So how does one prognostycate Iran's acquisition of nukes? Looks like
they've gotten help clandestinely from Pakistan.

New Worry Rises After Iran Claims Nuclear Steps

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/17/world/middleeast/17nuke.html?hp&ex=1145332800&en=f1828e012e1d168b&ei=5094&partner=homepage

The new claim focuses renewed attention on Iran's rocky relationship with
Mr. Khan, (former head of Pakistan's nuclear program) who provided it with
much of the enrichment technology it is exploiting today. If Mr.
Ahmadinejad's claim is correct, it probably indicates that relationship
went on longer and far deeper than previously acknowledged. Mr. Khan and
his nuclear black market supplied Iran with blueprints for both the more
elementary machine, known as P-1, and the more advanced P-2.

There are other indications that Mr. Khan may have been dealing with Iran
as recently as six years ago. President Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan
disclosed recently that he fired Dr. Khan, a national hero credited with
developing Pakistan's bomb, in 2001 after discovering that he was trying
to arrange a secret flight to the Iranian city of Zahedan, known as a
center of smuggling.

Dr. Khan refused to discuss the flight, saying it was important and very
secret. "I said, 'What the hell do you mean? You want to keep a secret
from me?' " Mr. Musharraf recalled in an interview with The New York Times
for a Discovery Times television documentary, "Nuclear Jihad."

"So these are the things which led me to very concrete suspicions," Mr.
Musharraf said, "and we removed him."

Amid speculation that the entire Pakistani government made money selling
information to other countries. - JL

Also note this program:

NUCLEAR JIHAD: Can Terrorists Get The Bomb?
"NUCLEAR JIHAD: Can Terrorists Get The Bomb?" a documentary about
Pakistani nuclear smuggler A.Q. Khan and his clients, including Iran, airs
tonight at 8 p.m. on the Discovery Times Channel and Thursday, April 20,
at 9 p.m. on CBC-TV ( Canadian Broadcasting Corporation)

So how does one prognostycate Iran's acquisition of nukes? Looks like
they've gotten help clandestinely from Pakistan.

New Worry Rises After Iran Claims Nuclear Steps

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/17/world/middleeast/17nuke.html?hp&ex=1145332800&en=f1828e012e1d168b&ei=5094&partner=homepage

The new claim focuses renewed attention on Iran's rocky relationship
with Mr. Khan, (former head of Pakistan's nuclear program) who provided
it with much of the enrichment technology it is exploiting today. If Mr.
Ahmadinejad's claim is correct, it probably indicates that relationship
went on longer and far deeper than previously acknowledged. Mr. Khan and
his nuclear black market supplied Iran with blueprints for both the more
elementary machine, known as P-1, and the more advanced P-2.

There are other indications that Mr. Khan may have been dealing with
Iran as recently as six years ago. President Pervez Musharraf of
Pakistan disclosed recently that he fired Dr. Khan, a national hero
credited with developing Pakistan's bomb, in 2001 after discovering that
he was trying to arrange a secret flight to the Iranian city of Zahedan,
known as a center of smuggling.

Dr. Khan refused to discuss the flight, saying it was important and very
secret. "I said, 'What the hell do you mean? You want to keep a secret
from me?' " Mr. Musharraf recalled in an interview with The New York
Times for a Discovery Times television documentary, "Nuclear Jihad."

"So these are the things which led me to very concrete suspicions," Mr.
Musharraf said, "and we removed him."

Amid speculation that the entire Pakistani government made money selling
information to other countries. - JL

Also note this program:

NUCLEAR JIHAD: Can Terrorists Get The Bomb? "NUCLEAR JIHAD: Can
Terrorists Get The Bomb?" a documentary about Pakistani nuclear smuggler
A.Q. Khan and his clients, including Iran, airs tonight at 8 p.m. on the
Discovery Times Channel and Thursday, April 20, at 9 p.m. on CBC-TV (
Canadian Broadcasting Corporation)