U.S. IN ADVANCED STAGE OF PLANNING FOR WAR WITH IRAN AND SYRIA

SEPT 6 2006

http://www.abbaswatchman.com/NEWS%20U.S.%20IN%20ADVANCED.html

http://www.prisonplanet.com/articles/September2006/060906Phase.htm

The Next Phase of the Middle East War

Michel Chossudovsky | September 6 2006

Israel's war on Lebanon is an integral part of a US sponsored "military
roadmap".

The war on Lebanon, which has resulted in countless atrocities
including the destruction of the nation's economy and civilian
infrastructure, is "a stage" in a sequence of carefully planned
military operations.

Lebanon constitutes a strategic corridor between Israel and
North-western Syria. The underlying objective of this war was the
militarization of Lebanon, including the stationing of foreign troops,
as a precondition for carrying out the next phase of a broader military
agenda.

Formally under a UN mandate, the foreign troops to be stationed on
Lebanese soil on the immediate border with Syria, will be largely
although not exclusively from NATO countries. This military force
mandated by the UN Security Council is by no means neutral. It responds
directly to US and Israeli interests.

Moreover, the timely withdrawal of Syrian troops, following the
February 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri has
contributed to opening up a "new space". The withdrawal of Syrian
troops served Israeli interests. The timely pullout was of strategic
significance: it was a major factor in the timing and planning of the
July 2006 IDF attacks on Lebanon.

In the aftermath of the Israeli bombings and the "ceasefire", UN
Security Council Resolution 1701, drafted by France and the US in close
consultation with the Israeli government, has paved the way for the
militarization of Lebanon, under a bogus UN mandate.

The Next Phase of the Middle East War

Confirmed by official statements and military documents, the US in
close coordination with Britain (and in consultation with its NATO
partners), is planning to launch a war directed against Iran and Syria.
US Ambassador to the UN John Bolton has already initiated the draft of
a UN Security Council resolution with a view to imposing sanctions on
Tehran for its alleged (nonexistent) nuclear weapons program. Whether
this resolution is adopted is not the main issue. The US may decide to
proceed in defiance of the Security Council, following a veto by Russia
and/or China. The vote of France and Britain, among the permanent
members has already been secured.

US military sources have confirmed that an aerial attack, pursuant to a
sanctions regime on Iran, with or without UN approval, would involve a
large scale deployment comparable to the US "shock and awe" bombing
raids on Iraq in March 2003:

American air strikes on Iran would vastly exceed the scope of the 1981
Israeli attack on the Osiraq nuclear center in Iraq, and would more
resemble the opening days of the 2003 air campaign against Iraq. Using
the full force of operational B-2 stealth bombers, staging from Diego
Garcia or flying direct from the United States, possibly supplemented
by F-117 stealth fighters staging from al Udeid in Qatar or some other
location in theater, the two-dozen suspect nuclear sites would be
targeted.

Military planners could tailor their target list to reflect the
preferences of the Administration by having limited air strikes that
would target only the most crucial facilities ... or the United States
could opt for a far more comprehensive set of strikes against a
comprehensive range of WMD related targets, as well as conventional and
unconventional forces that might be used to counterattack against US
forces in Iraq

(See Globalsecurity.org at
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iran-strikes.htm

The aerial bombing plans have been fully operational ("in an advanced
state of readiness") since June 2005. The various components of the
military operation are firmly under US Command, coordinated by the
Pentagon and US Strategic Command Headquarters (USSTRATCOM) at the
Offutt Air Force base in Nebraska.

In November 2004, US Strategic Command conducted a major exercise of a
"global strike plan" entitled "Global Lightening". The latter involved
a simulated attack using both conventional and nuclear weapons against
a "fictitious enemy" [Iran]. Following the "Global Lightening"
exercise, US Strategic Command declared "an advanced state of
readiness".

The operational implementation of the Global Strike is called CONCEPT
PLAN (CONPLAN) 8022. The latter is described as "an actual plan that
the Navy and the Air Force translate into strike package for their
submarines and bombers,'

The command structure of the operation is centralized and ultimately
The Pentagon will decide on the sequence; " if and when" to launch
military operations against Iran and Syria. Israeli military actions
and those of other coalition partners including Turkey, would be
carried out in close coordination with the Pentagon.

Ground War

While the threat of punitive aerial bombardments of Iran's nuclear
facilities have been announced repeatedly by the Bush administration,
recent developments suggest that an all out ground war is also under
preparation.

