The Build Up To World War III Begins in Shanghai!


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Date: 24 Sep 2006 09:30:57 PM
Object: The Build Up To World War III Begins in Shanghai!
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contents or viewpoints expressed in the following articles:
http://mathaba.net/0_index.shtml?x=543503
The Build Up To World War III Begins in Shanghai!
Posted: 2006/09/22
From: Mathaba
The build up of opposing strategic alliances continues to present
similarities with the build up to World War 1. War-games, arms sales,
technological advances and advanced weaponry testing are creating the
powder keg ready to erupt into World War 3.
By Liam Bailey
The growth of the SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organisation), particularly
the new applications for full membership are creating worldwide
tensions similar to the standoff before the First World War.
The presidents of the six permanent member countries of the SCO -
China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan - met
in Shanghai on the 15th of June, along with ministers from the recently
invited observer countries: India's minister of petroleum and natural
gas, and the presidents of Pakistan, Mongolia, Iran and Afghanistan.
Iran's observer status at the meeting attracted more attention from
the world community than the meeting itself, particularly because of
the current tension over its expanding nuclear programme. The latest
statements from Iran's president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and foreign
minister Manouchehr Mottaki sound increasingly agreeable to the latest
incentive package offered by Britain, France, Germany, Russia, China
and the United States. Including transfer of peaceful nuclear
technology and support for Iranian membership to the World Trade
Organisation, although both are careful always to state that the
Iranian government has not yet reached a decision. The cause of my
fears is responses to the offer from other prominent members of the
Iranian government, particularly threats of UN sanctions if Iran
continues its uranium enrichment programme. Most notably the response
of Iran's supreme leader and staunch U.S. enemy Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei, quoted by state media as saying: "The Islamic Republic of
Iran will not succumb to these pressures."
These mixed signals coming from Iran, and first the U.S. precondition
of Iranian enrichment cessation to bring the U.S into the first direct
discussions in 27 years, which, abandoned will now allow Iran some
nuclear enrichment capabilities providing it suspends its enrichment
activities before and during the talks, Condoleezza Rice giving them
weeks to make a decision. Which brought the response from the Iranians
that a response would be giving by August 22nd, all giving me the
impression that both sides are being seen to favour a diplomatic
solution, but neither is willing to sufficiently compromise for such a
solution, leading to some analysts including ex C.I.A and Presidential
adviser Ray McGovern predicting military action from the U.S. as early
as July or as late as October. Personally, I think the possible
consequences of military action against Iran are too politically
suicidal for even Bush to contemplate seriously, but as I have said
before, the prominence of Cheney and Rumsfeld and other supporters of
the PNAC ideologies in the Bush administration, leading America's
foreign policy from behind the scenes continue to make anything
possible.
The meetings closing statement from Chinese president and chair of the
ten-country meeting, accounting for half the human race: "We hope the
outside world will accept the social system and path to development
independently chosen by our members and observers and respect the
domestic and foreign policies adopted by the SCO participants in line
with their national conditions." Following all SCO members vowing to
defend each other's sovereignty and the alliance in general, was
undoubtedly a warning to the U.S. and others who seek to interfere in
the internal affairs of the SCO's sovereign states, which the U.S.
didn't like to hear, in the current intensive-care of diplomatic
efforts with Iran, and will increase the tension of any potential
military standoff ensuing if diplomatic solutions aren't reached.
A large majority of the SCO countries are oil rich, including Iran if
their application for full membership is granted, meaning China will
fight its corner to ensure it can continue its massive oil consumption;
securing its path of becoming the world's second superpower on a par
or even superseding previous U.S domination. This complicates things,
on the one hand, making military action against Iran less likely
because of Chinese and Russian support. On the other hand, Chinese and
Russian Veto's make UN sanctions against Iran almost impossible,
which, according to statements from the Bush administration like, Iran
getting the bomb is not an option and military action is always on the
table, may make military action the only option.
During the Shanghai meeting, Iran's president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
publicly invited the SCO members to meet in Tehran to discuss energy
exploration and mutual development, which lead to Russia's president
Vladimir Putin calling for the creation of an SCO energy club, further
strengthening ties between the SCO member and observer countries. The
expansion and unification of the SCO is very worrying for the U.S.,
which applied for observer status at the same time four of the above
were granted but was denied because it shares no fluvial or land
frontiers with any of the SCO member or observer countries. Its
strongest Asian ally is also concerned by the fortification of the SCO
to rival the U.S alliance, a senior spokesperson for Japan said: "The
SCO is becoming a rival block to the US alliance; it does not share our
values. We are watching it very closely."
