http://www.electoral-vote.com
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: =A0 Kerry 327 =A0 Bush 211
News from the Votemaster
Bush and Kerry are in a statistical tie in North Carolina, of all
places. A new poll by Research 2000 puts Bush at 48% and Kerry at 45%,
with a margin of error of 4%. The previous poll there had Bush with a 7%
lead. Perhaps the people of North Carolina are beginning to warm to the
idea of their senator as vice president. We'll see what happens on the
next poll though.
It is interesting to note that four southern states that were expected
to be easy wins for Bush are now statistical ties: Virginia, North
Carolina, Arkansas and Tennessee. If Mary Beth Cahill thinks she has a
shot there, she may invest some money down there and make Bush spend
time and money there too. On the other hand, when Karl Rove looks at the
map, he might say: "Gee, Maine, Minnesota, and Oregon seem to be in
play. Let's make Kerry fight for them." The other "Barely" states were
expected to be battlegrounds and are.
-- The votemaster
http://www.electoral-vote.com
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