Politics > Politics-USA > 4th national poll, Pew Research, reports Bush/Kerry dead heat. "Bounce" disappears.
| Topic: |
Politics > Politics-USA |
| User: |
"Harry Hope" |
| Date: |
16 Sep 2004 05:17:21 PM |
| Object: |
4th national poll, Pew Research, reports Bush/Kerry dead heat. "Bounce" disappears. |
From The Pew Research Center
http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=224
Kerry Support Rebounds, Race Again Even
Strong Interest in Debates
September 16, 2004
Voter opinion in the presidential race has seesawed dramatically in
the first two weeks of September.
Following a successful nominating convention, George W. Bush broke
open a deadlocked contest and jumped out to a big lead over John
Kerry.
However, polling this past week finds that Bush's edge over his
Democratic rival has eroded.
Reflecting this new volatility in the race, the size of the swing vote
has increased slightly since the summer, rather than contracting as it
typically does as the election approaches.
The latest national survey of 1,972 registered voters by the Pew
Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted in two waves
over a seven-day period, finds that the president's large margin of
support in the initial period (Sept. 8-10) dissipated in the polling
conducted Sept. 11-14.
Among all registered voters Bush initially led Kerry by 52%-40%.
However, the second wave of interviewing shows the race even among
registered voters, at 46%-46%.
When the sample is narrowed to likely voters, Bush holds a
statistically insignificant lead of 47%-46% in the second wave, down
from a huge 54%-38% advantage he held in the first wave of interviews.
_____________________________________________________________
Other polls reporting Bush/Kerry dead heats are
Harris - Kerry 47%, Bush 47%.
American Research Group -- Kerry 46%, Bush 45%
Investor's Business Daily, Kerry 46%, Bush 46%
Harry
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