The stage is set for WWIII, two major alliances butting heads in much
the same way as the powder keg of Baltic and European alliances erupted
into WWI. All it would take is a terrorist attack(s) with Iranian
trademarks, which some analysts, again like Ray McGovern, predict may
be staged.
Mixed signals from Iran; the president seeming to back diplomatic
efforts, while the man who will ultimately make the decision maintains
the hard-line stance of not giving up Iran's definite right to
nuclear energy, seems like a show to ensure support from their allies
in the event of military action looking likely. While similar
conflicting U.S. messages create the same impression of doing
everything in their power to reach a diplomatic outcome, so they can
attack Iran without fear of Russian and Chinese interference should
Iran decline the six-nation incentive package.
The trouble is China, Russia and many of the world's (Islamic)
countries agree with Iran that their compliance with the
non-proliferation treaty gives them the right to nuclear energy,
leaving the burden of proof on the EU and U.S that Iran are attempting
to gain nuclear weapons. Therefore, Iran undoubtedly have the upper
hand in this situation, which I believe will mean them continuing to
create the impression of willingness to compromise for a diplomatic
settlement, when in reality they (especially Khamenei) have no
intention of giving in to their long running (U.S) enemy, making U.S
military action a certainty.
Any form of military action against Iran will erupt into a massive
global conflict, whether Russia and China get involved or not, not
least in the reawakening of the military wing of the Lebanese
Hezbollah, who would attack parts of Israel within range of their, now
large quantities of surface-to-surface missiles. These attacks on
north Israel would bring Israel into the conflict resulting in at the
very least, air strikes, naval bombardment and the use of artillery and
battlefield missiles, possibly even border crossings by Israeli
infantry and armoured units. Iran would also, at the very least step
up its support and armament of Iraq's insurgency, possibly sending
over several divisions of the revolutionary guard, already linked with
Iraq's substantial Shia militias undoubtedly creating a force of
serious reckoning, furthering the already severe consequences of the
Iraq Pandora's box. As well as increasing the substantial global
problem of Islamic extremist terror by awakening the many dormant
Iranian terror cells, unleashing a wave of terror across Europe to make
Al Qaeda look like girl scouts. Not to mention support of Iran from
other Islamic states, such as Morocco unleashing further waves of
terror from al Qaeda and other terror cells and networks. Possible
international support from their strong allies Russia, China and India
would turn a catastrophic global conflict into World War 3 and possibly
lead to the second use of the world's deadliest nuclear weapons.
Analysts also believe military action against Iran's nuclear
programme may lead to their withdrawal from the, then undermined
non-proliferation treaty and the stepping up of the programme,
concentrated on creating weapons, meaning any parts of the programme
still being managed covertly could be turned into an
Iranian-underground-nuclear arsenal aimed at the west, or in the worse
case scenario weapons could be bought from China or Russia, at the very
least as deterrent against U.S use of the weapons, due to Bush's
alleged itchy nuclear trigger-finger.
America's use of the understandably significant public fear of
Islamic Jihad terrorism after 9/11 to justify first the war in
Afghanistan, rightly an Islamic extremist terrorism base, but also
necessary for future U.S. oil supply security, then Iraq, which has now
proved to have been invaded primarily for U.S hegemony. If the war on
Iraq hadn't proved so costly in everyway for the Bush administration,
I believe Iran would have been invaded shortly after. These invasions
are the initiation of the first stages of the Project for The New
American Century's plans under Bush Jr., very similar to the Nazi
plans for a new world order based on the superiority of the Aryan race.
Another similarity is that the "war on terror", having done nothing to
combat the many terrorist cells across Europe and around the world,
which are actually increasing, instead invading two third world Muslim
countries, one with no ties to terrorism and atrocities like Fallujah
and Haditha, which must bring some Muslims to the conclusion it is a
war on Islam. Nazism was also a war for domination, or, was it a war
on Judaism, given the numbers killed in the holocaust; the same
conclusions could be reached. President Bush is waging the "war on
terror", while at times portraying a misguided belief he is working on
behalf of God, whereas Hitler and many of his associates believed the
Fuhrer to be possessed by the devil.
In conclusion, the selfish imperialism under the rouse of fighting
terrorism and spreading human rights and democracy through forceful
regime change, are steadily leading the more of the world into
conflict, take the al Qaeda allied Islamic courts Union gaining a large
power base in Somalia for instance. An Iran invasion could well be the
final trigger for the catastrophic beginning of World War III.
-- Author can be contacted below. Visit his blog site at:
http://warpages.wordpress.com
wordsworth22@tesco.net
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