men=
tal
patient, like you. High-tech jobs are being offshored to asia while home
values have reached completely unaffordable levels for many middle class
people and wages remain stagnent. Yup, that is a good economy.
Get a life! Idiot!
i agree 100% with you. only fools believe this is some sort of good
economy. almost everything points to the opposite. in fact it looks
similar to 1928.
so i am posting this for the dope. it will not understand the
implications of this piece. it is to stupid for that. but you never
know.
http://www.huppi.com/kangaroo/Timeline.htm
TIMELINES OF THE GREAT DEPRESSION:
This page features two timelines: the first for general events of the
Roaring 20s and the Great Depression, the second for leading economic
indicators.
The importance of these timelines cannot be emphasized enough. Seeing
the order in which events actually occurred dispels many myths about
the Great Depression. One of the greatest of these myths is that
government intervention was responsible for its onset. Truly massive
intervention began only under the presidency of Franklin Roosevelt in
1933, who was sworn in after the worst had already hit. Although his
New Deal did not cure it, all the leading economic indicators improved
on his watch.
But don't take my word for it -- here is the raw data:
TIMELINE OF GENERAL EVENTS
1920s (Decade)
During World War I, federal spending grows three times larger than tax
collections. When the government cuts back spending to balance the
budget in 1920, a severe recession results. However, the war economy
invested heavily in the manufacturing sector, and the next decade will
see an explosion of productivity... although only for certain sectors
of the economy.
An average of 600 banks fail each year.
Agricultural, energy and coal mining sectors are continually
depressed. Textiles, shoes, shipbuilding and railroads continually
decline.
The value of farmland falls 30 to 40 percent between 1920 and 1929.
Organized labor declines throughout the decade. The United Mine
Workers Union will see its membership fall from 500,000 in 1920 to
75,000 in 1928. The American Federation of Labor would fall from 5.1
million in 1920 to 3.4 million in 1929.
"Technological unemployment" enters the nation's vocabulary; as many
as 200,000 workers a year are replaced by automatic or semi-automatic
machinery.
Over the decade, about 1,200 mergers will swallow up more than 6,000
previously independent companies; by 1929, only 200 corporations will
control over half of all American industry.
By the end of the decade, the bottom 80 percent of all income-earners
will be removed from the tax rolls completely. Taxes on the rich will
fall throughout the decade.
By 1929, the richest 1 percent will own 40 percent of the nation's
wealth. The bottom 93 percent will have experienced a 4 percent drop
in real disposable per-capita income between 1923 and 1929.
The middle class comprises only 15 to 20 percent of all Americans.
Individual worker productivity rises an astonishing 43 percent from
1919 to 1929. But the rewards are being funneled to the top: the
number of people reporting half-million dollar incomes grows from 156
to 1,489 between 1920 and 1929, a phenomenal rise compared to other
decades. But that is still less than 1 percent of all income-earners.
1922
The conservative Supreme Court strikes down federal child labor
legislation.
1923
President Warren Harding dies in office; his administration was easily
one of the most corrupt in American history. Calvin Coolidge, who is
squeaky clean by comparison, becomes president. Coolidge is no less
committed to laissez-faire and a non-interventionist government. He
announces to the American people: "The business of America is
business."
Supreme Court nullifies minimum wage for women in District of
Columbia.
1924
The Ku Klux Klan reaches the height of its influence in America: by
the end of the year it will claim 9 million members. It will decline
drastically in 1925, however, after financial and moral scandals rock
its leadership.
The stock market begins its spectacular rise. Bears little relation to
the rest of the economy.
1925
The top tax rate is lowered to 25 percent - the lowest top rate in the
eight decades since World War I.
Supreme Court rules that trade organizations do not violate anti-trust
laws as long as some competition survives.
1928
The construction boom is over.
Farmers' share of the national income has dropped from 15 to 9 percent
since 1920.
Between May 1928 and September 1929, the average prices of stocks will
rise 40 percent. Trading will mushroom from 2-3 million shares per day
to over 5 million. The boom is largely artificial.