CONPLAN constitutes only one component of the Middle East military
agenda. CONPLAN 8022 does not contemplate a ground war. It posits "no
boots on the ground", which was the initial assumption envisaged in
relation to the proposed aerial attacks on Iran.

US and Israeli military planners are fully aware that the aerial
"punitive bombings" will almost inevitably lead coalition forces into a
ground war scenario in which they will have to confront Iranian and
Syrian forces in the battlefield.

Tehran has confirmed that it will retaliate if attacked, in the form of
ballistic missile strikes directed against Israel as well as against US
military facilities in Iraq, Afghanistan and the Persian Gulf, which
would immediately lead us into a scenario of military escalation and
all out war.

Iranian troops could cross the Iran-Iraq border and confront coalition
forces inside Iraq. Israeli troops and/or Special Forces could enter
into Syria.

The foreign troops stationed in Lebanon under UN mandate would respond
to the diktats of the US led coalition and the prior commitments
reached with Washington and Tel Aviv in the context of the various
military alliances (NATO-Israel, Turkey-Israel, GUUAM, etc).

War Games

These military preparations have also been marked, quite recently, by
the conduct of war games.

In late August, Iran was involved in the conduct of war games in major
regions of the country, including border areas with Turkey, Iraq,
Azerbaijan, Pakistan and Afghanistan. Iran's Defense Minister General
Mostafa Mohammad Najjar has confirmed the deployment of enhanced
military capabilities including weapons systems and troops on the
Iranian border: "[Iranian] forces are supervising all movements by
trans-regional troops and their agents around the Iranian borders"
(FARS news, 2 September 2006)




Iran War Games August 2006.

Barely acknowledged by the Western media, military exercises organized
by Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan under the Collective
Security Treaty Organization, (CSTO) were also launched in late August.
These war games, officially tagged as part of a counter terrorism
program, were conducted in response to US-Israeli military threats in
the region including the planned attacks against Iran. (See Michel
Chossudovsky, August 2006). In turn, China an Kazakhstan held
concurrent war games under the auspices of the Shanghai Cooperation
Organization (SCO).

Azerbaijan and neighboring Georgia have close military ties to
Washington. Both countries are part of GUUAM, a military alliance with
the US and NATO.

Turkey is a close ally of Israel. Since 2005, Israel has deployed
Special Forces in the mountainous areas of Turkey bordering Iran and
Syria with the collaboration of the Ankara government: Pakistan is also
a close ally of the US and Britain. Georgia also has a military
cooperation agreement with Israel.

Meanwhile, the USS Enterprise, America's largest aircraft carrier is en
route to the Persian Gulf.



Map; Copyright Eric Waddell, Global Research 2003. Click to enlarge.


US Troop Build-up

US troops in Iraq have been increased to 140,000 as confirmed by recent
Pentagon statements (Reuters, 2 September 2006) These plans have been
coupled with a the compulsory recall of "inactive servicemen" as well
as the expansion of mercenary forces. (Mahdi Darius Namzaroaya, August
2006)

The Pentagon justifies the troop build-up as part of a "routine"
process of replacement and rotation, required in its ongoing war
against "terrorists" in Iraq. The speeding up of military recruitment
is also occurring in the core countries of the Anglo-American coalition
including Great Britain. Australia and Canada (see also Recruiting
Canada). Canada and Australia are aligned with the US. Australian Prime
Minister John Howard as well as Canada's Steven Harper have confirmed
their commitment to the US-Israeli war and have promised an expansion
of the armed forces in their respective countries.

Meanwhile British troops stationed in Iraq have been redeployed to the
Iranian border in southern Iraq. This redeployment has been casually
presented by Britain's Ambassador to Iraq as part of a "crack down on
smuggling and the entrance of weapons into Iraq from Iran".

While British officials are maintaining no desire or preparations for a
conflict with Iran, more British troops are being mobilized and
deployed to Iraq at the same time. The Light Infantry of the 2nd
Battalion, another unit with rapid deployment capabilities, is
deploying to the southern Iraqi border with Iran. The 2nd Battalion is
being sent to Iraq under the pretext of working in the Rear Operations
Battle Group which will provide escorts for military convoys and
security for British forces and bases in Basra. (See Mahdi Darius
Namzaroaya, August 2006)

The Role of Israel

In the wake of the war on Lebanon. Israel's military plans and
pronouncements are increasingly explicit. Tel Aviv has announced plans
to wage a pre-emptive "full-scale war" against Iran and Syria, implying
the deployment of both air and ground force. These war plans are now
said to at the top of the defense agenda:

"Israel is preparing for a possible war with both Iran and Syria,
according to Israeli political and military sources."

