Consumer Spending Is Strong in June



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Topic: Politics > Politics-USA
User: "\Harry Hope"
Date: 02 Aug 2005 08:06:41 AM
Object: Consumer Spending Is Strong in June

By JEANNINE AVERSA, AP Economics Writer 12 minutes ago
WASHINGTON - Consumers rediscovered their appetite for shopping in June,
boosting spending by a strong 0.8 percent. It was fresh testament to the
economy's momentum as it headed into the third quarter.
The monthly increase in spending, reported by the Commerce Department on
Tuesday, came after consumers tightened their belts in May, leaving spending
flat.
Consumer spending plays a key role in shaping economic activity and thus is
closely watched by Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and other
economists.
Incomes, the fuel for future spending, grew at a nice clip of 0.5 percent in
June, better than the 0.2 percent gain registered in the previous month. The
pickup in income growth dovetailed with an improvement in the jobs climate
in June, when the unemployment rate fell to 5 percent, a nearly four-year
low.
Both the increase in incomes and in spending were the largest since April.
The spending and income figures are not adjusted for inflation.
The performance in consumer spending and income growth in June was in line
with analysts' expectations. Before the release of the report, they were
forecasting spending to rise by 0.8 percent and incomes to increase by 0.4
percent.
With spending outpacing income growth, the personal savings rate - savings
as a percentage of after-tax income - dropped from 0.4 percent in May to
zero in June. That was the worst showing since October 2001, when the
savings rate fell into negative territory - posting a 0.2 percent decline, a
record low.
Economists, however, cautioned that the picture of savings isn't as bad as
it looks. The savings rate doesn't provide a complete picture of household
finances because it doesn't capture gains from such things as real estate or
financial investments.
High energy prices didn't crimp consumer spending in June.
Consumers boosted spending on big-ticket goods, including cars and
appliances, by 2.9 percent, compared with a spending cut of that size in
May. Spending on nondurables such as food and clothes went up by 0.7 percent
in June after dipping by 0.2 percent the month before. Spending on services
rose 0.5 percent in June, following a 0.6 percent in May.
Consumers did their part to keep the economy moving ahead at a nice clip of
3.4 percent in the April-to-June quarter as a whole, the government reported
last week. Analysts believe the economy will do even better in the current
quarter if businesses replenish inventories.
One of the main forces tempering economic growth in the second quarter was
that businesses cut back on inventories. That chopped 2.3 percentage points
from economic growth during the second quarter.
Wanting to make sure expanding economic activity and rising energy prices
don't fan inflation, Federal Reserve policy-makers are expected to bump up
interest rates by another quarter percentage point when they meet next
Tuesday.
Such a move would mark the tenth increase of that size since the Fed began
to tighten credit in June 2004.
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