1929
Herbert Hoover becomes President. Hoover is a staunch individualist
but not as committed to laissez-faire ideology as Coolidge.
More than half of all Americans are living below a minimum subsistence
level.
Annual per-capita income is $750; for farm people, it is only $273.
Backlog of business inventories grows three times larger than the year
before. Public consumption markedly down.
Freight carloads and manufacturing fall.
Automobile sales decline by a third in the nine months before the
crash.
Construction down $2 billion since 1926.
Recession begins in August, two months before the stock market crash.
During this two month period, production will decline at an annual
rate of 20 percent, wholesale prices at 7.5 percent, and personal
income at 5 percent.
Stock market crash begins October 24. Investors call October 29 "Black
Tuesday." Losses for the month will total $16 billion, an astronomical
sum in those days.
Congress passes Agricultural Marketing Act to support farmers until
they can get back on their feet.
1930
By February, the Federal Reserve has cut the prime interest rate from
6 to 4 percent. Expands the money supply with a major purchase of U.S.
securities. However, for the next year and a half, the Fed will add
very little money to the shrinking economy. (At no time will it
actually pull money out of the system.) Treasury Secretary Andrew
Mellon announces that the Fed will stand by as the market works itself
out: "Liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate real estate... values
will be adjusted, and enterprising people will pick up the wreck from
less-competent people." (More)
The Smoot-Hawley Tariff passes on June 17. With imports forming only 6
percent of the GNP, the 40 percent tariffs work out to an effective
tax of only 2.4 percent per citizen. Even this is compensated for by
the fact that American businesses are no longer investing in Europe,
but keeping their money stateside. The consensus of modern economists
is that the tariff made only a minor contribution to the Great
Depression in the U.S., but a major one in Europe. (More)
The first bank panic occurs later this year; a public run on banks
results in a wave of bankruptcies. Bank failures and deposit losses
are responsible for the contracting money supply.
Supreme Court rules that the monopoly U.S. Steel does not violate anti-
trust laws as long as competition exists, no matter how negligible.
Democrats gain in Congressional elections, but still do not have a
majority.
The GNP falls 9.4 percent from the year before. The unemployment rate
climbs from 3.2 to 8.7 percent.
1931
No major legislation is passed addressing the Depression.
A second banking panic occurs in the spring.
The GNP falls another 8.5 percent; unemployment rises to 15.9 percent.
1932
This and the next year are the worst years of the Great Depression.
For 1932, GNP falls a record 13.4 percent; unemployment rises to 23.6
percent.
Industrial stocks have lost 80 percent of their value since 1930.
10,000 banks have failed since 1929, or 40 percent of the 1929 total.
About $2 billion in deposits have been lost since 1929.
Money supply has contracted 31 percent since 1929.
GNP has also fallen 31 percent since 1929.
Over 13 million Americans have lost their jobs since 1929.
Capital growth investments have dropped from $16.2 billion to 1/3 of
one billion since 1929.
Farm prices have fallen 53 percent since 1929.
International trade has fallen by two-thirds since 1929.
The Fed makes its first major expansion of the money supply since
February 1930.
Congress creates the Reconstruction Finance Corporation. (More)
Congress passes the Federal Home Loan Bank Act and the Glass-Steagall
Act of 1932. (More)
Top tax rate is raised from 25 to 63 percent.
Popular opinion considers Hoover's measures too little too late.
Franklin Roosevelt easily defeats Hoover in the fall election.
Democrats win control of Congress.
At his Democratic presidential nomination, Roosevelt says: "I pledge
you, I pledge myself, to a new deal for the American people."
1933
Roosevelt inaugurated; begins "First 100 Days" of intensive
legislative activity. (More)
A third banking panic occurs in March. Roosevelt declares a Bank
Holiday; closes financial institutions to stop a run on banks.