(...)

=E2=80=9CThe challenge from Iran and Syria is now top of the Israeli defe=

agenda, higher than the Palestinian one,=E2=80=9D said an Israeli defense
source. Shortly before the war in Lebanon Major-General Eliezer Shkedi,
the commander of the air force, was placed in charge of the =E2=80=9CIran=

front=E2=80=9D, a new position in the Israeli Defense Forces. His job wil=

to command any future strikes on Iran and Syria."

(...)

In the past we prepared for a possible military strike against Iran=E2=80=

nuclear facilities,=E2=80=9D said one insider, =E2=80=9Cbut Iran=E2=80=99=

confidence after the war in Lebanon means we have to prepare for a
full-scale war, in which Syria will be an important player.=E2=80=9D

(...)

As a result of the change in the defense priorities, the budget for the
Israeli forces in the West Bank and Gaza is to be reduced." (Sunday
Times, 3 September 2006)

Media Disinformation

The Western media is beating the drums of war.

The Sunday Times views Israel's war plans as legitimate acts of self
defense, to prevent Tehran from launching an all out nuclear attack on
Israel: "Iran and Syria have ballistic missiles that can cover most of
Israel, including Tel Aviv. An emergency budget has now been assigned
to building modern shelters."

The fact that Iran does not possess nuclear weapons capabilities as
confirmed by the IAEA report does not seem to be an issue for debate.

Media disinformation has contributed to creating an atmosphere of fear
and intimidation. The announcement on August 10 by the British Home
Office of a foiled large scale terror attack to simultaneously blow up
as many as ten airplanes, conveys the impression that it is the Western
World rather than the Middle East which is under attack.

Realities are twisted upside down. The disinformation campaign has gone
into full gear. The British and US media are increasingly pointing
towards "preemptive war" as an act of "self defense" against Al Qaeda
and the State sponsors of terrorism, who are allegedly preparing a
Second 911.

The underlying objective, through fear and intimidation, is ultimately
to build public acceptance for the next stage of the Middle East "war
on terrorism" which is directed against Syria and Iran.

The antiwar movement has also been weakened.

While China and Russia will oppose the US led war at the diplomatic
level as well as at the UN Security Council, Washington has secured the
support of France and Germany. While Russia and China have military
cooperation agreements with Iran, they would most probably not
intervene militarily in favor of Iran.

NATO is broadly supportive of the US led military agenda. In February
2005, NATO signed a military cooperation agreement with Israel.

Nuclear Weapons against Iran

The use of tactical nuclear weapons by the US and Israel against Iran,
is contemplated, ironically in retaliation for Iran's nonexistent
nuclear weapons program.



Tactical Nuclear Weapons: B61-11 NEP Thermonuclear Bomb


The Bush administration's new nuclear doctrine contains specific
"guidelines" which allow for "preemptive" nuclear strikes against
"rogue enemies" which "possess" or are "developing" weapons of mass
destruction (WMD). (2001 Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) and Doctrine for
Joint Nuclear Operations (DJNO)).

CONPLAN 8022, referred to above, is 'the overall umbrella plan for sort
of the pre-planned strategic scenarios involving nuclear weapons.'

'It's specifically focused on these new types of threats -- Iran, North
Korea -- proliferation and potentially terrorists too,' he said.
'There's nothing that says that they can't use CONPLAN 8022 in limited
scenarios against Russian and Chinese targets.'(According to Hans
Kristensen, of the Nuclear Information Project, quoted in Japanese
economic News Wire, op cit)

The mission of JFCCSGS is to implement CONPLAN 8022, in other words to
trigger a nuclear war with Iran.

The Commander in Chief, namely George W. Bush would instruct the
Secretary of Defense, who would then instruct the Joint Chiefs of staff
to activate CONPLAN 8022.

The use of nuclear weapons against Iran would be coordinated with
Israel, which possesses a sophisticated nuclear arsenal.

The use of nuclear weapons by Israel or the US cannot be excluded,
particularly in view of the fact that tactical nuclear weapons have now
been reclassified as a variant of the conventional bunker buster bombs
and are authorized for use in conventional war theaters. ("they are
harmless to civilians because the explosion is underground").

In this regard, Israel and the US rather than Iran constitute a nuclear
threat.

