From The Christian Science Monitor, 9/15/04:
http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/0915/p02s01-uspo.html
New poll shows Bush bounce fading
By Liz Marlantes | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor
WASHINGTON --
More than a week after the Republican National Convention - and in the
wake of new questions about President Bush's National Guard service -
the race for the White House is once again tightening, just as
pollsters and strategists for both campaigns had predicted it would.
A new Monitor/TIPP poll finds Mr. Bush and Sen. John Kerry currently
tied among likely voters nationwide, with each receiving 47 percent of
the vote in a two-man race, and each receiving 46 percent when
independent candidate Ralph Nader is added to the ballot.
The poll of 674 likely voters was conducted Sept. 7-12, and has a
margin of error of 4 percent.
Immediately following the GOP convention, polls showed Bush with a
lead of anywhere from 7 to 11 points.
But that bounce seems to be fading, as more recent polls cut Bush's
lead down to 4 or 5 points (though an AP poll this week still showed
Bush up by 8).
Analysts attribute the shift in large part to a natural tightening as
the convention glow wears off.
It may also reflect a more recent series of challenges for the
president - from the renewed controversy over whether he fulfilled his
National Guard commitments during Vietnam to the escalating violence
in Iraq as US fatalities passed the 1,000 mark.
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Harry
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