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Posted on Wed, Aug. 17, 2005
What Bush needs to tell Cindy Sheehan
By Trudy Rubin
Cindy Sheehan is right to be furious.
Camped out in Crawford, Texas, with several other mothers who lost
sons in Iraq, Sheehan wants to meet President Bush. She says: ``Our sons
made the ultimate sacrifice, and we want answers.''
I understand why Bush doesn't want to meet Sheehan. She wants him to
pull U.S. troops out of Iraq. But the president can't pull the troops out.
He can't even make the substantial reductions that some of his top brass
are predicting for early next year. If he does, he risks disaster for
Iraqis while boosting the cause of jihadist terrorists.
And Bush can't afford to tell the mothers why he's caught in this
trap.
If Bush met Sheehan, platitudes would not suffice. She would want to
know why 140,000 U.S. soldiers are stuck in Iraq more than two years after
the fall of Baghdad. She would demand answers that go beyond ``Freedom is
on the march.''
The president is not willing to give those frank answers. If he
were, here's what he would have to say (translated from Bush-ese):
``Mrs. Sheehan, our troops are mired in Iraq because of errors made
by my team. The Pentagon made no plans for the postwar. We sent too few
troops to secure Iraq after Saddam fell, despite prewar warnings by top
U.S. generals. This created a power vacuum, into which rushed former
Baathists who want to restore the old order, along with Iraqi criminals
and Arab jihadis.
``I admit we failed to recognize the danger of this power vacuum. We
disbanded Iraq's army, rather than let Iraqis revamp it. This required us
to build new Iraqi security forces from scratch, a mammoth task that only
got going in June 2004.
``Those new Iraqi forces are far, far from ready to fight alone.
``The real truth is we were wrong to think we could build a new
Iraqi army like kids build with Legos. Building an army takes more than
sending equipment and trainers. We forgot that we were dealing with human
beings in a country very different from ours.
``One of our fine retired U.S. generals, Barry McCaffrey, who
visited Iraq in May, summed it up just right: `Here's the real shortcoming
of the Iraqi forces: Do they collectively believe it's worth fighting and
dying for Iraq?' Iraq is so split by religious and ethnic conflicts that
many Iraqi soldiers don't know what they're fighting for.
``So we are caught in an awful bind, Mrs. Sheehan. Our military has
concluded we can't defeat this insurgency by force. We don't have the
manpower or the intelligence resources. We've badly over-stretched our
National Guard, along with our Army and Marines.
``But if we leave now, Iraq will disintegrate, maybe into full-scale
civil war. The Kurds will take the north. The Shiite majority, who were
our tacit allies, will take the south and most of the oil and ally with
Iran. Worst of all, the Sunni chunk of the country will become a nightmare
zone, where Arab terrorists train for attacks against our Arab allies,
their oil wells and Israel.
``The Iraqi terrorist threat that didn't exist before we invaded
will truly haunt the region. We will have created a monster.
``And, once more, we will have betrayed the Iraqis. Reagan let
Saddam gas the Kurds; my father let Saddam slaughter the Shiites after
urging them to rebel. Now I'll be responsible for taking out Iraq's
institutions and leaving chaos behind.
``So when can our troops come home, you ask?
``It's up to the Iraqis.
``No, no, I'm not trying to brush you off, Mrs. Sheehan.
``You see, the Iraqis are drafting a constitution that's supposed to
be finished. If Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds can only agree on a federal
formula for sharing power, they can move forward to elections in December.
If key Sunni leaders can be brought into the political process, that will
undercut the insurgency, which is largely made up of disgruntled Sunnis.
``Then maybe we can draw down the troops.
``Yes, I know this is expecting a lot. Yes, I know Iraq is on the
brink of civil war. I agree I overplayed the chance of democracy in a
country with no experience of political give-and-take.
``Gen. McCaffrey had it right when he told columnist Trudy Rubin
that `if the (Iraqi) political process doesn't work, we're screwed.'
``We're damned if we leave, and we may be damned if we stay, but we
have to stick it out in force until next summer. By then, we'll know if
the Iraqis can get their act together. If not, we'll be in big, big
trouble.
``Who's to blame, you ask? Why haven't I fired Don Rumsfeld? Why
haven't Paul Wolfowitz or Douglas Feith taken any heat for their gross
mismanagement of the postwar?
``There's a limit to frankness, Mrs. Sheehan. I sympathize with your
loss, but I really have to get back to my vacation. . . .''
TRUDY RUBIN is a Philadelphia Inquirer columnist and editorial-board
member.
http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/news/opinion/12403157.htm
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