Alarmed by Roosevelt's plan to redistribute wealth from the rich to
the poor, a group of millionaire businessmen, led by the Du Pont and
J=2EP. Morgan empires, plans to overthrow Roosevelt with a military coup
and install a fascist government. The businessmen try to recruit
General Smedley Butler, promising him an army of 500,000, unlimited
financial backing and generous media spin control. The plot is foiled
when Butler reports it to Congress. (More)
Congress authorizes creation of the Agricultural Adjustment
Administration, the Civilian Conservation Corps, the Farm Credit
Administration, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Federal
Emergency Relief Administration, the National Recovery Administration,
the Public Works Administration and the Tennessee Valley Authority.
(More)
Congress passes the Emergency Banking Bill, the Glass-Steagall Act of
1933, the Farm Credit Act, the National Industrial Recovery Act and
the Truth-in-Securities Act. (More)
U=2ES. goes off the gold standard.
Roosevelt does much to redistribute wealth from the rich to the poor,
but is obsessed with a balanced budget. He later rejects Keynes'
advice to begin heavy deficit spending.
The free fall of the GNP is significantly slowed; it dips only 2.1
percent this year. Unemployment rises slightly, to 24.9 percent.
1934
Congress authorizes creation of the Federal Communications Commission,
the National Mediation Board and the Securities and Exchange
Commission. (More)
Congress passes the Securities and Exchange Act and the Trade
Agreement Act. (More)
The economy turns around: GNP rises 7.7 percent, and unemployment
falls to 21.7 percent. A long road to recovery begins.
Sweden becomes the first nation to recover fully from the Great
Depression. It has followed a policy of Keynesian deficit spending.
(More)
1935
The Supreme Court declares the National Recovery Administration to be
unconstitutional.
Congress authorizes creation of the Works Progress Administration, the
National Labor Relations Board and the Rural Electrification
Administration. (More)
Congress passes the Banking Act of 1935, the Emergency Relief
Appropriation Act, the National Labor Relations Act, and the Social
Security Act. (More)
Economic recovery continues: the GNP grows another 8.1 percent, and
unemployment falls to 20.1 percent.
1936
The Supreme Court declares part of the Agricultural Adjustment Act to
be unconstitutional.
In response, Congress passes the Soil Conservation and Domestic
Allotment Act. (More)
Top tax rate raised to 79 percent.
Economic recovery continues: GNP grows a record 14.1 percent;
unemployment falls to 16.9 percent.
Germany becomes the second nation to recover fully from the Great
Depression, through heavy deficit spending in preparation for war.
1937
The Supreme Court declares the National Labor Relations Board to be
unconstitutional.
Roosevelt seeks to enlarge and therefore liberalize the Supreme Court.
This attempt not only fails, but outrages the public.
Economists attribute economic growth so far to heavy government
spending that is somewhat deficit. Roosevelt, however, fears an
unbalanced budget and cuts spending for 1937. That summer, the nation
plunges into another recession. Despite this, the yearly GNP rises 5.0
percent, and unemployment falls to 14.3 percent.
1938
Congress passes the Agricultural Adjustment Act of 1938 and the Fair
Labor Standards Act. (More)
No major New Deal legislation is passed after this date, due to
Roosevelt's weakened political power.
The year-long recession makes itself felt: the GNP falls 4.5 percent,
and unemployment rises to 19.0 percent.
Britain becomes the third nation to recover as it begins deficit
spending in preparation for war.
1939
GNP rises 7.9 percent; unemployment falls to 17.2 percent.
The United States will begin emerging from the Depression as it
borrows and spends $1 billion to build its armed forces. From 1939 to
1941, when the Japanese attack Pearl Harbor, U.S. manufacturing will
have shot up a phenomenal 50 percent!
The Depression is ending worldwide as nations prepare for the coming
hostilities.
World War II starts with Hitler's invasion of Poland.
1945
Although the war is the largest tragedy in human history, the United
States emerges as the world's only economic superpower. Deficit
spending has resulted in a national debt 123 percent the size of the
GDP. By contrast, in 1994, the $4.7 trillion national debt will be
only 70 percent of the GDP!
The top tax rate is 91 percent. It will stay at least 88 percent until
1963, when it is lowered to 70 percent. During this time, America will
experience the greatest economic boom it has ever known.