The World is at a Critical Crossroads


The Bush Administration has embarked upon a military adventure which
threatens the future of humanity. This is not an overstatement. If
aerial bombardments were to be launched against Iran, they would
trigger a ground war and the escalation of the conflict to a much
broader region. Even in the case of aerial and missile attacks using
conventional warheads, the bombings would unleash a "Chernobyl type"
nuclear nightmare resulting from the spread of nuclear radiation
following the destruction of Iran's nuclear energy facilities.

Throughout history, the structure of military alliances has played a
crucial role in triggering major military conflicts. In contrast to the
situation prevailing prior to the 2003 invasion of Iraq, America's
ongoing military adventure is now firmly supported by the Franco-German
alliance. Moreover, Israel is slated to play a direct role in this
military operation.

NATO is firmly aligned with the Anglo-American-Israeli military axis,
which also includes Australia and Canada. In 2005, NATO signed a
military cooperation agreement with Israel, and Israel has a
longstanding bilateral military agreement with Turkey.

Iran has observer status in The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)
and is slated to become a full member of SCO. China and Russia have
far-reaching military cooperation agreements with

China and Russia are firmly opposed to a US-led military operation in
the diplomatic arena. While the US sponsored military plan threatens
Russian and Chinese interests in Central Asia and the Caspian sea
basin, it is unlikely that they would intervene militarily on the side
of Iran or Syria.

The planned attack on Iran must be understood in relation to the
existing active war theaters in the Middle East, namely Afghanistan,
Iraq and Lebanon-Palestine.

The conflict could easily spread from the Middle East to the Caspian
sea basin. It could also involve the participation of Azerbaijan and
Georgia, where US troops are stationed.

Military action against Iran and Syria would directly involve Israel's
participation, which in turn would trigger a broader war throughout the
Middle East, not to mention the further implosion in the Palestinian
occupied territories. Turkey is closely associated with the proposed
aerial attacks.

If the US-UK-Israeli war plans were to proceed, the broader Middle
East- Central Asian region would flare up, from the Eastern
Mediterranean to the Afghan-Chinese border. At present, there are three
distinct war theaters: Afghanistan, Iraq and Palestine-Lebanon. An
attack directed against Iran would serve to integrate these war
theaters transforming the broader Middle East Central Asian region into
an integrated war zone. (see map above)

In turn the US sponsored aerial bombardments directed against Iran
could contribute to triggering a ground war characterized by Iranian
attacks directed against coalition troops in Iraq. In turn, Israeli
forces would enter into Syria.

An attack on Iran would have a direct impact on the resistance movement
inside Iraq. It would also put pressure on America's overstretched
military capabilities and resources in both the Iraqi and Afghan war
theaters.

In other words, the shaky geopolitics of the Central Asia- Middle East
region, the three existing war theaters in which America is currently,
involved, the direct participation of Israel and Turkey, the structure
of US sponsored military alliances, etc. raises the specter of a
broader conflict.

The war against Iran is part of a longer term US military agenda which
seeks to militarize the entire Caspian sea basin, eventually leading to
the destabilization and conquest of the Russian Federation.

The Pentagon's Second 911

The economic and political dislocations resulting from this military
agenda are far-reaching.

If the attacks directed against Iran and Syria were to proceed, martial
law and/or a state of emergency could be declared in the US and
possibly Britain on the pretext that the homeland is under attack by
Iran sponsored terrorists. The purpose of these measures would
essentially be to curb the antiwar movement and provide legitimacy to
an illegal war.

The Pentagon has intimated in this regard, in an official statement,
that "another [9/11] attack could create both a justification and an
opportunity to retaliate against some known targets [Iran and Syria]".
In a timely statement, barely a few days following the onslaught of the
bombing of Lebanon, Vice President Cheney reiterated his warning: "The
enemy that struck on 9/11 is fractured and weakened, yet still lethal,
still determined to hit us again" (Waterloo Courier, Iowa, 19 July
2006, italics added).

Reversing the Tide of War

The issues raised in this article do not necessarily imply that the war
will take place. What the analysis of official statments and military
documents onfirms is that:

a) the war is part of a political agenda;

b) military plans to launch an attack on Iran and Syria are "in an
advanced stage of readiness".

The issue is not whether the war will inevitably take place but what
are the instruments at our disposal which will enable us to shunt and
ultimately disarm this global military agenda.

War criminals occupy positions of authority. The citizenry is
galvanized into supporting the rulers, who are "committed to their
safety and well-being". Through media disinformation, war is given a
humanitarian mandate.

The legitimacy of the war must be addressed. Antiwar sentiment alone
does not disarm a military agenda. High ranking officials of the Bush
administration, members of the military and the US Congress have been
granted the authority to uphold an illegal war.

