| Topic: |
Science > Prophecies-Of-Nostradamus |
| User: |
"The Angry Hierophant" |
| Date: |
12 Jul 2005 11:04:17 AM |
| Object: |
Mexico: The New Generation of 'Revolutionary' Militants |
Mexico: The New Generation of 'Revolutionary' Militants
July 11, 2005 20 04 GMT
Summary
A faction of the Mexican militant group Popular Revolutionary Army
(EPR) has claimed responsibility for the July 7 killing in Acapulco of
Jose Ruben Robles Catalan, former secretary of Guerrero state. The
faction, which appears to be a younger, more militant EPR offshoot, is
out to make a name for itself.
Analysis
The Nation is First (LPEP) faction of Mexico's Popular Revolutionary
Army (EPR) took responsibility July 11 for the assassination of Jose
Ruben Robles Catalan, a former Guerrero state secretary who was shot
nine times outside an Acapulco hotel July 7. The group also said it
would continue to target those it believes were responsible for the
1995 deaths of 17 farmers in the Guerrero town of Aguas Blancas. Former
Gov. Ruben Figueroa, prosecutor Antonio Alcocer, police chief Gustavo
Olea and Figueroa's political ally Hector Vicario Castrejon were
specifically named as targets.
Founded in 1964, the EPR remained a low-level threat in Guerrero until
the mid-1990s, when the Aguas Blancas massacre and other violence in
Guerrero provoked expanded recruitment efforts by a new generation of
EPR militants to bring more radical members into the fold. Since the
EPR resurfaced, its main tactics have been sporadic drive-by shootings
or grenades tossed at police stations, mostly around the Acapulco
tourist area. One such incident occurred as recently as June 28, the
10th anniversary of the Aguas Blancas incident. The appearance of the
LPEP faction and its new tactics nine days after such a lackluster
anniversary attack suggests that not everyone in the EPR is content
with the group's current status.
The EPR fissure most likely divides the old-guard leadership, whose
members are now in their mid- to late-50s, and a generation of fighters
in their 20s who joined during Mexico's political turmoil in the 1990s.
The LPEP -- which takes its name from a quote by Vicente Guerrero,
Mexico's second president and namesake of the state -- likely is
controlled by the younger generation. This faction will seek to first
increase the capabilities and notoriety of the EPR within Guerrero and
other southern Mexican states such as Oaxaca and Chiapas in hopes of
making the group a force across Mexico. The group also likely will try
to raise its profile in Mexico state and the federal district
surrounding Mexico City.
Should the EPR-LPEP manage to kill other targets, the Mexican army
likely will crack down in Guerrero, and possibly Oaxaca and Chiapas.
This could generate more political violence in Mexico's poor south and
alienate other armed opposition groups throughout the area, such as the
Zapatista National Liberation Army in Chiapas. Regional destabilization
on that scale could indeed be an EPR objective.
The killing of Robles Catalan, however, does not indicate that the EPR
is capable of significantly threatening Mexican security. Although
there were reports in December 2004 that the EPR had been agitating
Mexico City slum residents to participate in a larger, countrywide
campaign of militancy, Stratfor has said, and continues to believe,
that the EPR poses no credible threat to the capital. The increasing
violence of the LPEP faction should warrant more precaution from
foreign tourists, however, just in case the EPR-LPEP begins kidnapping
people for political reasons.
If the LPEP is successful in assassinating another one of its targets,
it could garner enough publicity to more effectively expand its
operations, perhaps even to establish a base in Mexico City. Until
then, however, the EPR and its factions will remain a localized threat
within Guerrero, mainly to Figueroa and his old partners.
.
|
|
| User: "~..~ Veszpertin ~..~" |
|
| Title: Re: Mexico: The New Generation of 'Revolutionary' Militants |
12 Jul 2005 03:46:53 PM |
|
|
Those fucking animals!
They should be burned
at the stake like witches.
Where are the federales
when you need them???
Are they all on vacation
in Cancun or something?
.
|
|
|
|
|
Related Articles |
|
|