ECONOMIC TIMELINE
The following timeline shows the order of economic events during the
Great Depression. Notice the effect that deficit spending had on
economic growth:
Receipts: Tax receipts as a percentage of the Gross Domestic Product
Spending: Federal spending as a percentage of the Gross Domestic
Product
GNP: Percent change in the Gross National Product
Unemp.: Unemployment rate
Tax Federal GNP Unemp.
Year Receipts Spending Growth Rate
-------------------------------------------------
1929 -- -- -- 3.2% < Hoover era, Great
Depression begins
1930 4.2% 3.4% - 9.4% 8.7
1931 3.7 4.3 - 8.5 15.9
1932 2.9 7.0 -13.4 23.6
1933 3.5 8.1 - 2.1 24.9 < FDR, New Deal begins;
contraction ends March
1934 4.9 10.8 + 7.7 21.7
1935 5.3 9.3 + 8.1 20.1
1936 5.1 10.6 +14.1 16.9
1937 6.2 8.7 + 5.0 14.3 < recession begins, May
1938 7.7 7.8 - 4.5 19.0 < recession ends, June
1939 7.2 10.4 + 7.9 17.2
1940 6.9 9.9
1941 7.7 12.1
1942 10.3 24.8
1943 13.7 44.8
1944 21.7 45.3
1945 21.3 43.7
As you can see, Roosevelt began relatively modest deficit spending
that arrested the slide of the economy and resulted in some
astonishing growth numbers. (Roosevelt's average growth of 5.2 percent
during the Great Depression is even higher than Reagan's 3.7 percent
growth during his so-called "Seven Fat Years!") When 1936 saw a
phenomenal record of 14 percent growth, Roosevelt eased back on the
deficit spending, overly worried about balancing the budget. But this
only caused the economy to slip back into a recession, as the above
chart shows.
I have been unable to find reliable economic growth figures from World
War II, but as a generalization it is safe to say the economy
exploded, experiencing it's greatest growth in U.S. history. Between
1940 and 1945, the GDP nearly doubled in size, from $832 billion to
$1,559 billion in constant 87 dollars. And this occurred as deficit
spending soared, to levels Keynes had earlier and unsuccessfully
recommended to Roosevelt.
Next Section: Summary
Return to The Great Depression Homepage
Sources:
T=2EH. Watkins, The Great Depression: America in the 1930s (New York:
Little, Brown and Company, 1993)
Kevin Phillips, Boiling Point (New York: HarperCollins, 1993)
Kevin Phillips, The Politics of Rich and Poor (New York: Random House,
1990)
The 1995 Grolier Encyclopedia (Entries: New Deal, Depression of the
30s, Roosevelt, Coolidge.)
The Encyclopedia Brittanica Online (Entries: New Deal, Great
Depression.)
Donald Barlett and James Steele, America: What Went Wrong? (Kansas
City: Andrews and McMeel, 1992)
Donald Barlett and James Steele, America: Who Really Pays the Taxes?
(New York: Simon & Schuster, 1994)
James MacGregor Fox, Roosevelt: The Lion and the Fox (New York:
Konecky and Konecky, 1956)
Elaine Schwartz, Econ 101=BD (New York: Avon Books, 1995)
Peter Pugh and Chris Garratt, Introducing Keynes (Cambridge, England:
Icon Books, Ltd., 1993)
Paul Krugman, Peddling Prosperity (New York: W.W. Norton and Company,
1994)
Online sources:
History lecture notes: http://www.marshall.edu/history/mccarthy/hst331/lect=
ure/greatdep.1
Gary H. Stern (President, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis),
"Achieving Economic Stability: Lessons From the Crash of 1929," 1987
Annual Report Essay, http://woodrow.mpls.frb.fed.us/pubs/ar/ar1987.html
Office of Management and Budget, Budget of the United States
Government, Fiscal Year 1997, Historical Tables 1.2 and 10.1,
http://www.doc.gov/BudgetFY97/histtoc.html
.
