| Topic: |
Politics > Politics-USA |
| User: |
"John Forged Kerry" |
| Date: |
09 Oct 2004 09:43:02 AM |
| Object: |
Re: Republicans Claim Victory In Second Bush Kerry Debate |
"soxfan" <soxfan@kerrycountry.com> wrote in message
news:kDS9d.539$5N6.102@trndny08...
"Erik Trammel" <ciceroii@rogers.com> wrote in message
More on the lastest Bush-Kerry debate follows in the assessment below:
http://www.foxnews.com/printer_friendly_story/0,3566,134941,00.html
there are some very interesting numbers on foxnews.com..... bush's
approval rating has dropped from an average of 69% in 2001 to an average
of
49% for 2004.
CNN has some interesting numbers too:
ST. LOUIS, Missouri (CNN) -- President Bush headed into his second debate
with John Kerry Friday night holding a sizable lead in the all-important
race for electoral votes, but Kerry has made big gains this week in seven
battleground states, a new CNN survey suggests.
If the election were held today, Bush likely would win 301 electoral votes
to Kerry's 237, according to a new CNN survey based on state polling as well
as interviews with campaign aides and independent analysts. A candidate wins
the election with at least 270 electoral votes, regardless of the popular
vote.
http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/08/electoral.map/index.html
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| User: "Sugapablo" |
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| Title: Re: Republicans Claim Victory In Second Bush Kerry Debate |
09 Oct 2004 12:33:06 PM |
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On Sat, 09 Oct 2004 14:43:02 +0000, John Forged Kerry wrote:
If the election were held today, Bush likely would win 301 electoral
votes to Kerry's 237, according to a new CNN survey based on state
polling as well as interviews with campaign aides and independent
analysts. A candidate wins the election with at least 270 electoral
votes, regardless of the popular vote.
Saturday Oct 9: Kerry 280, Bush 248
The first poll on the second debate shows the results much closer than
debate #1. According to a Gallup poll of 515 registered voters, Kerry won
by 47% to 45%. When asked if they felt more favorable about the candidates
after the debate, 38% were more favorable to Kerry and 20% were less
favorable. For Bush the figures were 31% and 20%. For a challenger, these
are good numbers. Historically, when an incumbent is running for
reelection, the undecideds typically don't like the incumbent but are not
sure if the new guy on the block is up to the job. His task is to convince
them he can do it. In the past, the undecideds have ultimately broken 2 to
1 for the challenger.
Although there are several state polls, many are older than the current
poll so they are added to the allpolls.csv list but do not change the
spreadsheet or the map. The only change to the map today is in Colorado,
which goes from a tie to Bush, 52% to 44%, according to Survey USA. Kerry
remains above the magic 270 votes in the electoral college for the moment.
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
--
[ Sugapablo ]
[ http://www.sugapablo.com <--music ]
[ http://www.sugapablo.net <--personal ]
[ <--jabber IM ]
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