a fairly obvious and over-egged critique of problems with stern....



 Politics > Politics-USA > a fairly obvious and over-egged critique of problems with stern....

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Topic: Politics > Politics-USA
User: "abelard"
Date: 26 Jan 2007 08:02:29 PM
Object: a fairly obvious and over-egged critique of problems with stern....
recommended read
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml;jsessionid=AE1FD04HGTKY3QFIQMFSFF4AVCBQ0IV0?xml=/opinion/2007/01/27/do2701.xml
"And before anyone says that the rich today must make sacrifices for the
poor tomorrow - which sounds eminently reasonable - the critics point out
that, by Sir Nicholas's own calculations, future generations will be much
richer than our own. Stern predicts that, by 2200, the annual consumption
of the world will be $94,000 per person (at today's prices). In 2006, it
was $7,600. Sir Nicholas is asking us to make huge sacrifices today for
people who, he himself says, will on average be 12 times better-off than
we."
to keep all this in context it is essential to realise that this 'debate'
revolves around *forecasts*....it is fundamental to sanity to be aware
that *all* and *any* forecasting is a very fraught game....
as trillions of gamblers have discovered....
for those still struggling with the details...i am very content to accept
that anthropogenic global warming (agw) is sound and established
science....i regard those who argue against that as flat earthers
then come the more difficult problems....how much, when, how
costly etc....what to do....how much to spend....when etc....
stern's report lays down some markers on this road....
it is very right and proper that those markers be understood...and
debated...
the above linked article has far too much rhetoric and far too few
counter proposals....in crude school terms....it is destructive, not
constructive...which really won't do....
the very same problem the lefties have each time they whine and george
politely asks them for their alternative suggestions

related item
http://www.abelard.org/news/ecology0612.php#stern_discounts_181206
yak note....the above commentary and the site link may be combined...
may need some refinement
regards....
--
web site at www.abelard.org - news comment service, logic, economics
energy, education, politics, etc 1,552,396 document calls in year past
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