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| User: "" |
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| Title: Re: Greatest Economy In USA History. Thanks Pres. Bush:almost everything points to the opposite. in fact it looks similar to 1928 |
23 Apr 2007 10:37:26 AM |
|
|
On Apr 22, 7:10 pm, wrote:
You've posted the same ***** three times now. You will never convin=
ce
anyone with your stupid posts that "the economy is doing great". Peop=
le
beleive what they observe rather than the ramblings of some nut case, m=
ental
patient, like you. High-tech jobs are being offshored to asia while ho=
me
values have reached completely unaffordable levels for many middle class
people and wages remain stagnent. Yup, that is a good economy.
Get a life! Idiot!
i agree 100% with you. only fools believe this is some sort of good
economy. almost everything points to the opposite. in fact it looks
similar to 1928.
so i am posting this for the dope. it will not understand the
implications of this piece. it is to stupid for that. but you never
know.
http://www.huppi.com/kangaroo/Timeline.htm
TIMELINES OF THE GREAT DEPRESSION:
This page features two timelines: the first for general events of the
Roaring 20s and the Great Depression, the second for leading economic
indicators.
The importance of these timelines cannot be emphasized enough. Seeing
the order in which events actually occurred dispels many myths about
the Great Depression. One of the greatest of these myths is that
government intervention was responsible for its onset. Truly massive
intervention began only under the presidency of Franklin Roosevelt in
1933, who was sworn in after the worst had already hit. Although his
New Deal did not cure it, all the leading economic indicators improved
on his watch.
But don't take my word for it -- here is the raw data:
TIMELINE OF GENERAL EVENTS
1920s (Decade)
During World War I, federal spending grows three times larger than tax
collections. When the government cuts back spending to balance the
budget in 1920, a severe recession results. However, the war economy
invested heavily in the manufacturing sector, and the next decade will
see an explosion of productivity... although only for certain sectors
of the economy.
An average of 600 banks fail each year.
Agricultural, energy and coal mining sectors are continually
depressed. Textiles, shoes, shipbuilding and railroads continually
decline.
The value of farmland falls 30 to 40 percent between 1920 and 1929.
Organized labor declines throughout the decade. The United Mine
Workers Union will see its membership fall from 500,000 in 1920 to
75,000 in 1928. The American Federation of Labor would fall from 5.1
million in 1920 to 3.4 million in 1929.
"Technological unemployment" enters the nation's vocabulary; as many
as 200,000 workers a year are replaced by automatic or semi-automatic
machinery.
Over the decade, about 1,200 mergers will swallow up more than 6,000
previously independent companies; by 1929, only 200 corporations will
control over half of all American industry.
By the end of the decade, the bottom 80 percent of all income-earners
will be removed from the tax rolls completely. Taxes on the rich will
fall throughout the decade.
By 1929, the richest 1 percent will own 40 percent of the nation's
wealth. The bottom 93 percent will have experienced a 4 percent drop
in real disposable per-capita income between 1923 and 1929.
The middle class comprises only 15 to 20 percent of all Americans.
Individual worker productivity rises an astonishing 43 percent from
1919 to 1929. But the rewards are being funneled to the top: the
number of people reporting half-million dollar incomes grows from 156
to 1,489 between 1920 and 1929, a phenomenal rise compared to other
decades. But that is still less than 1 percent of all income-earners.
1922
The conservative Supreme Court strikes down federal child labor
legislation.
1923
President Warren Harding dies in office; his administration was easily
one of the most corrupt in American history. Calvin Coolidge, who is
squeaky clean by comparison, becomes president. Coolidge is no less
committed to laissez-faire and a non-interventionist government. He
announces to the American people: "The business of America is
business."
Supreme Court nullifies minimum wage for women in District of
Columbia.
1924
The Ku Klux Klan reaches the height of its influence in America: by
the end of the year it will claim 9 million members. It will decline
drastically in 1925, however, after financial and moral scandals rock
its leadership.
The stock market begins its spectacular rise. Bears little relation to
the rest of the economy.
1925
The top tax rate is lowered to 25 percent - the lowest top rate in the
eight decades since World War I.
Supreme Court rules that trade organizations do not violate anti-trust
laws as long as some competition survives.
