Asteroid Apophis approach on Jan 9th 2013, according to NASA JPL
HORIZONS simulation. Some programs I used with Harvard MPC orbital
elements calculate jan 5th.
This date was not published since there is hope it is just a flyby.
2029 is much more critical.
Apophic is curently conjunct with Saturn. Seth with Apep!
Klaudio Zic
http://www.lulu.com/zodiac free download of Apophis files
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| User: "The CO" |
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| Title: Re: Apophis Impact |
02 Sep 2005 08:50:07 AM |
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wrote:
Asteroid Apophis approach on Jan 9th 2013, according to NASA JPL
HORIZONS simulation. Some programs I used with Harvard MPC orbital
elements calculate jan 5th.
Are you sure you are doing this correctly?
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/a99942.html
is not listing any virtual impactors prior to 2036.
This date was not published since there is hope it is just a flyby.
Hope??
A 99.98200000% chance the asteroid will miss the Earth seems rather
more than hope...
2029 is much more critical.
NASA Sentry is showing only 4 virtual impactors. Sentry tends to remove
virtual impactors rather quickly so this suggests the orbit has firmed
up and the passes will be close but now demonstrably miss.
2036-04-13.37
2037-04-13.64
2054-04-13.40
2056-04-13.20
NEODYS shows close approaches for those dates, however
http://newton.dm.unipi.it/cgi-bin/neodys/neoibo?objects:Apophis;main
DATE Distance (Astronomical Units)
2013/01/09.49077 0.0966644 2013 certainly looks comfortable, at
nearly 9 million miles.
2021/03/06.05524 0.112648 2021 even further away.
2029/04/13.90679 0.0002439 2029, close, but that's still something
over 22,000 miles.
Unless there is a significant perturbation that's going to be a big miss
as well.
The NEODYS Risk Assessment page hss the following statement:
The asteroid (99942) Apophis (previously designated as 2004 MN4) will
have a very close approach to Earth in 2029. The observations collected
in the months of December 2004 and January 2005 by professional and
amateur astronomers have provided enough information to exclude the
possibility of an impact in 2029. At the end of January 2005, radar
observations performed at Arecibo have led to a substantial improvement
of the orbit; as a consequence, the list of post-2029 Virtual Impactors
has changed. The coworkers of NEODyS/CLOMON2 will continue to process
additional observational data as they become available, with the aim of
removing the remaining Virtual Impactors as soon as possible.
Bear in mind this object is roughly 300m or so. Whilst I wouldn't want
to be under it, it wouldn't be a global catastrophy, worst case would be
a hit on a city, it would pretty much flatten any it hit.
Apophic is curently conjunct with Saturn. Seth with Apep!
LOL
--
The CO
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| User: "Nobody" |
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| Title: Re: Apophis Impact |
08 Sep 2005 12:43:58 PM |
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Then I conclude LA will be wipped out comopletely in 2029 when it hits
there.
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| User: "Nobody" |
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| Title: Re: Apophis Impact |
31 Aug 2005 12:40:12 PM |
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How lovely! I'll be just old enough to draw my Social Security by
then. I wonder how many checks I'll get before it hits? Better still
I wondeer how many months planet
Earth has before Mother Nature right here on Earth wipes out our
species?
Come on folks. Who on this NG has a positive outlook ob things and is
living in
Disneyworld on a permanent basis?
Have they drained the city and is it Saturday yet?
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| User: "" |
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| Title: Re: Apophis Impact |
31 Aug 2005 05:09:52 PM |
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You do not need a crystal ball to work out, things are in a slide, with
a massive population dwindling reserves, dumb leaders and nobody
building bridges, but moats, and of course the silent arms race going
on quietly behind the scenes, we have not mentioned the weather or
climate, methinks a covergence of catastrophes is likely.
A veritable shower of uppercuts.
LB
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| User: "Nobody" |
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| Title: Re: Apophis Impact |
31 Aug 2005 07:19:37 PM |
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Sadly I think your prediction is a logical conclusion.
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| User: "" |
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| Title: Re: Apophis Impact |
31 Aug 2005 05:13:27 PM |
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Put your faith in the Comet, it should be here in the next 3-5 years it
will have an effect, like a mega heatwave 50C+ for 5 days at least
maybe 18 hours a day.
LB
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| User: "Nobody" |
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| Title: Re: Apophis Impact |
08 Sep 2005 12:40:41 PM |
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That should cook things really proer!
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| User: "Dr.Tulip" |
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| Title: Re: Apophis Impact |
09 Sep 2005 09:42:21 PM |
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Well in that case, you better sell your books fast and enjoy yourself before
you too will go down with the rest of the world.
<ra@sdf.lonestar.org> wrote in message
news:1125502047.497067.276030@g49g2000cwa.googlegroups.com...
Asteroid Apophis approach on Jan 9th 2013, according to NASA JPL
HORIZONS simulation. Some programs I used with Harvard MPC orbital
elements calculate jan 5th.
This date was not published since there is hope it is just a flyby.
2029 is much more critical.
Apophic is curently conjunct with Saturn. Seth with Apep!
Klaudio Zic
http://www.lulu.com/zodiac free download of Apophis files
.
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| User: "Wollmannizer NOCEM" |
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| Title: Flush the dirty Turdi nocem 04266 @@NCM |
13 Sep 2005 05:15:53 AM |
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http://www.smbtech.com/ed/
http://www.nocem.org/
http://www.rahul.net/falk/quickrefs.html#W
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