Arnold Holbrook a écrit:
I suspect Mr Bin Laden is watching this very carefully. A Sunni-Shiite
alliance would be interesting news for him, which he would probably
encourgae in the long run. At first he may continue paying lip service
to the "Shiites are infidels" position, but I have always suspected
that he would try to exploit a Shiite-Sunni reapproachment in such a
way so could take credit for it and use it to his advantage. He could
make himself appear as the man who "reunified Islam". I think his
ultimate fantasy would be to restore Baghdad as the seat of a unified
Muslim Caliphate as it once was in the middle ages.
I do not think he will personally succeed. I think he will most likely
be killed this spring.
I also suspect that he will try to reform Abu Musab al-Zarqawi's views
and actions, and he will probably arrange for his death if he does not
reform.
But this development in Iraq will give birth to a new phase of Pan
Islamism, wherby secretarian differences are marginalized and
reconcilled.
Secretarian? Sectarian you mean.
And what are you talking about, Saddam's partisans on one hand, and absolutely
fanatic mullah who orders to beat up women and take out satellite dish on the
other, most Iraqis see thes losers as "the" problem of their country, not
something reconcilable with their aspirations.
Those who suggest this alliance are not Iraqis, they are anti-US and probably
pro-terrorists as well. Besides, today again, Rumsfeld told us that the majority
of Iraqis are not at all supportive of any of this. On the contrary. For obvious
reasons.
Who in his right mind wants fanaticism à la Taliban, or on the other hand a
return to the rule of Saddam? (I am talking about Iraqis here, not about
sympathizers of Binny.)
J.
This is getting uglier and uglier by the day.
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Fugitive cleric seeks to broaden violence, but his chances may be slim
By Associated Press
Wednesday, April 7, 2004
BAGHDAD, Iraq - Fighters from Iraq's usually antagonistic Shiite and
Sunni Muslim factions reportedly combined forces in a clash with U.S.
troops in a Baghdad neighborhood, raising a potential new complication
for coalition military commanders.
[snip]
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