Catastrophic Success



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Topic: Science > Prophecies-Of-Nostradamus
User: "Marvin The Paranoid Android"
Date: 29 Sep 2004 04:35:57 PM
Object: Catastrophic Success
Some tragic humour ....
---------------------------------------------------------------
Catastrophic Success
The worse Iraq gets, the more we must be winning.
By William Saletan
Posted Tuesday, Sept. 28, 2004, at 2:53 PM PT
In 1999, George W. Bush said we needed to cut taxes because the economy was
doing so well that the U.S. Treasury was taking in too much money, and we
could afford to give some back to the people who earned it. In 2001, Bush
said we needed the same tax cuts because the economy was doing poorly, and
we had to return the money so that people would spend and invest it.
Bush's arguments made the wisdom of cutting taxes unfalsifiable. In good
times, tax cuts were affordable. In bad times, they were necessary. Whatever
happened proved that tax cuts were good policy. When Congress approved the
tax cuts, Bush said they would revive the economy. You'd know that the tax
cuts had worked, because more people would be working. Three years later,
more people aren't working. But in Bush's view, that, too, proves he was
right. If more people aren't working, we just need more tax cuts.
Now Bush is playing the same game in postwar Iraq. When violence there was
subsiding, he said it proved he was on the right track. Now violence is
increasing, and Bush says this, too, proves he's on the right track.
On July 23, 2003, three months into the occupation, Bush scoffed that Iraqi
insurgents were confined to "a few areas of the country. And wherever they
operate, they are being hunted, and they will be defeated. ... Now, more
than ever, all Iraqis can know that the former regime is gone and will not
be coming back." A week later, he assured reporters, "Conditions in most of
Iraq are growing more peaceful. ... As the blanket of fear is lifted, as
Iraqis gain confidence that the former regime is gone forever, we will gain
more cooperation." Bush warned that failure to stick with his policies
"would only invite further and bolder attacks."
A year later, the insurgents are not defeated, conditions are not more
peaceful, the blanket of fear is spreading, cooperation is fraying, and
attacks on U.S. personnel are growing bolder. Does this prove Bush is
failing? No. It proves he's succeeding.
When the violence increased this spring, Bush, Vice President Cheney, and
White House Press Secretary Scott McClellan said insurgents were growing
"desperate" in their efforts to "derail the transition"-the handover of
sovereignty scheduled for June 30. "This is precisely what our enemies
want," Bush argued. The violence proved Bush was on the right track, and the
handover would soon be complete, demoralizing the enemy. The insurgents
would be crushed. "In Fallujah, Marines of Operation Vigilant Resolve are
taking control of the city, block by block," Bush bragged.
Three months after the handover, the attacks continue to escalate. Fallujah
is completely out of control. Is this failure? No, it's success. Things are
getting even worse because we're doing even better. Now it's the January
2005 Iraqi elections, not the June 2004 handover, that's supposedly
inspiring the enemy's desperation. If we stay the course till January, we'll
turn that corner we thought we'd turned in June. "Yes, it's getting worse,
and the reason it's getting worse is that they are determined to disrupt the
election," Secretary of State Colin Powell insisted Sunday on This Week.
"And because it's getting worse, we will have to increase our efforts to
defeat it." Bush understands that the resistance is evidence that history is
on our side. As he explained Tuesday, the violence is growing "because
people are trying to stop the march of freedom."
If the situation in Iraq improves in the coming weeks, Bush will take
credit. If it deteriorates, he'll take credit for that, too. "Terrorist
violence may well escalate as the January elections draw near," he warned
Thursday. "The terrorists know that events in Iraq are reaching a decisive
moment. If elections go forward, democracy in Iraq will put down permanent
roots, and terrorists will suffer a dramatic defeat." So take heart. We've
got 'em right where we want 'em.
William Saletan is Slate's chief political correspondent and author of
Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War.
Article URL: http://slate.msn.com/id/2107383/
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User: "Leigh_Bee"

Title: Re: Catastrophic Success 30 Sep 2004 05:32:51 PM
"Marvin The Paranoid Android" <marvin@galaxy.com> wrote in message news:<0VF6d.11008$MD5.855091@news20.bellglobal.com>...

Some tragic humour ....

---------------------------------------------------------------

Catastrophic Success
The worse Iraq gets, the more we must be winning.
By William Saletan
Posted Tuesday, Sept. 28, 2004, at 2:53 PM PT



In 1999, George W. Bush said we needed to cut taxes because the economy was
doing so well that the U.S. Treasury was taking in too much money, and we
could afford to give some back to the people who earned it. In 2001, Bush
said we needed the same tax cuts because the economy was doing poorly, and
we had to return the money so that people would spend and invest it.

Bush's arguments made the wisdom of cutting taxes unfalsifiable. In good
times, tax cuts were affordable. In bad times, they were necessary. Whatever
happened proved that tax cuts were good policy. When Congress approved the
tax cuts, Bush said they would revive the economy. You'd know that the tax
cuts had worked, because more people would be working. Three years later,
more people aren't working. But in Bush's view, that, too, proves he was
right. If more people aren't working, we just need more tax cuts.

Now Bush is playing the same game in postwar Iraq. When violence there was
subsiding, he said it proved he was on the right track. Now violence is
increasing, and Bush says this, too, proves he's on the right track.

SNIP> If the situation in Iraq improves in the coming weeks, Bush will take
credit. If it deteriorates, he'll take credit for that, too. "Terrorist
violence may well escalate as the January elections draw near," he warned
Thursday. "The terrorists know that events in Iraq are reaching a decisive
moment. If elections go forward, democracy in Iraq will put down permanent
roots, and terrorists will suffer a dramatic defeat." So take heart. We've
got 'em right where we want 'em.
William Saletan is Slate's chief political correspondent and author of
Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War.

Article URL: http://slate.msn.com/id/2107383/

But what happened to the "Spontaneous Democracy" that was supposed to
break out in the Middle East?
LB
.


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