1928
The construction boom is over.
Farmers' share of the national income has dropped from 15 to 9 percent
since 1920.
Between May 1928 and September 1929, the average prices of stocks will
rise 40 percent. Trading will mushroom from 2-3 million shares per day
to over 5 million. The boom is largely artificial.
1929
Herbert Hoover becomes President. Hoover is a staunch individualist
but not as committed to laissez-faire ideology as Coolidge.
More than half of all Americans are living below a minimum subsistence
level.
Annual per-capita income is $750; for farm people, it is only $273.
Backlog of business inventories grows three times larger than the year
before. Public consumption markedly down.
Freight carloads and manufacturing fall.
Automobile sales decline by a third in the nine months before the
crash.
Construction down $2 billion since 1926.
Recession begins in August, two months before the stock market crash.
During this two month period, production will decline at an annual
rate of 20 percent, wholesale prices at 7.5 percent, and personal
income at 5 percent.
Stock market crash begins October 24. Investors call October 29 "Black
Tuesday." Losses for the month will total $16 billion, an astronomical
sum in those days.
Congress passes Agricultural Marketing Act to support farmers until
they can get back on their feet.
1930
By February, the Federal Reserve has cut the prime interest rate from
6 to 4 percent. Expands the money supply with a major purchase of U.S.
securities. However, for the next year and a half, the Fed will add
very little money to the shrinking economy. (At no time will it
actually pull money out of the system.) Treasury Secretary Andrew
Mellon announces that the Fed will stand by as the market works itself
out: "Liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate real estate... values
will be adjusted, and enterprising people will pick up the wreck from
less-competent people." (More)
The Smoot-Hawley Tariff passes on June 17. With imports forming only 6
percent of the GNP, the 40 percent tariffs work out to an effective
tax of only 2.4 percent per citizen. Even this is compensated for by
the fact that American businesses are no longer investing in Europe,
but keeping their money stateside. The consensus of modern economists
is that the tariff made only a minor contribution to the Great
Depression in the U.S., but a major one in Europe. (More)
The first bank panic occurs later this year; a public run on banks
results in a wave of bankruptcies. Bank failures and deposit losses
are responsible for the contracting money supply.
Supreme Court rules that the monopoly U.S. Steel does not violate anti-
trust laws as long as competition exists, no matter how negligible.
Democrats gain in Congressional elections, but still do not have a
majority.
The GNP falls 9.4 percent from the year before. The unemployment rate
climbs from 3.2 to 8.7 percent.
1931
No major legislation is passed addressing the Depression.
A second banking panic occurs in the spring.
The GNP falls another 8.5 percent; unemployment rises to 15.9 percent.
1932
This and the next year are the worst years of the Great Depression.
For 1932, GNP falls a record 13.4 percent; unemployment rises to 23.6
percent.
Industrial stocks have lost 80 percent of their value since 1930.
10,000 banks have failed since 1929, or 40 percent of the 1929 total.
About $2 billion in deposits have been lost since 1929.
Money supply has contracted 31 percent since 1929.
GNP has also fallen 31 percent since 1929.
Over 13 million Americans have lost their jobs since 1929.
Capital growth investments have dropped from $16.2 billion to 1/3 of
one billion since 1929.
Farm prices have fallen 53 percent since 1929.
International trade has fallen by two-thirds since 1929.
The Fed makes its first major expansion of the money supply since
February 1930.
Congress creates the Reconstruction Finance Corporation. (More)
Congress passes the Federal Home Loan Bank Act and the Glass-Steagall
Act of 1932. (More)
Top tax rate is raised from 25 to 63 percent.
Popular opinion considers Hoover's measures too little too late.
Franklin Roosevelt easily defeats Hoover in the fall election.
Democrats win control of Congress.
At his Democratic presidential nomination, Roosevelt says: "I pledge
you, I pledge myself, to a new deal for the American people."
1933
Roosevelt inaugurated; begins "First 100 Days" of intensive
legislative activity. (More)
A third banking panic occurs in March. Roosevelt declares a Bank
Holiday; closes financial institutions to stop a run on banks.