The corporate backers and sponsors of war and war crimes must also be
targeted including the oil companies, the defense contractors, the
financial institutions and the corporate media, which has become an
integral part of the war propaganda machine.

There is a sense of urgency. In the weeks and months ahead, the antiwar
movement must act, consistently, and address a number of key issues:

1. The role of media disinformation in sustaining the military agenda
is crucial.

We will not succeed in our endeavours unless the propaganda apparatus
is weakened and eventually dismantled. It is essential to inform our
fellow citizens on the causes and consequences of the US-led war, not
to mention the extensive war crimes and atrocities which are routinely
obfuscated by the media. This is no easy task. It requires an effective
counter-propaganda program which refutes mainstream media assertions.

It is essential that the relevant information and analysis reaches the
broader public. The Western media is controlled by a handful of
powerful business syndicates. The media conglomerates which control
network TV and the printed press must be challenged through cohesive
actions which reveal the lies and falsehoods.

2. There is opposition within the political establishment in the US as
well as within the ranks of the Armed Forces.

While this opposition does not necessarily question to overall
direction of US foreign policy, it is firmly opposed to military
adventurism, including the use of nuclear weapons. These voices within
the institutions of the State, the Military and the business
establishment are important because they can be usefully channeled to
discredit and ultimately dismantle the "war on terrorism" consensus.
The broadest possible alliance of political and social forces is,
therefore, required to prevent a military adventure which in a very
real sense threatens the future of humanity.

3. The structure of military alliances must be addressed. A timely
shift in military alliances could potentially reverse the course of
history.

Whereas France and Germany are broadly supportive of the US led war,
there are strong voices in both countries as well as within the
European Union, which firmly oppose the US led military agenda, both at
the grassroots level as well within the political system itself.

It is essential that the commitments made by European heads of
government and heads of State to Washington be cancelled or nullified,
through pressure exerted at the appropriate political levels. This
applies, in particular, to the unbending support of the Bush
adminstration, expressed by President Jacques Chirac and Chancellor
Angela Merkel.

The weakening of the system of alliances which commits Western Europe
to supporting the Anglo-American military axis, could indeed contribute
to reversing the tide. Washington would hesitate to wage a war on Iran
without the support of France and Germany.

4. The holding of large antiwar rallies is important and essential. But
in will not in itself reverse the tide of war unless it is accompanied
by the development of a cohesive antiwar network.

What is required is a grass roots antiwar network, a mass movement at
national and international levels, which challenges the legitimacy of
the main military and political actors, as well as their corporate
sponsors, and which would ultimately be instrumental in unseating those
who rule in our name. The construction of this type of network will
take time to develop. Initially, it should focus on developing an
antiwar stance within existing citizens' organizations (e.g. trade
unions, community organizations, professional regroupings, student
federations, municipal councils, etc.).

5. 9/11 plays a crucial and central role in the propaganda campaign.

The threat of an Al Qaeda "Attack on America" is being used profusely
by the Bush administration and its indefectible British ally to
galvanize public opinion in support of a global military agenda.
Revealing the lies behind 911 would serve to undermine the legitimacy
of the "war on terrorism". Without 911, the war criminals in high
office do not have a leg to stand on. The entire national security
construct collapses like a deck of cards. Known and documented, the
"Islamic terror network" is a creation of the US intelligence
apparatus. Several of the terror alerts were based on fake intelligence
as revealed in the recent foiled "liquid bomb attack". There is
evidence that the several of the terrorist "mass casualty events" which
have resulted in civilian casualties were triggered by the military
and/or intelligence services. (e.g Bali 2002).

The "war on terrorism" is bogus. The 911 narrative as conveyed by the
911 Commission report is fabricated. The Bush administration is
involved in acts of cover-up and complicity at the highest levels of
government.


Michel Chossudovsky is the author of the international best seller "The
Globalization of Poverty " published in eleven languages. He is
Professor of Economics at the University of Ottawa and Director of the
Center for Research on Globalization. His most recent book is
America=E2=80=99s "War on Terrorism", Global Research, 2005.

To order Chossudovsky's book America's "War on Terrorism", click here

Note: Readers are welcome to cross-post this article with a view to
spreading the word and warning people of the dangers of a broader
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=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=

The "war on terrorism" is bogus. The 911 narrative as conveyed by the
911 Commission report is fabricated. The Bush administration is
involved in acts of cover-up and complicity at the highest levels of
government.