I'm getting a premonition now, yes it's definitely a
progNOSTYication.. it's coming into focus, I can see it
clearly now, Bush loses in a landslide election Nov 2004.
The biggest landslide in US election history for the
Presidential race. The voters have spoken, Bush is the
biggest flub in US Presidential history.
http://www.zogby.com/
Released: August 25, 2004
Democrat John Kerry continues to lead heading into the GOP
convention, New Zogby Interactive Presidential Battleground
Poll Reveals
Well into the dog days of summer, the race for President of
the United States has all but frozen in place, with Democratic
challenger John Kerry holding on to a lead he had built with
the announcement of his running mate, North Carolina
Sen. John Edwards, weeks before their party’s convention
last month.
Meanwhile, Republican President George W. Bush has tried
without success to make meaningful progress with a heavy
barrage of television and radio advertisements in battleground
states, combined with an aggressive travel schedule that has
taken him coast-to-coast.
Heading into the Republican National Convention next week,
little has changed in the minds of voters, the Zogby
Interactive battleground poll shows. The collection of polls
in 16 key toss-up states shows Mr. Kerry leading, 286 Electoral
College votes to 214 Electoral College votes for Mr. Bush.
Not included in the tally are those votes from two states
that remain too close to call: Florida, with 27 votes, and
Missouri, with 11. Not that several other states are very
close to being pure toss-ups as well. It’s just that these
two are with mere tenths of a percentage point. Here is the
latest Zogby chart of the race:
ZOGBY'S RACE SO FAR: President Bush Senator Kerry
Aug. 23 214 286
Aug. 3 215 291
Jul 26 220 275
Jul 10 205 322
Jun 20 285 253
Jun 6 242 296
May 23 218 320
It is important to remember that this chart reflects the
sentiments of likely voters in 16 key battleground states,
and carries with it the assumption that the 34 states not
included in this poll will go in the 2004 presidential
election to the candidate of the same party who won them
four years ago. Each state poll carries its own margin of
error, as is noted at the bottom of each state chart found
below. Four new states have been added to the polling for
this period, and those results are noted at the end of this
report, but they are not reflected in the chart above.
Since the Democratic National Convention in Boston, where
Mr. Kerry was introduced amid a celebration of his service
to country during the Vietnam War more than 30 years before
and where he announced he was “reporting for duty,” his
service during that war has been at the center of
controversies that have hit hard and fast. They have ranged
from questions about his whereabouts on Christmas eve, 1968,
to whether he was taking enemy fire as he snatched a fellow
soldier – apparently thrown from his boat by an exploding
mine - from a river.
The ads in battleground states – neither campaign wastes
money wooing voters in places like New York and California
where the outcome in the race is a foregone conclusion – has
taken a decidedly negative spin. While independent “527” groups
favoring Mr. Kerry have savaged the President non-stop since
late last year, GOP-leaning groups have recently gotten into
the act, savaging Mr. Kerry, mostly for so-called “flip-flops”
on taxes and on his Vietnam service. The pounding has been
relentless.
Another development in the race in the last two weeks has
been the re-introduction of First Lady Laura Bush as a new
political force. The Bush campaign, knowing the President
is running weakly among women and younger voters, has
sent Mrs. Bush out to the hinterlands of key states to
campaign, focusing mainly on how her husband’s presidency
has helped women around the world (mostly in Afghanistan
and Iraq) and here at home. She draws enthusiastic crowds,
mostly women, but seldom varies from a prepared text.
In an interview during a recent trip to six key states,
she told reporters she does not enjoy how this campaign
has played out, but is committed to working rope lines
and dining halls from now until Election Day to see to
it she and her husband get four more years in Washington.
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