Alarmed by Roosevelt's plan to redistribute wealth from the rich to
the poor, a group of millionaire businessmen, led by the Du Pont and
J.P. Morgan empires, plans to overthrow Roosevelt with a military coup
and install a fascist government. The businessmen try to recruit
General Smedley Butler, promising him an army of 500,000, unlimited
financial backing and generous media spin control. The plot is foiled
when Butler reports it to Congress. (More)
Congress authorizes creation of the Agricultural Adjustment
Administration, the Civilian Conservation Corps, the Farm Credit
Administration, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Federal
Emergency Relief Administration, the National Recovery Administration,
the Public Works Administration and the Tennessee Valley Authority.
(More)
Congress passes the ...
read more =BB
the dow is a total disconnect to the real economy. just like in 1929,
and 2001.
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| User: "alexy" |
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| Title: Re: Greatest Economy In USA History. Thanks Pres. Bush:almost everything points to the opposite. in fact it looks similar to 1928 |
23 Apr 2007 11:27:06 AM |
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wrote:
the dow is a total disconnect to the real economy. just like in 1929,
and 2001.
So on March 14, when you posted an article about the Dow dropping
below 12,000 and blamed it all on the current administration, you were
talking about a total disconnect from the real economy?
I suspected as much.
--
Alex -- Replace "nospam" with "mail" to reply by email. Checked infrequently.
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| User: "" |
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| Title: Re: Greatest Economy In USA History. Thanks Pres. Bush:almost everything points to the opposite. in fact it looks similar to 1928 |
23 Apr 2007 12:19:51 PM |
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On Apr 23, 11:27 am, alexy <nos...@asbry.net> wrote:
Vide...@tcq.net wrote:
the dow is a total disconnect to the real economy. just like in 1929,
and 2001.
So on March 14, when you posted an article about the Dow dropping
below 12,000 and blamed it all on the current administration, you were
talking about a total disconnect from the real economy?
I suspected as much.
--
Alex -- Replace "nospam" with "mail" to reply by email. Checked infrequently.
well yes, as you can see it has rebounded and inflated. a total
disconnect to reality. the stock market always discovers its
disconnect to late. read the time line of the great depression. its
all there for you to see.
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| User: "" |
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| Title: Re: Greatest Economy In USA History. Thanks Pres. Bush:almost everything points to the opposite. in fact it looks similar to 1928 |
23 Apr 2007 12:25:14 PM |
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On Apr 23, 11:27 am, alexy <nos...@asbry.net> wrote:
Vide...@tcq.net wrote:
the dow is a total disconnect to the real economy. just like in 1929,
and 2001.
So on March 14, when you posted an article about the Dow dropping
below 12,000 and blamed it all on the current administration, you were
talking about a total disconnect from the real economy?
I suspected as much.
--
Alex -- Replace "nospam" with "mail" to reply by email. Checked infrequently.
well yes, it has rebounded and inflated itself even further. a total
disconnect from reality. the stock market is always disconnected from
reality. read the time line of the great depression. it is all there
for you to see.
.
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| User: "" |
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| Title: Re: Greatest Economy In USA History. Thanks Pres. Bush |
23 Apr 2007 01:32:19 AM |
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On Sun, 22 Apr 2007 16:22:11 -0300, "Harry Dope" <ILuvCommies@aol.com>
wrote:
Dow Jones could hurtle past 13,000 mark
By MADLEN READ, AP Business Writer 1 hour, 50 minutes ago
NEW YORK - The Dow Jones industrial average is now perched below the 13,000
mark, lifted last week by surprisingly strong earnings reports. If this
week's reports follow that trend, investors may send the index hurtling past
that milestone.
Typically the Dow steps back and takes a deep breath before plunging
through into record high territory: Speculators will probably get
cold feet and dump the stocks they just bought on Friday, driving the
average down a couple hundred points. but the Dow is in striking
range.
--
I'm on a journey in search of myself.
If I get back first, let me know that I'm
looking for myself and don't let me leave.
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